NSW · Richmond Valley Council

Swan Bay, 2471

Est. population · Jun 2025

396

Growth (1 yr)

+2.3%

Growth (5 yr)

+8.8%

Median age

43

Median income

$1,833/wk

Employment rate

54.3%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$540,000

Languages at home

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

39.1/100
Below average

1203rd in NSW

Verified 81% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Excellent transport
  • High desirability
What Swan Bay is known for: Excellent transport, High desirability

Suburb profile

Swan Bay offers a slower smaller community life in Richmond Valley Council, with open surrounds and a close-knit community feel. Long-term locals and family households define much of the community, with family life visible on every street. The pace is unhurried, with local businesses and community spots doing the heavy lifting.

Open space is thinner than in many regional towns, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. Strong connections via buses keep the wider area accessible. Housing costs sit in a more approachable middle band than nearby premium pockets.

Reported crime has been falling recently. An emerging neighbourhood feel is building here, with new households gradually reshaping local life.

Versus similar regional towns, the suburb reads below average on desirability, chiefly because local dining and lifestyle amenities trail behind. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Swan Bay snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$540k

+32% change

Median rent

No data available

Population (ERP)

396

+2.3% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

5.5%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#104

among Country & regional · Emerging

Safety

62nd

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

90th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

6/10

national SEIFA decile

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
39.1/100 — Below average
National rank
3930th in Australia
State rank
1203rd in NSW
Peer rank
#104 among Country & regional · Emerging suburbs
Cohort rank
#385 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
81%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Housing

Median house price (October to December 2025)
$540,000
Median price change
+32%

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

396(June 2025)

+2.3% annual · +8.8% over 5 years · 90th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+2.3%
5-year growth
+8.8%
Change in 1 year
+9
Change in 5 years
+32
Growth rank in NSW
90th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~400), extrapolated at +1.2% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
357
Median age
43
Median household income / week
$1,833
Dwelling vacancy
5.5%
Unoccupied private dwellings
6 of 109
Median monthly mortgage
$1,916
Employment rate
54.3%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
100 / 4 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
34
Against the person
11
Against property
12
Rate per 1,000 residents
85.9
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 32 residents
State safety percentile
62.3th (lower crime is better)
Decrease (daily rate)
-12.6%

Most common offence types

  • Arson25
  • Breach Apprehended Violence Order28
  • Break And Enter Dwelling18
  • Domestic Violence Related Assault21
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment28

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Public transport

38 public transport stops in this suburb

  • 396 Reardons Lane
  • Darke Lane After Reardons Lane
  • Reardons Lane After Casuarina Dr
  • Swan Bay New Italy Rd Opp 45
  • Swan Bay New Italy Rd Opp 490

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
1
Parks (OSM)
0

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
St Vincent's Private Hospital Lismore (28.7 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
12
Participants per 1,000 residents
30.3

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
28° / 19°
Rainfall
370 mm · ~46 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
25° / 15°
Rainfall
330 mm · ~41 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
20° / 8°
Rainfall
140 mm · ~18 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
25° / 14°
Rainfall
202 mm · ~25 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.

2026· 8 proposals
  • August 2026

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    61 GINIBI DRIVE SWAN BAY 2471Under Assessment
  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    90 GINIBI DRIVE SWAN BAY 2471Determined
  • July 2026

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    61 CASUARINA DRIVE SWAN BAY 2471Under Assessment
  • June 2026

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    160 SWAN BAY SCHOOL ROAD SWAN BAY 2471Determined
  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah; Stairway
    925 WOODBURN CORAKI ROAD SWAN BAY 2471Determined
  • April 2026

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    865 WOODBURN CORAKI ROAD SWAN BAY 2471Determined
  • January 2026

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    100 GINIBI DRIVE SWAN BAY 2471Determined
  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    90 GINIBI DRIVE SWAN BAY 2471Determined
2021· 2 proposals
  • July 2021

  • Dwelling
    Lot 3 Eucalypt Drive, Swan Bay (DP1243863)Determined
  • Dwelling
    Lot 6 Eucalypt Drive, Swan Bay (DP1243863)Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Page
Member of Parliament
Kevin HOGAN (The Nationals)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
129,373
Turnout (2025)
91.8%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+1.4 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 59.3%Labor 40.7%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 25.1 km away).

Coalition 58.9%Labor 41.1%

0.4 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +3.1 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • WoodburnLabor 43.0% · Coalition 57.0% TPP (2025)4.5 km away
  • CorakiLabor 39.0% · Coalition 61.0% TPP (2025)9.9 km away
  • Evans HeadLabor 38.1% · Coalition 61.9% TPP (2025)13.8 km away
  • BroadwaterLabor 37.8% · Coalition 62.2% TPP (2025)15.4 km away
  • WyrallahLabor 32.6% · Coalition 67.4% TPP (2025)20.7 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
6/10
IRSD decile (2021)
5/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Richmond Valley Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.