NSW · Dungog Council

Paterson, 2421

Est. population · Jun 2025

1,001

Growth (1 yr)

+1.9%

Growth (5 yr)

+6.8%

Median age

41

Median income

$1,907/wk

Employment rate

65.1%

Languages at home

0.8%non-English

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

51.3/100
Average

Top 28% of New South Wales' suburbs

Verified 78% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Green suburb
  • Excellent transport
  • High desirability
  • Education hub
  • Heritage area
What Paterson is known for: Green suburb, Excellent transport, High desirability, Education hub, Heritage area

Suburb profile

Paterson offers a slower smaller community life in Dungog Council, with open surrounds and a close-knit community feel. Residents are mostly families and working professionals, with family life visible on every street. Life here is grounded in local routine rather than big-city choice.

Parks and open space are a real strength relative to many regional towns, easy for walks, sport and weekend downtime. Strong connections via buses keep the wider area accessible. Housing sits above the suburban middle: not the top of the market, but clearly pricier than average.

Local crime has been trending higher of late. An emerging neighbourhood feel is building here, with new households gradually reshaping local life.

Desirability lands around average here: softer schools and education weighing on the result versus similar regional towns, even with community and employment, plus growth momentum holding up better. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Paterson snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

No data available

Median rent

No data available

Population (ERP)

1,001

+1.9% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

5.1%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#24

among Country & regional · Emerging

Safety

19th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

86th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

8/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

59th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
51.3/100 — Average
State standing
Top 28% of New South Wales' suburbs
National rank
1995th in Australia
State rank
591st in NSW
Peer rank
#24 among Country & regional · Emerging suburbs
Cohort rank
#98 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
78%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Population

Estimated resident population

1,001(June 2025)

+1.9% annual · +6.8% over 5 years · 86th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+1.9%
5-year growth
+6.8%
Change in 1 year
+19
Change in 5 years
+64
Growth rank in NSW
86th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~1,050), extrapolated at +1.2% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
960
Median age
41
Median household income / week
$1,907
Dwelling vacancy
5.1%
Unoccupied private dwellings
18 of 354
Median monthly mortgage
$2,000
Employment rate
65.1%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
333 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
40
Against the person
6
Against property
17
Rate per 1,000 residents
40
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 160 residents
State safety percentile
18.7th (lower crime is better)
Increase (daily rate)
+54.3%

Most common offence types

  • Break And Enter Non-Dwelling7
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment5
  • Liquor Offences29
  • Malicious Damage To Property8
  • Other Theft8

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
1
Median school ICSEA
1,027
Median ICSEA percentile
59th
School list
  • Paterson Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1027 · 59th percentile · LBOTE 0% · 104 students · Top SEA quarter 14% · 1.5 km awayView on My School →

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA

Data sources & freshness

Public transport

69 public transport stops in this suburb

  • Duke St Opp Paterson Post Office
  • Gresford Rd After Dungog Rd
  • Gresford Rd Opp Dungog Rd
  • Paterson Rd Opp Martins Creek Rd
  • Paterson Station

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

3 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

1 places of worship

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • A car helps for daily errands
  • Great for outdoor family life4 parks mapped in suburb
  • Well connected by public transport69 public transport stops
Walkability proxy
30/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
4.17
Sport & outdoors(2)
  • Paterson Golf CourseGolf course
  • Sports field
Other(1)
  • Saint AnnesPlace of worship

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

3 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Allan Fairhall ReservePark
  • John Tucker ParkPark
  • Kings Wharf ParkPark

Data sources & freshness

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
20
Parks (OSM)
4

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Places of worship

1 places of worship within ~1.5 km

  • Saint Annes

From OpenStreetMap within ~1.5 km of the suburb centre.

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
New Maitland Hospital (18.8 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
30
Participants per 1,000 residents
30.0

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
28° / 16°
Rainfall
372 mm · ~46 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
23° / 12°
Rainfall
329 mm · ~41 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
17° / 6°
Rainfall
148 mm · ~18 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
23° / 11°
Rainfall
218 mm · ~27 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.

