NSW · Bayside Council

Pagewood, 2035

Est. population · Jun 2025

4,307

Growth (1 yr)

+2.9%

Growth (5 yr)

+11.6%

Median age

42

Median income

$2,281/wk

Employment rate

56.2%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$2,838,000

Languages at home

34.1%non-English

Most common: Greek, Mandarin, Indonesian

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

54.2/100
Average

Top 23% of New South Wales' suburbs

Verified 89% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Education hub
  • Excellent transport
  • Green suburb
  • High desirability
What Pagewood is known for: Education hub, Excellent transport, Green suburb, High desirability

Suburb profile

Pagewood is a well-connected mid-sized suburb in Bayside Council with everyday amenities close at hand. Established families and long-term residents give the suburb a settled feel, with family life visible on every street. The suburb has a clear multicultural mix alongside longer-term local households.

Education outcomes and school provision stand out relative to comparable suburbs. Green space punches above what many metro suburbs offer, with parks and playgrounds woven through the suburb. Buses connect the area to surrounding suburbs, keeping the wider city within easy reach.

Housing is expensive relative to much of the state. Light infill development is updating a few streets while the wider area stays largely unchanged.

Desirability lands around average here: softer local dining and lifestyle amenities, plus growth momentum weighing on the result versus similar metro suburbs, even with community and employment holding up better. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Pagewood snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$2.84M

-4.5% change

Median rent

$880/wk

Houses $1,400 · Units $820

Population (ERP)

4,307

+2.9% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

4.5%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#51

among Metro Sydney · Emerging

Safety

54th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

94th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

9/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

80th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
54.2/100 — Average
State standing
Top 23% of New South Wales' suburbs
National rank
1649th in Australia
State rank
484th in NSW
Peer rank
#51 among Metro Sydney · Emerging suburbs
Cohort rank
#356 among Metro Sydney suburbs
Data confidence
89%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Housing

Flats / units (January to March 2026)
$820
Houses (January to March 2026)
$1,400
All types (January to March 2026)
$880
Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
554
Median house price (October to December 2025)
$2,838,000
Median price change
-4.5%

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

4,307(June 2025)

+2.9% annual · +11.6% over 5 years · 94th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+2.9%
5-year growth
+11.6%
Change in 1 year
+123
Change in 5 years
+447
Growth rank in NSW
94th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~4,750), extrapolated at +1.9% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
3,885
Median age
42
Median household income / week
$2,281
Dwelling vacancy
4.5%
Unoccupied private dwellings
62 of 1,366
Median monthly mortgage
$3,250
Employment rate
56.2%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
986 / 153 / 163 (+ 5 other)

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
312
Against the person
56
Against property
109
Rate per 1,000 residents
72.4
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 69 residents
State safety percentile
54.1th (lower crime is better)
Decrease (daily rate)
-4.9%

Most common offence types

  • Breach Bail Conditions796
  • Fraud171
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment151
  • Malicious Damage To Property173
  • Non-Domestic Violence Related Assault147

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
11
Median school ICSEA (11 schools)
1,085
Median ICSEA percentile
80th
School list
  • Pagewood Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1085 · 80th percentile · LBOTE 48% · 207 students · Top SEA quarter 38% · 0.5 km awayView on My School →
  • Eastlakes Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1046 · 67th percentile · LBOTE 88% · 154 students · Top SEA quarter 20% · 1.1 km awayView on My School →
  • Hartford CollegeCombined · Independent · ICSEA 1117 · 88th percentile · LBOTE 21% · 29 students · Top SEA quarter 46% · 1.1 km awayView on My School →
  • St Michael's Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1104 · 85th percentile · LBOTE 69% · 371 students · Top SEA quarter 41% · 1.2 km awayView on My School →
  • Daceyville Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1029 · 59th percentile · LBOTE 39% · 126 students · Top SEA quarter 27% · 1.4 km awayView on My School →
  • Corpus Christi College MaroubraSecondary · Catholic · ICSEA 1043 · 66th percentile · LBOTE 62% · 755 students · Top SEA quarter 18% · 1.5 km awayView on My School →
  • South Sydney High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 1037 · 63th percentile · LBOTE 43% · 796 students · Top SEA quarter 22% · 1.7 km awayView on My School →
  • Mount Sinai CollegePrimary · Independent · ICSEA 1097 · 83th percentile · LBOTE 28% · 267 students · Top SEA quarter 53% · 1.8 km awayView on My School →
  • St Bernard's Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1119 · 89th percentile · LBOTE 34% · 287 students · Top SEA quarter 47% · 1.8 km awayView on My School →
  • J J Cahill Memorial High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 987 · 41th percentile · LBOTE 66% · 298 students · Top SEA quarter 9% · 1.9 km awayView on My School →

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA

Data sources & freshness

Public transport

40 public transport stops in this suburb

  • Bunnerong Rd At Keysor Rd
  • Bunnerong Rd At Prince Edward Cir
  • Bunnerong Rd At Wark Av
  • Harris Reserve, Bunnerong Rd
  • Monash Gardens, Bunnerong Rd

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

62 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

4 playgrounds · 1 dog parks · 14 swimming pools

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • A car helps for daily errands
  • Great for outdoor family life7 parks mapped in suburb, 4 playgrounds nearby
  • Well connected by public transport40 public transport stops
  • Strong local sport and recreation21 sport and outdoor facilities nearby
Walkability proxy
30/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
1.8
Community(1)
  • Pagewood Public SchoolSchool
Sport & outdoors(28)
  • Firmstone ReserveDog park
  • Bonnie Doon Golf CourseGolf course

