NSW · Nambucca Valley Council

Bakers Creek, 2447

Est. population · Jun 2025

25

Growth (1 yr)

0.0%

Growth (5 yr)

+8.7%

Median age

57

Median income

$366/wk

Employment rate

33.3%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$798,000

Languages at home

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

    What Bakers Creek is known for:

    Suburb profile

    Bakers Creek offers a slower smaller community life in Nambucca Valley Council, with open surrounds and a close-knit community feel. Retirees and empty-nesters are well represented here, with families and grandchildren still a visible part of community life. Local shops, markets and community spots keep everyday life grounded in the town itself.

    With limited local amenities, residents regularly travel to a neighbouring town for shops, appointments and a wider choice. Local green pockets are modest, with bigger outdoor outings usually found in neighbouring areas. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here than in denser, more walkable pockets.

    Homes cost more here than in most comparable suburbs. Construction and infill projects are noticeably reshaping parts of the area.

    At a glance

    Bakers Creek snapshot

    A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

    Median house price

    $798k

    +16% change

    Median rent

    $573/wk

    Population (ERP)

    25

    0.0% annual growth

    Dwelling vacancy

    50.0%

    Census unoccupied dwellings

    How it compares

    Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

    Safety

    59th

    percentile in state (higher = safer)

    Pop. growth

    10th

    percentile in NSW

    Advantage (IRSAD)

    1/10

    national SEIFA decile

    Population growth

    Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

    Housing mix

    Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

    Risks & flags

    Quick scan — open a section below for full context

    Living here

    Housing

    Houses (January to March 2026)
    $580
    Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
    38
    Median house price (October to December 2025)
    $798,000
    Median price change
    +15.6%

    Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

    Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

    Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

    Data sources & freshness

    Population

    Estimated resident population

    25(June 2025)

    0.0% annual · +8.7% over 5 years · 10th percentile in NSW

    Growth figures & methodology
    Annual growth
    0.0%
    5-year growth
    +8.7%
    Change in 1 year
    0
    Change in 5 years
    +2
    Growth rank in NSW
    10th percentile

    ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

    Methodology

    Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

    The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~50), extrapolated at +0.9% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

    2021 Census figures

    2021 Census

    Population
    24
    Median age
    57
    Median household income / week
    $366
    Dwelling vacancy
    50%
    Unoccupied private dwellings
    10 of 20
    Median monthly mortgage
    $2,366
    Employment rate
    33.3%
    Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
    11 / 0 / 0

    Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

    Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

    Data sources & freshness

    • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

      The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

    • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

    Community & culture

    No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

    Data sources & freshness

    • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

      The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

    Crime & safety

    Reported offences are unchanged compared with the previous period.

    Offence counts & rates
    Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
    2
    Against the person
    1
    Against property
    1
    Rate per 1,000 residents
    80
    Person-crime prevalence
    About 1 in 24 residents
    State safety percentile
    58.5th (lower crime is better)
    Increase (daily rate)
    +0.3%

    Most common offence types

    • Breach Apprehended Violence Order48
    • Breach Bail Conditions50
    • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment54
    • Malicious Damage To Property47
    • Steal From Motor Vehicle48

    Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

    Crime rate and year-on-year trend

    Data sources & freshness

    • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

    Family & Lifestyle

    Amenities

    No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.

    Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

    Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

    Data sources & freshness

    • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
    • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

    Health access

    Nearest hospital
    Macksville Hospital (26.4 km)
    Nearest hospital type
    Hospital
    Nearest hospital emergency
    Emergency department

    Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

    Hospitals and GP clinics

    Data sources & freshness

    NDIS participation

    NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
    1
    Participants per 1,000 residents
    40.0

    Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

    For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

    Data sources & freshness

    Weather

    Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

    Summer (Dec–Feb)

    Usual max / min
    27° / 19°
    Rainfall
    439 mm · ~55 rainy days

    Autumn (Mar–May)

    Usual max / min
    24° / 16°
    Rainfall
    494 mm · ~62 rainy days

    Winter (Jun–Aug)

    Usual max / min
    19° / 10°
    Rainfall
    252 mm · ~32 rainy days

    Spring (Sep–Nov)

    Usual max / min
    23° / 14°
    Rainfall
    279 mm · ~35 rainy days

    Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

    Temperature and humidity comfort

    Data sources & freshness

    • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

    Future & Planning

    Planning & development

    Development applications from NSW Planning Portal (lodged 2020–2026).

