Median house price
—
No data available
NSW · Dungog Council
Tocal, 2421
Est. population · Jun 2025
49
Growth (1 yr)
+2.1%
Growth (5 yr)
+6.5%
Median age
19
Median income
$1,125/wk
Employment rate
16.3%
Languages at home
9.3%non-English
Mostly English at home
2021 Census · usual residence
- Green suburb
- Heritage area
Suburb profile
In Dungog Council, Tocal keeps a rural calm, a smaller community with room to breathe and a strong local rhythm. It sits well away from Sydney, trading metro convenience for space and a slower regional pace. A younger crowd gives the area energy.
Everyday basics may be close by, but bigger shopping and services typically require a trip to a nearby centre. Outdoor life is easy here, with generous parks and room for kids, dogs and weekend strolls. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here than in denser, more walkable pockets.
Housing is expensive relative to much of the state. Local crime has been trending higher of late.
At a glance
Tocal snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
—
No data available
Population (ERP)
49
+2.1% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
—
No data available
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Safety
20th
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
88th
percentile in NSW
Advantage (IRSAD)
9/10
national SEIFA decile
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Population
Estimated resident population
49(June 2025)
+2.1% annual · +6.5% over 5 years · 88th percentile in NSW
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +2.1%
- 5-year growth
- +6.5%
- Change in 1 year
- +1
- Change in 5 years
- +3
- Growth rank in NSW
- 88th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~50), extrapolated at +1.3% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 47
- Median age
- 19
- Median household income / week
- $1,125
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 0 of 0
- Median monthly mortgage
- $0
- Employment rate
- 16.3%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 0 / 0 / 0
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
- 2
- Against the person
- 0
- Against property
- 1
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 40.8
- State safety percentile
- 20.3th (lower crime is better)
- Increase (daily rate)
- +100.5%
Most common offence types
- Break And Enter Non-Dwelling7
- Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment5
- Liquor Offences29
- Malicious Damage To Property8
- Other Theft8
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- BOCSAR postcode crime statistics — NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows
Family & Lifestyle
Amenities
No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Green cover
- Parks & woodland (OSM)
- 22
- Parks (OSM)
- 0
OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.
Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)
Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- OpenStreetMap green cover — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Nearest hospital
- New Maitland Hospital (16.4 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 2
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 40.8
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 27° / 18°
- Rainfall
- 295 mm · ~37 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 23° / 14°
- Rainfall
- 366 mm · ~46 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 18° / 8°
- Rainfall
- 272 mm · ~34 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 23° / 13°
- Rainfall
- 230 mm · ~29 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.
2026· 1 proposal
March 2026
- Erection of a new structure; Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Dairy (restricted)815 TOCAL ROAD TOCAL 2421Additional Information Requested
2025· 2 proposals
August 2025
- Temporary building, structure or use; Entertainment associated with existing premises815 Tocal Road, Tocal NSW 2421Determined
July 2025
- Entertainment facility; Temporary building, structure or use815 Tocal Road, Tocal NSW 2421Determined
2024· 2 proposals
August 2024
- Temporary building, structure or use; Entertainment associated with existing premises815 Tocal Road, Tocal NSW 2421Determined
July 2024
- Entertainment facility; Temporary building, structure or use815 Tocal Road, Tocal NSW 2421Determined
2023· 1 proposal
January 2023
- Telecommunications and communication facilities815 TOCAL ROAD TOCAL 2421Determined
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- Online DA development application register — NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure · 2026 · Updated · Daily feed (from Oct 2018)
Heritage
2 heritage places
- Tocal College - C B. Alexander Campus and Movable CollectionTocal Road, TocalSHR
- Tocal HomesteadTocal Road, PatersonSHR
Data sources & freshness
- State heritage register — State heritage authority · current · Updated
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- Overlay applies
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Lyne
- Member of Parliament
- Alison PENFOLD (The Nationals)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 129,584
- Turnout (2025)
- 92.9%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- +4.0 pp toward Labor
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 59.8%Labor 40.2%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 15.8 km away).
Coalition 52.7%Labor 47.3%
7.1 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +3.9 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
- Paterson CentralLabor 49.1% · Coalition 50.9% TPP (2025)4.6 km away
- WoodvilleLabor 44.7% · Coalition 55.3% TPP (2025)5.9 km away
- VacyLabor 38.1% · Coalition 61.9% TPP (2025)8.7 km away
- LargsLabor 48.3% · Coalition 51.7% TPP (2025)9.5 km away
- BolwarraLabor 52.4% · Coalition 47.6% TPP (2025)9.6 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 9/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 9/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
More in Dungog Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.