NSW · Kyogle Council

The Risk, 2474

Est. population · Jun 2025

33

Growth (1 yr)

+3.1%

Growth (5 yr)

+3.1%

Median age

50

Median income

$1,812/wk

Employment rate

53.1%

University qualified

0%

Work from home

15.8%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$618,000

Languages at home

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

  • Rural living
What The Risk is known for: Rural living

Using this data? Cite or embed. Publishers

Suburb snapshot infographic

Download PNG
The Risk, NSW suburb snapshot — Suburb Guide

Embed this snapshot

The image links to the canonical suburb page. Copy the HTML as-is.

The Risk, NSW suburb snapshot — Suburb Guide

Cite this suburb snapshot

Suburb Guide, “The Risk, NSW Suburb Guide”, updated 1 October 2026, https://suburb.guide/nsw/the-risk

No registration is required. Please keep the link to the suburb page.

Suburb profile

The Risk is a rural locality in New South Wales, in Kyogle Council.

Local amenities is an exceptional strength, well above typical levels for rural localities. Housing is a little more affordable than typical for similar places. Median house prices have risen 18% year on year. Household incomes are a relative strength, with household incomes 28% above the peer median. Space is a strength, but car dependence is high. Trade-offs centre on fewer university qualifications and lower school ICSEA scores, with university qualifications 100% below the peer median.

Overall, the suburb suits people prioritising local amenities and more affordable housing over university qualifications.

Generated from the official metrics on this page. It can omit nuance or contain errors — check the tables and source notes before relying on it.

Strengths and weaknesses

Rural locality · compared with rural localities in New South Wales (2685)

Strengths

  • Local amenity access is stronger than in most comparable places
  • Housing is a little more affordable than typical for similar places
  • Household incomes are a relative strength

Weaknesses

  • University qualifications sit well below the peer median
  • Local school ICSEA scores sit below those of comparable places

What stands out

  • Space is a strength, but car dependence is high

Who it suits

  • StudentsInsufficient data
  • Budget buyersInsufficient data

Housing, growth and risk

How The Risk compares

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$618k

+18% change

Median rent

$500/wk

Population (ERP)

33

+3.1% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

33.3%

Census unoccupied dwellings

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Crime rate

9th

percentile in state (higher = more crime)

Pop. growth

95th

percentile in NSW

Rented dwellings

0%

2021 Census tenure

Advantage (IRSAD)

4/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

6th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Housing

Houses (January to March 2026)
$500
Median house price (October to December 2025)
$618,000
Median price change
+17.6%

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (10%) · Future Growth (6%)

Household crowding and healthy vacancy — not cheapness Modest price change as a healthy-growth band

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

33(June 2025)

+3.1% annual · +3.1% over 5 years · 95th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+3.1%
5-year growth
+3.1%
Change in 1 year
+1
Change in 5 years
+1
Growth rank in NSW
95th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~50), extrapolated at +0.0% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
31
Median age
50
Median household income / week
$1,812
Dwelling vacancy
33.3%
Unoccupied private dwellings
6 of 18
Median monthly mortgage
$433
Tenure (owned / mortgaged / rented)
100% / 0% / 0%
Employment rate
53.1%
Travel to work (WFH / public transport / car)
15.8% / 0% / 26.3%
Walked or cycled to work
0%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
12 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%) · Accessibility (12%) · Future Growth (6%)

Employment, household income and owned-outright tenure (2021 Census) Work-from-home and public-transport commute shares (2021 Census) Five-year population change as a healthy-growth band, not a boom bonus

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Qualifications

0% of adults have a university degree, compared with 27.8% across New South Wales. 19.4% have a trade or vocational qualification.

  • Trade / vocational19.4% · 15% NSW
  • Year 12 or below80.6% · 47.9% NSW

Highest qualification field

Main field of the highest non-school qualification (2021 Census).

  • Agriculture and environment100%
How these groups are defined
MeasureDefinition
University qualifiedBachelor degree or higher
Diploma qualifiedAdvanced Diploma / Diploma
Trade / vocationalCertificate III + IV
Year 12Year 12 as highest attainment
Below Year 12Year 11 / 10 / 9 or below

People aged 15 years and over, 2021 Census. University, diploma and trade shares match ABS highest educational attainment (HEAP). Year 12 and below Year 12 are combined in the chart because the General Community Profile reports school-only attainment as a residual.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%)

University qualifications from the 2021 Census

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Tax & income

Median taxable income (2023–24)
$42,062

7th percentile in NSW · -28% vs Australia

Median salary / wages (2023–24)
$51,620

10th percentile in NSW · -21% vs Australia

Residents with rental investments
12.0%

26th percentile in NSW · -13% vs Australia

Median super balance (2023–24)
$64,415

40th percentile in NSW · +2% vs Australia

Residents with business income
17.0%

97th percentile in NSW · +64% vs Australia

Australian Taxation Office Taxation Statistics 2023–24, individuals Table 25. Figures describe taxpayers who live in postcode 2474 — not a suburb-level official statistic. Rental investment is the share of local taxpayers reporting rental income or loss, not the share of local properties owned by investors.

Counts, net rent & state comparison
Taxpayers in this postcode
3,668
Taxpayers reporting net rent
447
Median net rent
$3,965
Taxpayers reporting business income
613
Taxable income vs state median
-25%
Salary / wages vs state median
-18%
Rental investment vs state median
-14%
Super vs state median
-8%
Business income vs state median
+70%

Percentiles rank this postcode among unique postcodes in NSW, so suburbs that share a postcode are not counted twice. Dollar figures are compared with Australia-wide ATO medians from the same release. Median net rent is among taxpayers who reported the rent label and can be negative.