    Banks Avenue

  • Astrolabe ParkPark
  • Chant ReservePark
  • Dalley Avenue ReservePark
  • Gaiarine GardensPark
  • Jellicoe ParkPark
  • Mutch ParkPark
  • Park
  • Dalley Avenue Reserve PlaygroundPlayground
  • Jellicoe Park PlaygroundPlayground
  • Playground (2)
  • Sports field
  • Swimming pool (14)
Transport(19)

19 bus stops

Other(7)
  • Bench (2)
  • Platinum Automotive CareCar repair

    32 Ocean Street, Pagewood

  • Drinking water
  • Garden
  • Parking (7)
  • Shelter
  • Waste Basket

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

6 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Astrolabe ParkPark
  • Chant ReservePark
  • Dalley Avenue ReservePark
  • Gaiarine GardensPark
  • Jellicoe ParkPark
  • Mutch ParkPark

Data sources & freshness

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
29
Parks (OSM)
7

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Emergency Department, Sydney Children's Hospital, Randwick (2.9 km)
Nearest hospital type
Public hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
107
Participants per 1,000 residents
24.8

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
25° / 17°
Rainfall
321 mm · ~40 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
22° / 14°
Rainfall
359 mm · ~45 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
17° / 8°
Rainfall
263 mm · ~33 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
21° / 12°
Rainfall
242 mm · ~30 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.

2026· 12 proposals
  • August 2026

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    161 BANKSIA STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Under Assessment
  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    1 WHITE ROAD PAGEWOOD 2035Under Assessment
  • July 2026

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah
    26 MONASH GARDENS PAGEWOOD 2035Under Assessment
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure
    194 BANKSIA STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Under Assessment
  • Secondary dwelling; Demolition; Erection of a new structure; Garage, carport or carparking space
    202 BANKSIA STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Under Assessment
  • June 2026

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    158 BAY STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • May 2026

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Garage, carport or carparking space
    202 BANKSIA STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Withdrawn
  • Erection of a new structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah; Swimming pool
    40 HOLLOWAY STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • March 2026

  • Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool
    1 HOLLOWAY STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool
    16 PAGE STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • February 2026

  • Demolition; Erection of a new structure; Semi-detached dwelling; Residential Accommodation
    32-34 Ocean Street Pagewood NSW 2035Determined
  • January 2026

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    31 PAGE STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
2025· 19 proposals
  • December 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure
    145 BANKSIA STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    15 KEYSOR ROAD PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • October 2025

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool
    5A HOLLOWAY STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • September 2025

  • Demolition; Erection of a new structure; Semi-detached dwelling
    50 OCEAN STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure
    30 COWPER AVENUE PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • August 2025

  • Demolition; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (detached)
    161 BANKSIA STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • July 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    26 DUDLEY STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • June 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    36 MACARTHUR AVENUE PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah; Garage, carport or carparking space
    7 MAXWELL ROAD PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    1 LANG AVENUE PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • May 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    158 BAY STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • April 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    34 PARK PARADE PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    36 PRINCE EDWARD CIRCLE PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool
    11 HOLLOWAY STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • March 2025

  • Secondary dwelling; Demolition; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure
    86 PAGE STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • February 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    25 HEFFRON ROAD PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • January 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Carport; Driveways and hard stand spaces
    36 PRINCE EDWARD CIRCLE PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    2 KEYSOR ROAD PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool
    30 COLLINS STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
2024· 14 proposals
  • November 2024

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    14 HOLLOWAY STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    204 BAY STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    5 MACARTHUR AVENUE PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • October 2024

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah; Garage, carport or carparking space
    7 MAXWELL ROAD PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    17 LANG AVENUE PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • September 2024

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Carport; Driveways and hard stand spaces
    36 PRINCE EDWARD CIRCLE PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    36 MACARTHUR AVENUE PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • August 2024

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    29 HEFFRON ROAD PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    182 BANKSIA STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    6 MAXWELL ROAD PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • June 2024

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    241 BAY STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • April 2024

  • Demolition; Erection of a new structure; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support; Fences; Rainwater tanks; Swimming pool
    13 SPRING STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Determined
  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    161 BANKSIA STREET PAGEWOOD 2035Withdrawn
  • February 2024

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation
    5 BIRDWOOD AVENUE PAGEWOOD 2035Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Kingsford Smith
Member of Parliament
Matt THISTLETHWAITE (Australian Labor Party)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
117,399
Turnout (2025)
89.7%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+3.9 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 32.8%Labor 67.2%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 1.5 km away).

Coalition 30.6%Labor 69.4%

2.2 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +3.8 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • PagewoodLabor 67.2% · Coalition 32.8% TPP (2025)0.9 km away
  • DaceyvilleLabor 70.9% · Coalition 29.1% TPP (2025)1.0 km away
  • Maroubra JunctionLabor 67.0% · Coalition 33.0% TPP (2025)1.2 km away
  • Maroubra SouthLabor 69.0% · Coalition 31.0% TPP (2025)1.3 km away
  • Kingsford SouthLabor 70.3% · Coalition 29.6% TPP (2025)1.4 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
9/10
IRSD decile (2021)
7/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

Compare with

Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.

More in Bayside Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.