Median house price
$735k
+11% change
VIC · Casey Council
Blind Bight, 3980
Est. population · Jun 2025
1,256
Growth (1 yr)
+0.6%
Growth (5 yr)
+1.6%
Median age
39
Median income
$1,889/wk
Employment rate
63.8%
Median house price · 4th Quarter 2025
$735,000
Languages at home
2.8%non-English
Most common: Mandarin
2021 Census · usual residence
Desirability score
- Coastal
- Excellent transport
- High desirability
Suburb profile
Life in Blind Bight revolves around the coast, with the feel of a smaller community that never strays far from the water. City outings and nearby suburbs add variety without undoing the coastal pace of everyday life. Working households and growing families are the backbone of local life, with family life visible on every street.
Local green pockets are modest, with bigger outdoor outings usually found in neighbouring areas. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here, with buses covering longer trips across the wider area. Housing is expensive relative to much of the state.
Crime trends have improved of late compared with the previous period. Light infill development is updating a few streets while the wider area stays largely unchanged.
Versus similar coastal suburbs, the suburb reads around average on desirability, chiefly because parks and green space, plus local dining and lifestyle amenities trail behind. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.
At a glance
Blind Bight snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
$560/wk
Population (ERP)
1,256
+0.6% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
4.2%
Census unoccupied dwellings
Livability profile
Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Desirability
#8
among Coastal & beach · Emerging
Safety
16th
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
55th
percentile in VIC
Advantage (IRSAD)
4/10
national SEIFA decile
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Desirability
Ranks & confidence
- Desirability score
- 49.4/100 — Average
- State standing
- Top 38% of Victoria's suburbs
- National rank
- 2245th in Australia
- State rank
- 476th in VIC
- Peer rank
- #8 among Coastal & beach · Emerging suburbs
- Cohort rank
- #53 among Coastal & beach suburbs
- Data confidence
- 81%
Data sources & freshness
- Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
Housing
- All types (Sep 2025 (council median))
- $560
- Median house price (4th Quarter 2025)
- $735,000
- Median price change
- +11.4%
Median weekly rent from Victorian government rent reports. Council median fallback may apply where suburb rent is unavailable.
Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)
Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum
Data sources & freshness
- DFFH rent report and Valuer-General property sales report — Department of Families, Fairness and Housing / Department of Transport and Planning (Victoria) · 4th Quarter 2025; Sep 2025 (council median) · Updated · Quarterly releases; council median rent fallback where suburb rent unavailable
Population
Estimated resident population
1,256(June 2025)
+0.6% annual · +1.6% over 5 years · 55th percentile in VIC
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +0.6%
- 5-year growth
- +1.6%
- Change in 1 year
- +7
- Change in 5 years
- +20
- Growth rank in VIC
- 55th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~1,300), extrapolated at +0.5% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 1,290
- Median age
- 39
- Median household income / week
- $1,889
- Dwelling vacancy
- 4.2%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 20 of 471
- Median monthly mortgage
- $1,742
- Employment rate
- 63.8%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 447 / 0 / 0
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (2026)
- 27
- Against the person
- 13
- Against property
- 12
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 21.5
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 99 residents
- State safety percentile
- 16.1th (lower crime is better)
- Decrease (daily rate)
- -22.9%
Most common offence types
- A731 Fv Threatening Behaviour2
- B21 Criminal Damage2
- B41 Motor Vehicle Theft2
- B42 Steal From A Motor Vehicle8
- Other Crimes Against The Person7
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- Recorded offences by suburb/town — Crime Statistics Agency (Victoria) · 2025 · Updated
Family & Lifestyle
Public transport
11 public transport stops in this suburb
- Albatross Cl/Fishermans Dr
- Fishermans Dr/Warneet Rd
- Harbour Way/Anchorage Dr
- Seagull Cl/Anchorage Dr
- Warneet Rd/Blind Bight Rd
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
- GTFS public transport stops — State transport authority open-data feeds · current · Updated
Amenities
42 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km
2 playgrounds · 1 post offices
Local character & venue list
Local character
- Limited walkable amenities nearby
- Decent local green space — 0 parks in suburb, 2 playgrounds nearby
- Reasonable bus and transport access — 11 public transport stops
- Walkability proxy
- 17/100
- Cafés per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Food & drink per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Parks per 1,000 residents
- 0
Shopping(1)
- Sanjo's at Blind BightConvenience store
Community(1)
- Community centre
Sport & outdoors(3)
- Playground (2)
- Sports field
Entertainment(1)
- Viewpoint
Transport(5)
5 bus stops
Other(14)
- Bbq
- Bench (4)
- Drinking water
- Garden
- Information
- Parking (5)
- Picnic Table (4)
- Post Box
- Post office
- Public toilets
- Cleaning BenchShelter
- Shelter (3)
- Telephone
- Waste Basket (6)
Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Green cover
- Parks & woodland (OSM)
- 1
- Parks (OSM)
- 0
OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.
Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)
Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- OpenStreetMap green cover — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Nearest hospital
- Cranbourne Integrated Care Centre (12.3 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 38
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 30.3
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 24° / 13°
- Rainfall
- 155 mm · ~19 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 20° / 11°
- Rainfall
- 186 mm · ~23 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 14° / 6°
- Rainfall
- 203 mm · ~25 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 18° / 9°
- Rainfall
- 207 mm · ~26 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).
16 planning-related records
2021· 5 proposals
September 2021
- Development of Additions and Alterations to the existing Dwelling5 SEAGULL CLOSE BLIND BIGHT 3980Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
July 2021
- VICSMART - Development of an Outbuilding in a Significant Landscape Overlay - Schedule 2 (SLO2) and Environmental Significance Overlay - Schedule 1 (ESO1)6 STILT CLOSE BLIND BIGHT 3980Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
February 2021
- VICSMART - Development of Alterations and Additions to an existing Dwelling32 Warneet RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
- VICSMART - Development of Alterations and Additions to an existing Dwelling62 Warneet RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
January 2021
- VICSMART - Development of Alterations and Additions to an Existing Dwelling (Verandahs)10 Penguin ClosePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
2020· 11 proposals
December 2020
- VICSMART - Development of a Deck20 Cormorant CloseNo permit required
August 2020
- Development of a Farm Shed135 Warneet RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
- VICSMART - Development of Alterations and Additions to an existing Dwelling5 Avocet ClosePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
May 2020
- VICSMART - Development of a Shed (Shipping Container Conversion)3 Albatross ClosePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
April 2020
- Vegetation Removal (Tree)7 Sandpiper ClosePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
- VICSMART - Development of Alterations and Additions to an existing Dwelling (Garage)10 Falcon ClosePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
March 2020
- Development of a Shed and associated Vegetation Removal65 Gentle Annie DrivePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
- VICSMART - Development of a Shed33 Gentle Annie DrivePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
February 2020
- VICSMART - Development of Alterations and Additions to an existing Dwelling (Retrospective Carport)4 Prion ClosePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
- Development of Alterations and Additions to an existing Dwelling6 Dotterel ClosePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
- Development of a Shed15 Blind Bight RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- PPARS planning permit activity (statewide) — Department of Transport and Planning (Victoria) · 2020–2022 · Updated · MapServer through FY 2022–23; newer data needs council/API access
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- No overlay at centroid
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Holt
- Member of Parliament
- Cassandra FERNANDO (Australian Labor Party)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 112,953
- Turnout (2025)
- 91.3%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- +6.9 pp toward Labor
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 36.0%Labor 64.0%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 11.1 km away).
Coalition 50.6%Labor 49.4%
14.6 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +2.6 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
- WarneetLabor 49.3% · Coalition 50.7% TPP (2025)0.5 km away
- TooradinLabor 45.8% · Coalition 54.2% TPP (2025)4.0 km away
- Devon MeadowsLabor 44.7% · Coalition 55.3% TPP (2025)6.5 km away
- Botanic RidgeLabor 56.5% · Coalition 43.5% TPP (2025)8.3 km away
- PearcedaleLabor 49.8% · Coalition 50.2% TPP (2025)9.1 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 4/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 6/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
More in Casey Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.