Data sources & freshness

  • Taxation Statistics 2023–24 — individuals by postcode (Table 25) — Australian Taxation Office · Updated · Annual release; taxpayer residential postcode, not suburb boundary

Community & culture

Language at home
32 English only · 0 other
Non-English at home
0%
Born overseas
0 (0%)
Australian citizens
32

Religion

51.6%No religion

No religion is the most common response at 51.6%, while Christianity accounts for 48.4%.

MeasureSuburbState
No religion51.6%32.8%
Christianity48.4%47.6%

2021 Census — languages spoken at home, birthplace, Indigenous status, and religious affiliation (usual residence). Religion is optional on the Census form.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Offence counts are estimated for this suburb from postcode 2474, which is shared with other suburbs.

Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
1
Against the person
0
Against property
1
Rate per 1,000 residents
30.3
State crime-rate percentile
9.4th (higher = more crime)
Increase (daily rate)
+0.3%
Recorded road crashes (in suburb)
3
Crash rate per 1,000 residents (state rank)
90.91

Most common offence types

  • Domestic Violence Related Assault0
  • Manslaughter *0
  • Non-Domestic Violence Related Assault0
  • Sexual Assault0
  • Sexual Touching, Sexual Act And Other Sexual Offences0

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (22%)

Crime rate, offences against the person, year-on-year trend and recorded road crash rates

Data sources & freshness

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
1
Median school ICSEA
869
Median ICSEA percentile
6th
Primary catchments overlapping suburb
2
Secondary catchments overlapping suburb
1
School list
  • The Risk Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 869 · 6th percentile · LBOTE 13% · 23 students · Top SEA quarter 0% · 0.7 km awayView on My School →
School catchments
  • Kyogle HSGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundarysecondary_catchment
  • The Risk PSGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundaryprimary_catchment
  • Wiangaree PSGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundaryprimary_catchment

Government school intake zones that overlap this suburb boundary. Living in a catchment does not guarantee enrolment; check the education authority.

Contributes to desirability score · Education (14%)

Median school ICSEA first, then school and catchment counts

Data sources & freshness

Public transport

8 public transport stops in this suburb

  • 1761 Summerland Way
  • Summerland Way Opp 1761
  • Summerland Way Opp Gradys Creek Rd
  • The Risk Public School, Gradys Creek Rd
  • The Risk Public School, Gradys Creek Rd

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (12%)

Public transport stops per 1,000 residents and walkability

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0) — Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

3 mapped amenities

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
  • Reasonable bus and transport access — 8 public transport stops
Walkability proxy
12/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
0
Community(2)
  • The Risk HallCommunity centre
  • The Risk Public SchoolSchool

    122 Gradys Creek Road, The Risk

Other(1)
  • The Risk Public SchoolParking

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually. Campgrounds, beaches, wineries and local trails are included when they sit inside the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (12%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport per 1,000 residents (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Green cover

Green cover of suburb area
0%
Woodland / forest cover
0%
Parks & woodland features (OSM)
0
Parks (OSM)
0
Typical summer maximum
28°C

Green cover is the share of this suburb's boundary overlapping OpenStreetMap parks, woodland and forest polygons — not a satellite tree-canopy product. Summer maximum is the WorldClim / Open-Meteo seasonal normal already collected for Weather.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (12%)

Tree canopy first, then green-cover area and parks per 1,000

Data sources & freshness

  • OpenStreetMap green cover and tree canopy — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated · Park/woodland polygons intersected with suburb boundaries

Health access

Nearest hospital
Kyogle Multi-Purpose Service (18.7 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department
GP clinics in suburb
0

GP clinic counts from OpenStreetMap. Bulk-billing figures only include clinics tagged in OSM (sparse and unofficial — not a Medicare list).

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (12%)

Hospitals, GPs and aged care

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
1
Participants per 1,000 residents
30.3

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
28° / 18°
Rainfall
493 mm · ~62 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
25° / 14°
Rainfall
343 mm · ~43 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
20° / 7°
Rainfall
144 mm · ~18 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
25° / 12°
Rainfall
249 mm · ~31 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (12%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal (lodged 2020–2026).

4 planning-related records

2024· 1 proposal
  • March 2024

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Recreation facility (outdoor)
    75 GRADYS CREEK ROAD THE RISK 2474Determined
2023· 2 proposals
  • November 2023

  • Educational establishment; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; School
    122 GRADYS CREEK ROAD THE RISK 2474Determined
  • January 2023

  • Educational establishment
    122 GRADYS CREEK ROAD THE RISK 2474Determined
2021· 1 proposal
  • April 2021

  • Dwelling; Subdivision of land
    219 GRADYS CREEK ROAD THE RISK 2474Determined

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
Overlay applies
Flood / inundation overlay
No mapped inundation on suburb boundary

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping. Flood cover uses NSW flood planning polygons against the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (22%)

Bushfire and flood hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Bushfire and flood planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Page
Member of Parliament
Kevin HOGAN (The Nationals)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
129,373
Turnout (2025)
91.8%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+1.4 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 59.3%Labor 40.7%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 33.9 km away).

Coalition 65.9%Labor 34.1%

6.6 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: -5.2 pp toward Coalition

Nearest polling places

  • WiangareeLabor 30.1% · Coalition 69.9% TPP (2025)5.0 km away
  • KyogleLabor 42.4% · Coalition 57.6% TPP (2025)17.9 km away
  • Kyogle SouthLabor 30.3% · Coalition 69.7% TPP (2025)18.2 km away
  • CawonglaLabor 71.5% · Coalition 28.5% TPP (2025)21.5 km away
  • NimbinLabor 81.6% · Coalition 18.4% TPP (2025)31.3 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
4/10
IRSD decile (2021)
4/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD and IRSD deciles)

Data sources & freshness

More in Kyogle Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.