    47 planning-related records

    2026· 1 proposal
    • February 2026

    • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
      337-337A CENTRAL BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    2025· 6 proposals
    • November 2025

    • Shed; Erection of a new structure
      14 GILLARDS ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • June 2025

    • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool
      81 AVONDALE ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • April 2025

    • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
      510 BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
      250C MARDELLS ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • Shed; Erection of a new structure
      510 BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • January 2025

    • Farm buildings; Erection of a new structure
      212 MARDELLS ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    2024· 9 proposals
    • November 2024

    • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation
      BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • September 2024

    • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Group home
      215 RANDALLS ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • Erection of a new structure; Water storage facility
      518 CENTRAL BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • June 2024

    • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool
      521 CENTRAL BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • May 2024

    • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
      1199C BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • March 2024

    • Subdivision; Group home (transitional)
      215 Randalls Road, Bucca NSW 2450 LOT 13 DP 116141Withdrawn
    • Shed; Erection of a new structure
      591 CENTRAL BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • Erection of a new structure; Extensive agriculture; Crop or fodder production; Intensive plant agriculture; Horticulture
      629 BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • January 2024

    • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
      141 CENTRAL BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    2023· 5 proposals
    • July 2023

    • Farm buildings
      644 BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • June 2023

    • Pools / decks / fencing
      1216 BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • April 2023

    • Balconies, decks, patios, terraces or verandahs
      182 HERDS ROAD BUCCA 2450Withdrawn
    • Pools / decks / fencing
      182 HERDS ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • February 2023

    • Secondary dwelling
      644 BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    2022· 12 proposals
    • November 2022

    • Pools / decks / fencing
      838 BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • October 2022

    • Garages, carports and car parking spaces
      151 WEARS ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • September 2022

    • Shed
      765 BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • August 2022

    • Alterations and additions to residential development
      630A BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • Secondary dwelling; Dual occupancy
      456 BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • July 2022

    • Pools / decks / fencing
      22 MOUNT CORAMBA FOREST ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • June 2022

    • Dwelling; Dual occupancy
      591 CENTRAL BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • Shed
      176 MARDELLS ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • Shed
      11 MCCLELLANDS ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • March 2022

    • Alterations and additions to residential development
      840 BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • Pools / decks / fencing; Alterations and additions to residential development
      255 Mardells road Bucca 2450Determined
    • January 2022

    • Home business
      221 MARDELLS ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    2021· 7 proposals
    • October 2021

    • Pools / decks / fencing; Alterations and additions to residential development; Other
      134 GILLARDS ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • September 2021

    • Shed
      255 Mardells road Bucca 2450Determined
    • June 2021

    • Shed
      725 BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • May 2021

    • Shed
      920 Bucca Rd Bucca NSW 2450Determined
    • March 2021

    • Shed
      1054 BUCCA ROAD BUCCA 2450Determined
    • February 2021

    • Shed
      183 McClellands Rd Bucca NSW2450 LOT1 DP1070771Determined
    • Shed
      920 Bucca Rd Bucca NSW 2450Determined

    Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

    Development and planning activity

    Data sources & freshness

    Hazards

    Bushfire planning zone
    Overlay applies

    Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

    Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

    Bushfire hazard overlays

    Data sources & freshness

    • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

    Politics & representation

    Federal electorate
    Cowper
    Member of Parliament
    Pat CONAGHAN (The Nationals)
    Results from
    2025 federal election
    Electorate enrolment (2025)
    131,639
    Turnout (2025)
    90.8%
    Swing since 2022 (2025)
    +0.5 pp toward Labor

    Two-party preferred (2025)

    Coalition 59.1%Labor 40.9%

    Estimated suburb voting profile

    Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 24.0 km away).

    Coalition 65.4%Labor 34.6%

    6.3 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

    Estimated swing since 2022: +0.7 pp toward Labor

    Nearest polling places

    • Taylors ArmLabor 35.7% · Coalition 64.3% TPP (2025)5.4 km away
    • WillawarrinLabor 25.4% · Coalition 74.6% TPP (2025)14.2 km away
    • UtungunLabor 29.9% · Coalition 70.1% TPP (2025)14.5 km away
    • Eungai CreekLabor 45.1% · Coalition 54.9% TPP (2025)16.1 km away
    • Warrell CreekLabor 26.9% · Coalition 73.1% TPP (2025)19.3 km away

    Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

    Data sources & freshness

    Socio-economic

    IRSAD decile (2021)
    1/10
    IRSD decile (2021)
    1/10

    ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

    What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

    IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

    IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

    A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

    Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

    Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

    Data sources & freshness

    More in Nambucca Valley Council

    Other suburbs in the same local government area.