NSW · Mid-Coast Council

Mitchells Island, 2430

Est. population · Jun 2025

498

Growth (1 yr)

+1.8%

Growth (5 yr)

+10.7%

Median age

55

Median income

$1,304/wk

Employment rate

43.4%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$690,000

Languages at home

5%non-English

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

23/100
Below average

2071st in NSW

Verified 89% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Excellent transport
  • Education hub
  • High desirability
What Mitchells Island is known for: Excellent transport, Education hub, High desirability

Suburb profile

In Mid-Coast Council, Mitchells Island keeps a rural calm, a smaller community with room to breathe and a strong local rhythm. An older demographic makes it especially popular with retirees, with multiple generations sharing the same neighbourhood. Everyday life leans local, with a handful of trusted shops, a familiar main street and neighbours who know your name.

Everyday basics may be close by, but bigger shopping and services typically require a trip to a nearby centre. Local green pockets are modest, with bigger outdoor outings usually found in neighbouring areas. A car helps for most daily errands, though buses still link the suburb further afield.

Purchase and rent costs sit on the more affordable side of the local range. Steady development is bringing new homes and gradual renewal to parts of the suburb.

The desirability picture is below average, weighed down by softer growth momentum, plus parks and green space relative to similar regional towns. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Mitchells Island snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$690k

+4.5% change

Median rent

$510/wk

Houses $550 · Units $400

Population (ERP)

498

+1.8% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

10.6%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#565

among Country & regional · Mature

Safety

73rd

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

85th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

3/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

14th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
23.0/100 — Below average
National rank
6496th in Australia
State rank
2071st in NSW
Peer rank
#565 among Country & regional · Mature suburbs
Cohort rank
#996 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
89%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Housing

Flats / units (January to March 2026)
$400
Houses (January to March 2026)
$550
All types (January to March 2026)
$510
Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
263
Median house price (October to December 2025)
$690,000
Median price change
+4.5%

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

498(June 2025)

+1.8% annual · +10.7% over 5 years · 85th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+1.8%
5-year growth
+10.7%
Change in 1 year
+9
Change in 5 years
+48
Growth rank in NSW
85th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~550), extrapolated at +2.2% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
462
Median age
55
Median household income / week
$1,304
Dwelling vacancy
10.6%
Unoccupied private dwellings
20 of 188
Median monthly mortgage
$1,244
Employment rate
43.4%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
162 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
50
Against the person
15
Against property
17
Rate per 1,000 residents
100.4
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 31 residents
State safety percentile
73.2th (lower crime is better)
Decrease (daily rate)
-10.5%

Most common offence types

  • Breach Apprehended Violence Order246
  • Breach Bail Conditions547
  • Domestic Violence Related Assault317
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment396
  • Malicious Damage To Property367

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
1
Median school ICSEA
917
Median ICSEA percentile
14th
School list
  • Mitchells Island Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 917 · 14th percentile · LBOTE 3% · 37 students · Top SEA quarter 4% · 0.7 km awayView on My School →

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA

Data sources & freshness

Public transport

10 public transport stops in this suburb

  • 1407 Manning Point Rd
  • Manning Point Rd At Beach Rd
  • Manning Point Rd At Carramar Dr
  • Manning Point Rd At Factory Rd
  • Manning Point Rd Opp Rainforest Dr

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

5 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
  • Reasonable bus and transport access10 public transport stops
Walkability proxy
15/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
0
Community(1)
  • Mitchell's Island Public SchoolSchool

    1222 Manning Point Road, Mitchells Island

Transport(4)

4 bus stops

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
2
Parks (OSM)
0

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Manning Base Hospital (15.4 km)
Nearest hospital type
Public hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
12
Participants per 1,000 residents
24.1

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
27° / 18°
Rainfall
417 mm · ~52 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
24° / 14°
Rainfall
459 mm · ~57 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
19° / 8°
Rainfall
256 mm · ~32 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
23° / 13°
Rainfall
273 mm · ~34 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal (lodged 2020–2026).

29 planning-related records

2025· 8 proposals
  • October 2025

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    58 Jobsons Lane MItchells IslandDetermined
  • September 2025

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    11 RAINFOREST DRIVE MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • August 2025

  • Farm buildings; Shed; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support
    24 RUPRECHTS ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • Farm buildings; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    24 RUPRECHTS ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • July 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Carport
    47 JOBSONS LANE MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • April 2025

  • Farm buildings; Shed; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support
    24 RUPRECHTS ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • March 2025

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (detached); Swimming pool
    187 SANDRIDGE ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • Erection of a new structure; Jetty
    171 PELICAN BAY ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
2024· 4 proposals
  • November 2024

  • Erection of a new structure; Jetty
    24 LESLIES LANE MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • May 2024

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (detached); Swimming pool
    187 SANDRIDGE ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • March 2024

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    261 BEAL AVENUE MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Under Assessment
  • February 2024

  • Secondary dwelling; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    7 VOSS PLACE MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
2023· 9 proposals
  • December 2023

  • Shed; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    24 RUPRECHTS ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • October 2023

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    58 Jobsons Lane MItchells IslandDetermined
  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    1332 MANNING POINT ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • September 2023

  • Dual occupancy
    10 LOTEN LANE MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    20 RUPRECHTS ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • July 2023

  • Dwelling
    261 BEAL AVENUE MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • Garages, carports and car parking spaces
    1449 MANNING POINT ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • May 2023

  • Port, wharf, boating facilities
    1453 MANNING POINT ROAD, Mitchell's Island NSW 243Determined
  • Hotel or motel accommodation
    108 SANDRIDGE ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
2022· 3 proposals
  • November 2022

  • Change of use
    2 VOSS PLACE MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • August 2022

  • Dwelling
    1332 MANNING POINT ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Withdrawn
  • Dwelling
    261 BEAL AVENUE MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
2021· 5 proposals
  • November 2021

  • Pools / decks / fencing
    5 SCOTTS ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • September 2021

  • Dwelling
    90 FACTORY ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • August 2021

  • Hotel or motel accommodation
    108 SANDRIDGE ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • June 2021

  • Subdivision of land
    67 PELICAN BAY ROAD MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined
  • March 2021

  • Subdivision of land
    24 LESLIES LANE MITCHELLS ISLAND 2430Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
Overlay applies

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Lyne
Member of Parliament
Alison PENFOLD (The Nationals)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
129,584
Turnout (2025)
92.9%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+4.0 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 59.8%Labor 40.2%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 15.3 km away).

Coalition 60.8%Labor 39.2%

1.0 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +5.6 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • Mitchells IslandLabor 39.2% · Coalition 60.8% TPP (2025)1.4 km away
  • HarringtonLabor 34.1% · Coalition 65.9% TPP (2025)4.8 km away
  • Old BarLabor 47.4% · Coalition 52.6% TPP (2025)8.0 km away
  • CoopernookLabor 40.3% · Coalition 59.7% TPP (2025)9.2 km away
  • CundletownLabor 37.8% · Coalition 62.2% TPP (2025)9.4 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
3/10
IRSD decile (2021)
4/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Mid-Coast Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.