NSW · Randwick Council

Little Bay, 2036

Est. population · Jun 2025

5,121

Growth (1 yr)

+1.6%

Growth (5 yr)

-0.2%

Median age

42

Median income

$2,364/wk

Employment rate

58.5%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$3,090,000

Languages at home

27.4%non-English

Most common: Mandarin, French, Greek

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

55.5/100
Good

Top 21% of New South Wales' suburbs

Verified 100% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Coastal
  • Green suburb
  • National parks
  • Excellent transport
  • High desirability
What Little Bay is known for: Coastal, Green suburb, National parks, Excellent transport, High desirability

Suburb profile

Little Bay wears its coastal identity openly, a mid-sized suburb built around sand, sea and an easy outdoor rhythm. Neighbouring pockets and the city remain accessible for work, dining and weekends away from the beach. Established families and long-term residents give the suburb a settled feel, with family life visible on every street.

Overseas-born and multilingual households are a noticeable part of the local population. Outdoor life is easy here, with generous parks and room for kids, dogs and weekend strolls. Most routine trips are on foot, while buses cover longer journeys across the metro area.

Homes cost more here than in most comparable suburbs. Light infill development is updating a few streets while the wider area stays largely unchanged.

Against similar coastal suburbs, community and employment, plus growth momentum stand out and the overall desirability rating is good, with schools and education less decisive.

At a glance

Little Bay snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$3.09M

+13% change

Median rent

$1,150/wk

Houses $1,450 · Units $1,120

Population (ERP)

5,121

+1.6% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

9.1%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#6

among Coastal & beach · Emerging

Safety

51st

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

80th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

10/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

18th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
55.5/100 — Good
State standing
Top 21% of New South Wales' suburbs
National rank
1494th in Australia
State rank
439th in NSW
Peer rank
#6 among Coastal & beach · Emerging suburbs
Cohort rank
#49 among Coastal & beach suburbs
Data confidence
100%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Housing

Flats / units (January to March 2026)
$1,120
Houses (January to March 2026)
$1,450
All types (January to March 2026)
$1,150
Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
750
Median house price (October to December 2025)
$3,090,000
Median price change
+12.6%

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

5,121(June 2025)

+1.6% annual · -0.2% over 5 years · 80th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+1.6%
5-year growth
-0.2%
Change in 1 year
+78
Change in 5 years
-10
Growth rank in NSW
80th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~5,400), extrapolated at +1.1% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
4,817
Median age
42
Median household income / week
$2,364
Dwelling vacancy
9.1%
Unoccupied private dwellings
185 of 2,041
Median monthly mortgage
$3,000
Employment rate
58.5%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
537 / 288 / 1,025

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
347
Against the person
81
Against property
172
Rate per 1,000 residents
67.8
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 59 residents
State safety percentile
50.5th (lower crime is better)
No change (daily rate)
0%

Most common offence types

  • Fraud143
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment189
  • Malicious Damage To Property160
  • Non-Domestic Violence Related Assault129
  • Steal From Retail Store371

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
3
Median school ICSEA (3 schools)
930
Median ICSEA percentile
18th
School list
  • La Perouse Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 920 · 15th percentile · LBOTE 53% · 111 students · Top SEA quarter 14% · 1.0 km awayView on My School →
  • Chifley Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 954 · 26th percentile · LBOTE 34% · 227 students · Top SEA quarter 18% · 1.9 km awayView on My School →
  • Matraville Sports High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 930 · 18th percentile · LBOTE 37% · 487 students · Top SEA quarter 6% · 2.0 km awayView on My School →

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA

Data sources & freshness

Childcare

1 childcare service from OpenStreetMap

  • Pine Cottage Early EducationPine Avenuechildcare

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

Childcare centre count

Data sources & freshness

  • Childcare servicesOpenStreetMap · current · Updated

Public transport

46 public transport stops in this suburb

  • Anzac Pde After Cawood Av
  • Anzac Pde After Gubbuteh Rd
  • Anzac Pde After Pine Av
  • Anzac Pde At Budd Av
  • Anzac Pde At Jennifer St

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

162 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

1 restaurants · 1 supermarkets · 1 pharmacies · 1 places of worship · 3 playgrounds · 1 swimming pools

