Median house price
—
No data available
NSW · Walgett Council
Come By Chance, 2832
Est. population · Jun 2025
90
Growth (1 yr)
-2.2%
Growth (5 yr)
-5.3%
Median age
35
Median income
$2,125/wk
Employment rate
50.9%
Languages at home
Mostly English at home
2021 Census · usual residence
- Excellent transport
Suburb profile
Come By Chance is a quieter smaller community in Walgett Council, where peace, space and a country-town pace still dominate. Far from Sydney, it rewards people who want real remove from the city rather than a long-commute suburb. Families and commuters make up much of the community, with a strong presence of young families throughout.
Everyday basics may be close by, but bigger shopping and services typically require a trip to a nearby centre. Local green pockets are modest, with bigger outdoor outings usually found in neighbouring areas. A car helps for most daily errands, though buses still link the suburb further afield.
Homes cost more here than in most comparable suburbs. Reported crime has been falling recently.
At a glance
Come By Chance snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
—
No data available
Population (ERP)
90
-2.2% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
54.8%
Census unoccupied dwellings
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Safety
99th
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
1st
percentile in NSW
Advantage (IRSAD)
10/10
national SEIFA decile
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Population
Estimated resident population
90(June 2025)
-2.2% annual · -5.3% over 5 years · 1th percentile in NSW
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- -2.2%
- 5-year growth
- -5.3%
- Change in 1 year
- -2
- Change in 5 years
- -5
- Growth rank in NSW
- 1th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~100), extrapolated at -1.7% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 88
- Median age
- 35
- Median household income / week
- $2,125
- Dwelling vacancy
- 54.8%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 23 of 42
- Median monthly mortgage
- $0
- Employment rate
- 50.9%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 14 / 0 / 0
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
- 33
- Against the person
- 11
- Against property
- 9
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 366.7
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 8 residents
- State safety percentile
- 99.1th (lower crime is better)
- Decrease (daily rate)
- -15.2%
Most common offence types
- Breach Apprehended Violence Order70
- Breach Bail Conditions106
- Domestic Violence Related Assault91
- Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment114
- Malicious Damage To Property53
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- BOCSAR postcode crime statistics — NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows
Family & Lifestyle
Public transport
4 public transport stops in this suburb
- 3817 Come By Chance Rd
- 3817 Come By Chance Rd
- Come By Chance Rd At Meadow Plains Rd
- Come By Chance Rd At Meadow Plains Rd
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
- Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0) — Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed
Amenities
No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Nearest hospital
- Walgett Multi Purpose Service (48.7 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 2
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 22.2
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 35° / 20°
- Rainfall
- 161 mm · ~20 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 28° / 13°
- Rainfall
- 118 mm · ~15 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 19° / 5°
- Rainfall
- 89 mm · ~11 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 28° / 12°
- Rainfall
- 102 mm · ~13 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- No overlay at centroid
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Parkes
- Member of Parliament
- Jamie CHAFFEY (The Nationals)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 130,841
- Turnout (2025)
- 89.2%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- +5.2 pp toward Labor
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 63.0%Labor 37.0%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 96.7 km away).
Coalition 60.7%Labor 39.3%
2.3 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +7.3 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
- PilligaLabor 41.7% · Coalition 58.3% TPP (2025)42.4 km away
- WalgettLabor 51.3% · Coalition 48.7% TPP (2025)48.5 km away
- Burren JunctionLabor 22.9% · Coalition 77.1% TPP (2025)57.2 km away
- CoonambleLabor 42.1% · Coalition 57.9% TPP (2025)66.7 km away
- BaradineLabor 30.0% · Coalition 70.0% TPP (2025)88.9 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 10/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 10/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
More in Walgett Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.