NSW · Kyogle Council

Upper Horseshoe Creek, 2474

Est. population · Jun 2025

124

Growth (1 yr)

+0.8%

Growth (5 yr)

+2.5%

Median age

52

Median income

$1,062/wk

Employment rate

43%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$618,000

Languages at home

8%non-English

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

  • Excellent transport
What Upper Horseshoe Creek is known for: Excellent transport

Suburb profile

In Kyogle Council, Upper Horseshoe Creek keeps a rural calm, a smaller community with room to breathe and a strong local rhythm. Trips to Sydney are an outing, not a routine: neighbouring regional centres do more of the heavy lifting. A mature community gives the area a calm, settled social fabric, with families and grandchildren still a visible part of community life.

With limited local amenities, residents regularly travel to a neighbouring town for shops, appointments and a wider choice. Open space is thinner than in many comparable suburbs, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. A car helps for most daily errands, though buses still link the suburb further afield.

Purchase and rent costs sit on the more affordable side of the local range. The streetscape feels settled and established, with older homes giving the area a familiar, lived-in look.

At a glance

Upper Horseshoe Creek snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$618k

+18% change

Median rent

$500/wk

Population (ERP)

124

+0.8% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

18.2%

Census unoccupied dwellings

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Safety

11th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

60th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

3/10

national SEIFA decile

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Housing

Houses (January to March 2026)
$500
Median house price (October to December 2025)
$618,000
Median price change
+17.6%

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

124(June 2025)

+0.8% annual · +2.5% over 5 years · 60th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+0.8%
5-year growth
+2.5%
Change in 1 year
+1
Change in 5 years
+3
Growth rank in NSW
60th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~100), extrapolated at +0.0% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
118
Median age
52
Median household income / week
$1,062
Dwelling vacancy
18.2%
Unoccupied private dwellings
8 of 44
Median monthly mortgage
$1,250
Employment rate
43%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
39 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences are unchanged compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
4
Against the person
1
Against property
2
Rate per 1,000 residents
32.3
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 118 residents
State safety percentile
10.7th (lower crime is better)
Increase (daily rate)
+0.3%

Most common offence types

  • Arson18
  • Domestic Violence Related Assault15
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment24
  • Malicious Damage To Property24
  • Non-Domestic Violence Related Assault22

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Public transport

17 public transport stops in this suburb

  • 692 Horseshoe Creek Rd
  • 916 Horseshoe Creek Rd
  • Horseshoe Creek Rd At Hayes Rd
  • Horseshoe Creek Rd Opp 941
  • Horseshoe Creek Rd Opp Hayes Rd

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

1 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
  • Reasonable bus and transport access17 public transport stops
Walkability proxy
26/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
0
Other(1)
  • Information

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Health access

Nearest hospital
Nimbin Health Service (15.8 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
4
Participants per 1,000 residents
32.3

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
28° / 18°
Rainfall
493 mm · ~62 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
25° / 14°
Rainfall
343 mm · ~43 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
20° / 7°
Rainfall
144 mm · ~18 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
25° / 12°
Rainfall
249 mm · ~31 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal (lodged 2020–2026).

3 planning-related records

2022· 1 proposal
  • February 2022

  • Dwelling; Alterations and additions to residential development; Change of use
    44 Hayes Road Upper Horseshoe CreekDetermined
2021· 2 proposals
  • September 2021

  • Shed
    626 HORSESHOE CREEK ROAD UPPER HORSESHOE CREEK 2474Determined
  • August 2021

  • Industrial development
    1173 Horseshoe Creek Road Upper Horseshoe CreekDetermined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
Overlay applies

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Page
Member of Parliament
Kevin HOGAN (The Nationals)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
129,373
Turnout (2025)
91.8%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+1.4 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 59.3%Labor 40.7%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 28.3 km away).

Coalition 42.5%Labor 57.5%

16.8 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: -1.1 pp toward Coalition

Nearest polling places

  • CawonglaLabor 71.5% · Coalition 28.5% TPP (2025)11.3 km away
  • WiangareeLabor 30.1% · Coalition 69.9% TPP (2025)14.7 km away
  • NimbinLabor 81.6% · Coalition 18.4% TPP (2025)14.9 km away
  • KyogleLabor 42.4% · Coalition 57.6% TPP (2025)17.4 km away
  • Kyogle SouthLabor 30.3% · Coalition 69.7% TPP (2025)17.9 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
3/10
IRSD decile (2021)
4/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Kyogle Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.