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Highly walkable for everyday errands
  • Great for outdoor family life7 parks mapped in suburb, 3 playgrounds nearby
  • Well connected by public transport46 public transport stops
Walkability proxy
72/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0.21
Parks per 1,000 residents
1.45
Food & drink(1)
  • Green Olive Cafe RestaurantRestaurant

    1 Pine Avenue, Little Bay

Shopping(2)
  • FoodworksSupermarket

    Unit 1 9 Pine Avenue, Little Bay

Community(2)
  • Pine Cottage Early EducationChildcare

    19 Pine Avenue, Little Bay

  • Prince Henry CentreCommunity centre

    2 Coast Hospital Road, Little Bay

Health & services(2)
  • Jarrah HouseHospital

    1430 Anzac Parade, Little Bay

  • Little Bay PharmacyPharmacy

    1405 Anzac Parade, Little Bay

Sport & outdoors(12)
  • Bob A Day ParkPark

    28R Ewing Avenue, Little Bay

  • Coast Hospital Memorial ParkPark

    21R Pine Avenue, Little Bay

  • Macartney ReservePark

    5R Jenner Street, Little Bay

  • Park (3)
  • Woomera ReservePark
  • Coast Hospital Memorial Park PlaygroundPlayground
  • Playground
  • Woomera Reserve PlaygroundPlayground
  • Sports field
  • Frog PoolSwimming pool

    20 Binda Crescent

Entertainment(3)
  • Prince Henry Hospital Nursing and Medical MuseumMuseum

    2 Brodie Avenue

  • Viewpoint (2)
Transport(11)

11 bus stops

Other(29)
  • Little Bay CellarsAlcohol

    1407 Anzac Parade, Little Bay

  • Artwork (2)
  • Sewing Cottage SiteArtwork
  • Bbq
  • Bench (20)
  • Bicycle Parking (2)
  • Little Bay Laundromat and Dry CleaningDry Cleaning

    5 Pine Avenue, Little Bay

  • Fountain
  • Garden (23)
  • ACM HairHairdresser

    1403 Anzac Parade, Little Bay

  • PHD HairHairdresser
  • Eastern Suburbs Banksia ScrubInformation
  • Information (13)
  • Bushcare Site - Prince HenryNature Reserve

    1-33R Harvey Street, Little Bay

  • Bushcare Site - Prince HenryNature Reserve

    25 Gubbuteh Road, Little Bay

  • Bushcare Site - Prince HenryNature Reserve

    4 Harvey Street, Little Bay

  • Outdoor Seating (2)
  • Parking (40)
  • St Michael's Golf ClubParking
  • The Coast Golf CourseParking
  • Parking Entrance
  • Parking Space
  • Picnic Table
  • The Coast Chapel - Nurses War MemorialPlace of worship

    50 Pine Avenue

  • Public toilets
  • Shower
  • Estia Health Little BaySocial Facility

    1420 Anzac Parade, Little Bay

  • Waste Basket (7)
  • Yes

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

7 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Bob A Day ParkPark
  • Bushcare Site - Prince HenryNature reserve
  • Coast Hospital Memorial ParkPark
  • Macartney ReservePark
  • Woomera ReservePark

Data sources & freshness

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
35
Parks (OSM)
7

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Places of worship

1 places of worship within ~1.5 km

  • The Coast Chapel - Nurses War Memorial

    50 Pine Avenue

From OpenStreetMap within ~1.5 km of the suburb centre.

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Hospitals & GP clinics in suburb
2
Nearest hospital
Jarrah House (0.2 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department
Emergency department in suburb
On site
  • Jarrah HouseAnzac ParadeHospital
  • Little Bay PharmacyAnzac ParadePharmacy

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
194
Participants per 1,000 residents
37.9

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
25° / 17°
Rainfall
321 mm · ~40 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
22° / 14°
Rainfall
359 mm · ~45 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
17° / 8°
Rainfall
263 mm · ~33 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
21° / 12°
Rainfall
242 mm · ~30 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.

