NSW · Eurobodalla Council

Mystery Bay, 2546

Est. population · Jun 2025

246

Growth (1 yr)

+0.4%

Growth (5 yr)

+4.2%

Median age

63

Median income

$1,125/wk

Employment rate

30.4%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$875,000

Languages at home

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

  • Green suburb
  • Excellent transport
What Mystery Bay is known for: Green suburb, Excellent transport

Suburb profile

Mystery Bay is a welcoming smaller community in Eurobodalla Council, with a settled community character. Trips to Sydney are an outing, not a routine: neighbouring regional centres do more of the heavy lifting. A mature community gives the area a calm, settled social fabric, with multiple generations sharing the same neighbourhood.

Local shops, markets and community spots keep everyday life grounded in the town itself. Open space is thinner than in many comparable suburbs, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here, with buses covering longer trips across the wider area.

Housing sits above the suburban middle: not the top of the market, but clearly pricier than average. Tree-lined streets and established homes set the tone, with little pressure to reinvent the neighbourhood.

At a glance

Mystery Bay snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$875k

+0.6% change

Median rent

$500/wk

Houses $600 · Units $400

Population (ERP)

246

+0.4% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

34.5%

Census unoccupied dwellings

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Safety

38th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

47th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

6/10

national SEIFA decile

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Housing

Flats / units (January to March 2026)
$400
Houses (January to March 2026)
$600
All types (January to March 2026)
$500
Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
48
Median house price (October to December 2025)
$875,000
Median price change
+0.6%

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

246(June 2025)

+0.4% annual · +4.2% over 5 years · 47th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+0.4%
5-year growth
+4.2%
Change in 1 year
+1
Change in 5 years
+10
Growth rank in NSW
47th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~250), extrapolated at +0.8% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
199
Median age
63
Median household income / week
$1,125
Dwelling vacancy
34.5%
Unoccupied private dwellings
48 of 139
Median monthly mortgage
$1,224
Employment rate
30.4%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
89 / 0 / 0 (+ 3 other)

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
14
Against the person
5
Against property
5
Rate per 1,000 residents
56.9
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 40 residents
State safety percentile
37.9th (lower crime is better)
Decrease (daily rate)
-6.4%

Most common offence types

  • Breach Apprehended Violence Order53
  • Domestic Violence Related Assault47
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment85
  • Malicious Damage To Property74
  • Non-Domestic Violence Related Assault45

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Public transport

11 public transport stops in this suburb

  • 121 Mystery Bay Rd
  • 121 Mystery Bay Rd
  • Casey Cres At Schneider Dr
  • Lamont Young Dr After Lloyd Pl
  • Lamont Young Dr After Lloyd Pl

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

31 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

1 playgrounds

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
  • Decent local green space0 parks in suburb, 1 playgrounds nearby
  • Reasonable bus and transport access11 public transport stops
Walkability proxy
17/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
0
Sport & outdoors(1)
  • Playground
Entertainment(2)
  • Viewpoint (2)
Other(17)
  • Bbq
  • Bench
  • Mystery Bay CampgroundCamp Site
  • Information
  • 1080 Beach Car ParkParking
  • Parking (5)
  • EastPicnic Table
  • Picnic Table (6)
  • WestPicnic Table
  • Public Bookcase
  • 1080 Beach ToiletPublic toilets
  • Mystery Bay ToiletPublic toilets
  • Public toilets
  • InterpsShelter
  • Shelter
  • Shower (2)
  • Waste Basket (2)

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
5
Parks (OSM)
0

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Moruya Hospital (45.5 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
6
Participants per 1,000 residents
24.4

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
24° / 16°
Rainfall
266 mm · ~33 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
21° / 12°
Rainfall
284 mm · ~36 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
16° / 6°
Rainfall
175 mm · ~22 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
20° / 11°
Rainfall
226 mm · ~28 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.

2026· 2 proposals
  • June 2026

  • Erection of a new structure; Supporting Development
    31 CASEY CRESCENT MYSTERY BAY 2546Additional Information Requested
  • April 2026

  • Erection of a new structure; Telecommunications network; Telecommunications facility
    MYSTERY BAY ROAD MYSTERY BAY 2546Additional Information Requested
2025· 5 proposals
  • December 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    10 LLOYD PLACE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • August 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    4 NEGUS DRIVE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • June 2025

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    25 SCHNEIDER DRIVE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    4 NEGUS DRIVE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • April 2025

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation
    17 SCHNEIDER DRIVE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
2024· 3 proposals
  • December 2024

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    9 CASEY CRESCENT MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • May 2024

  • Dwelling house; Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia
    8 JOHNSTON WAY MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • March 2024

  • Dwelling house; Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia
    31 CASEY CRESCENT MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
2023· 4 proposals
  • December 2023

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    2 POOLE PARADE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • October 2023

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    7 JOHNSTON WAY MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • July 2023

  • Dwelling; Garages, carports and car parking spaces
    6 CASEY CRESCENT MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • May 2023

  • Dwelling; Garages, carports and car parking spaces
    7 JOHNSTON WAY MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
2022· 9 proposals
  • July 2022

  • Dwelling
    6 MARTIN GROVE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • Balconies, decks, patios, terraces or verandahs; Garages, carports and car parking spaces
    15 JOHNSTON WAY MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • June 2022

  • Dwelling; Garages, carports and car parking spaces
    5 CASEY CRESCENT MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • Dwelling; Retaining walls, protection of trees
    7 JOHNSTON WAY MYSTERY BAY 2546Withdrawn
  • May 2022

  • Dwelling
    19 CASEY CRESCENT MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • April 2022

  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    11 SCHNEIDER DRIVE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • Other
    35 LAMONT YOUNG DRIVE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • March 2022

  • Dwelling
    26 DROMEDARY DRIVE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    3 MARTIN GROVE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
2021· 3 proposals
  • October 2021

  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    11 SCHNEIDER DRIVE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined
  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    10 Lloyd Place MYSTERY BAY NSW 2546Determined
  • July 2021

  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    6 POOLE PARADE MYSTERY BAY 2546Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
Overlay applies

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Eden-Monaro
Member of Parliament
Kristy McBAIN (Australian Labor Party)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
121,376
Turnout (2025)
93.8%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+1.1 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 42.8%Labor 57.2%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 30.3 km away).

Coalition 34.2%Labor 65.8%

8.6 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: -1.8 pp toward Coalition

Nearest polling places

  • Central TilbaLabor 68.5% · Coalition 31.5% TPP (2025)6.0 km away
  • NaroomaLabor 64.2% · Coalition 35.8% TPP (2025)10.6 km away
  • BermaguiLabor 64.5% · Coalition 35.5% TPP (2025)13.8 km away
  • DalmenyLabor 58.5% · Coalition 41.5% TPP (2025)16.6 km away
  • CobargoLabor 64.8% · Coalition 35.1% TPP (2025)22.9 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
6/10
IRSD decile (2021)
7/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Eurobodalla Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.