2026· 9 proposals
  • July 2026

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    42 LOMANDRA CIRCUIT PATERSON 2421Determined
  • June 2026

  • Erection of a new structure; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support
    22 MARQUIS STREET PATERSON 2421Under Assessment
  • Dwelling house; Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia
    191 BOULTON DRIVE PATERSON 2421Under Assessment
  • May 2026

  • Industrial development; Erection of a new structure
    45 WEBBERS CREEK ROAD PATERSON 2421Under Assessment
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    10 MAIN STREET PATERSON 2421Under Assessment
  • March 2026

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    234 BOULTON DRIVE PATERSON 2421Determined
  • February 2026

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    323 MARTINS CREEK ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
  • January 2026

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    191 BOULTON DRIVE PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Subdivision
    21 PRINCE STREET PATERSON 2421Withdrawn
2025· 28 proposals
  • November 2025

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    234 BOULTON DRIVE PATERSON 2421Withdrawn
  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    245 BOULTON DRIVE PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    250 BOULTON DRIVE PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    36 PRINCE STREET PATERSON 2421Determined
  • October 2025

  • Subdivision
    95 LOMANDRA CIRCUIT PATERSON 2421Determined
  • September 2025

  • Shed; Temporary building, structure or use
    187 BOULTON DRIVE PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    36 MARTINS CREEK ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Subdivision; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support; Supporting Development
    405 MARTINS CREEK ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
  • August 2025

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Recreation/Tourist Premise; Tourist and visitor accommodation
    36-40 KING STREET PATERSON 2421Withdrawn
  • July 2025

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    67 LOMANDRA CIRCUIT PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation
    323 MARTINS CREEK ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
  • June 2025

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    187 BOULTON DRIVE PATERSON 2421Determined
  • May 2025

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah
    285 WEBBERS CREEK ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Demolition; Pub; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    25 PRINCE STREET PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool
    10 LOMANDRA CIRCUIT PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    150 GRESFORD ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    67 LOMANDRA CIRCUIT PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Demolition
    68 DUNGOG ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
  • April 2025

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    33 GLENBURN ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    185 BOULTON DRIVE PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    67 LOMANDRA CIRCUIT PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    274 MARTINS CREEK ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
  • March 2025

  • Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool
    274 MARTINS CREEK ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    53 BOULTON DRIVE PATERSON 2421Determined
  • February 2025

  • Shed; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    118 LOMANDRA CIRCUIT PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Subdivision
    54 LOMANDRA CIRCUIT PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; School
    WEBBERS CREEK ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
  • January 2025

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    68 DUNGOG ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
2024· 4 proposals
  • December 2024

  • Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (detached)
    80 LOMANDRA CIRCUIT PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    73 BOULTON DRIVE PATERSON 2421Determined
  • November 2024

  • Farm buildings; Erection of a new structure
    108 GRESFORD ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined
  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    323 MARTINS CREEK ROAD PATERSON 2421Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Heritage

2 heritage places

  • Rail Motor CollectionPatersonSHR
  • Royal Oak Arms Hotel (former)18 King Street PatersonSHR

Data sources & freshness

  • State heritage registerState heritage authority · current · Updated

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Lyne
Member of Parliament
Alison PENFOLD (The Nationals)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
129,584
Turnout (2025)
92.9%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+4.0 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 59.8%Labor 40.2%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 15.2 km away).

Coalition 52.7%Labor 47.3%

7.1 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +5.7 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • Paterson CentralLabor 49.1% · Coalition 50.9% TPP (2025)2.1 km away
  • VacyLabor 38.1% · Coalition 61.9% TPP (2025)5.5 km away
  • WoodvilleLabor 44.7% · Coalition 55.3% TPP (2025)8.9 km away
  • WallarobbaLabor 35.0% · Coalition 65.0% TPP (2025)12.8 km away
  • LargsLabor 48.3% · Coalition 51.7% TPP (2025)12.9 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
8/10
IRSD decile (2021)
9/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Dungog Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.