2026· 11 proposals
  • August 2026

  • Subdivision
    58-58A DWYER AVENUE LITTLE BAY 2036Additional Information Requested
  • July 2026

  • Residential flat building; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    11-27 JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Under Assessment
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    32 MIRRABOOKA CRESCENT LITTLE BAY 2036Under Assessment
  • May 2026

  • Residential flat building; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    11-27 JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Subdivision
    16 RESERVOIR STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Under Assessment
  • Erection of a new structure; Fences
    9-9A JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Residential flat building; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    11-27 JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    18 EWING AVENUE LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • March 2026

  • Subdivision
    63 DWYER AVENUE LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • February 2026

  • Subdivision; Dual occupancy (attached)
    37 WOOMERA ROAD LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • January 2026

  • Advertising and signage; Temporary building, structure or use; Shipping containers; Portable offices
    1 JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
2025· 23 proposals
  • December 2025

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation
    22 BINDA CRESCENT LITTLE BAY 2036Under Assessment
  • Medium Density Housing; Erection of a new structure; Semi-detached dwelling
    27 JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Under Assessment
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Registered club
    1 COAST HOSPITAL ROAD LITTLE BAY 2036Under Assessment
  • Subdivision
    11-27 JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • November 2025

  • Retail Premise; Hours of operation and trading
    2-8 PINE AVENUE LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • October 2025

  • Residential flat building; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    11-27 JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • September 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    1 MEYLER CLOSE LITTLE BAY 2036Operational consent requested
  • August 2025

  • Subdivision
    1444 ANZAC PARADE LITTLE BAY 2036Under Assessment
  • Demolition; Subdivision; Dual occupancy (attached)
    26 MIRRABOOKA CRESCENT LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • July 2025

  • Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Dual occupancy (attached)
    16 GIPPS AVENUE LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Residential flat building; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    11-27 JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • June 2025

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    89 MIRRABOOKA CRESCENT LITTLE BAY 2036Operational consent issued
  • Erection of a new structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah
    1446 ANZAC PARADE LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • April 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    1 MEYLER CLOSE LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Subdivision
    1444 ANZAC PARADE LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Subdivision
    9 WOOMERA ROAD LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • March 2025

  • Demolition; Subdivision; Dual occupancy (attached)
    26 MIRRABOOKA CRESCENT LITTLE BAY 2036Withdrawn
  • Subdivision
    66 DWYER AVENUE LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Recreation facility (indoor)
    2-8 PINE AVENUE LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Residential flat building; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    11-27 JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • February 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    16 ALKOO AVENUE LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Temporary building, structure or use; Shipping containers; Portable offices
    1 JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • January 2025

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    54 GUBBUTEH ROAD LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
2024· 9 proposals
  • December 2024

  • Residential flat building; Erection of a new structure
    11-27 JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Residential flat building; Erection of a new structure
    11-27 JENNIFER STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Subdivision
    16 RESERVOIR STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • October 2024

  • Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool
    1291 BUNNERONG ROAD LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Minor building alterations (internal); Minor building alterations (external); Privacy screens
    32 DAWES STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached)
    20 DWYER AVENUE LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • August 2024

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    16 Woomera Road Little BayDetermined
  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    1 MURRA MURRA PLACE LITTLE BAY 2036Determined
  • Subdivision
    1 8 RESERVOIR STREET LITTLE BAY 2036Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Heritage

2 heritage places

  • Little Bay Miocene Geological and Ochre SiteLapwing Street Little BaySHR
  • Prince Henry Site1430 Anzac Parade Little BaySHR

Data sources & freshness

  • State heritage registerState heritage authority · current · Updated

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Kingsford Smith
Member of Parliament
Matt THISTLETHWAITE (Australian Labor Party)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
117,399
Turnout (2025)
89.7%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+3.9 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 32.8%Labor 67.2%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 4.4 km away).

Coalition 29.0%Labor 71.0%

3.8 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +5.2 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • La PerouseLabor 72.1% · Coalition 27.9% TPP (2025)1.0 km away
  • ChifleyLabor 69.0% · Coalition 31.0% TPP (2025)2.0 km away
  • MalabarLabor 70.1% · Coalition 29.9% TPP (2025)2.4 km away
  • Matraville SouthLabor 69.2% · Coalition 30.8% TPP (2025)2.6 km away
  • MatravilleLabor 66.8% · Coalition 33.2% TPP (2025)2.9 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
10/10
IRSD decile (2021)
9/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Randwick Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.