Median house price
$637k
+19% change
NSW · Tamworth Regional Council
Warral, 2340
Est. population · Jun 2025
471
Growth (1 yr)
+1.5%
Growth (5 yr)
+5.6%
Median age
46
Median income
$2,152/wk
Employment rate
63.9%
Median house price · October to December 2025
$637,000
Languages at home
2.9%non-English
Mostly English at home
2021 Census · usual residence
Desirability score
- Excellent transport
- High desirability
Suburb profile
Warral offers a slower smaller community life in Tamworth Regional Council, with open surrounds and a close-knit community feel. Long-term locals and family households define much of the community, with plenty of young families in the mix. Life here is grounded in local routine rather than big-city choice.
Local shops are sparse, so a fuller set of amenities usually means travelling to a neighbouring town or regional hub. Open space is thinner than in many regional towns, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. Buses and trains are a genuine asset, linking residents to work, study and nearby neighbourhoods.
Buyers typically pay more than the metro middle for a home here. Tree-lined streets and established homes set the tone, with little pressure to reinvent the neighbourhood.
Against similar regional towns, the suburb sits below average overall, mainly because local dining and lifestyle amenities, plus safety lag behind, despite relative strength in community and employment. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.
At a glance
Warral snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
$490/wk
Houses $525 · Units $390
Population (ERP)
471
+1.5% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
15.2%
Census unoccupied dwellings
Livability profile
Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Desirability
#256
among Country & regional · Mature
Safety
92nd
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
79th
percentile in NSW
Advantage (IRSAD)
7/10
national SEIFA decile
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Desirability
Ranks & confidence
- Desirability score
- 35.8/100 — Below average
- National rank
- 4515th in Australia
- State rank
- 1436th in NSW
- Peer rank
- #256 among Country & regional · Mature suburbs
- Cohort rank
- #537 among Country & regional suburbs
- Data confidence
- 71%
Data sources & freshness
- Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
Housing
- Flats / units (January to March 2026)
- $390
- Houses (January to March 2026)
- $525
- All types (January to March 2026)
- $490
- Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
- 551
- Median house price (October to December 2025)
- $637,000
- Median price change
- +19.1%
Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.
Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)
Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum
Data sources & freshness
- DCJ rent and sales tables — NSW Department of Communities and Justice · January to March 2026; October to December 2025 · Updated · Quarterly releases
Population
Estimated resident population
471(June 2025)
+1.5% annual · +5.6% over 5 years · 79th percentile in NSW
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +1.5%
- 5-year growth
- +5.6%
- Change in 1 year
- +7
- Change in 5 years
- +25
- Growth rank in NSW
- 79th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~500), extrapolated at +0.9% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 445
- Median age
- 46
- Median household income / week
- $2,152
- Dwelling vacancy
- 15.2%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 24 of 158
- Median monthly mortgage
- $2,015
- Employment rate
- 63.9%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 138 / 0 / 0
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
- 70
- Against the person
- 18
- Against property
- 28
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 148.6
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 25 residents
- State safety percentile
- 91.8th (lower crime is better)
- Decrease (daily rate)
- -2.5%
Most common offence types
- Breach Apprehended Violence Order550
- Breach Bail Conditions1095
- Domestic Violence Related Assault695
- Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment697
- Malicious Damage To Property790
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- BOCSAR postcode crime statistics — NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows
Family & Lifestyle
Public transport
83 public transport stops in this suburb
- 5108 Werris Creek Rd
- Gowrie Rd At Rocky Water Hole Rd
- Kelsos Lane At Warral Rd
- Werris Creek Rd Opp 5108
- Werris Creek Rd Opp 5222
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
- Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0) — Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed
Amenities
2 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km
Local character & venue list
Local character
- A car helps for daily errands
- Well connected by public transport — 83 public transport stops
- Walkability proxy
- 30/100
- Cafés per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Food & drink per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Parks per 1,000 residents
- 0
Transport(1)
1 train stations
Other(1)
- Warral Rural Fire BrigadeFire station
Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Nearest hospital
- Tamworth Cardiology (10.4 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 12
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 25.5
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 29° / 15°
- Rainfall
- 261 mm · ~33 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 23° / 10°
- Rainfall
- 132 mm · ~16 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 15° / 3°
- Rainfall
- 157 mm · ~20 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 23° / 9°
- Rainfall
- 209 mm · ~26 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.
2026· 3 proposals
August 2026
- Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Animal boarding or training establishment45 WARRAL-BITHRAMERE ROAD WARRAL 2340Under Assessment
- Shed; Erection of a new structure588 WARRAL ROAD WARRAL 2340Under Assessment
July 2026
- Shed; Erection of a new structure660 WARRAL ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
2025· 10 proposals
December 2025
- Shed; Erection of a new structure36-38 HEILIGMANS LANE WARRAL 2340Determined
November 2025
- Subdivision5498 DURI ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
September 2025
- Erection of a new structure; Garage, carport or carparking space14A IMPALA ESTATE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
August 2025
- Subdivision348 MEADOWS LANE WARRAL 2340Additional Information Requested
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Manufactured home; Residential Accommodation14A IMPALA ESTATE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
- Subdivision331 WARRAL-BITHRAMERE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
May 2025
- Home business; Home occupation; Mobile food and drink outlet; Take away food and drink; Hours of operation and trading29A HEILIGMANS LANE WARRAL 2340Determined
March 2025
- Shed; Erection of a new structure; Garage, carport or carparking space203 KELSOS LANE WARRAL 2340Determined
February 2025
- Shed; Erection of a new structure85 WARRAL-BITHRAMERE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
January 2025
- Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Light industry118 WARRAL-BITHRAMERE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
2024· 8 proposals
December 2024
- Shed; Erection of a new structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah16A IMPALA ESTATE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
September 2024
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure71 PHILLIP LANE WARRAL 2340Determined
- Shed; Erection of a new structure21A IMPALA ESTATE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
August 2024
- Erection of a new structure; Electricity generating facility (solar and wind); Other Infrastructure329 COUNTRY ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
May 2024
- Subdivision14 IMPALA ESTATE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
April 2024
- Subdivision507 HEILIGMANS LANE WARRAL 2340Determined
January 2024
- Shed; Erection of a new structure145 WARRAL-BITHRAMERE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure296 MEADOWS LANE WARRAL 2340Determined
2023· 3 proposals
August 2023
- Balconies, decks, patios, terraces or verandahs; Garages, carports and car parking spaces47 WARRAL-BITHRAMERE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
March 2023
- Other329 COUNTRY ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
February 2023
- Shed3 WARRAL-BITHRAMERE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
2022· 10 proposals
December 2022
- Dwelling; Garages, carports and car parking spaces3 WARRAL-BITHRAMERE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
November 2022
- Shed3 WARRAL-BITHRAMERE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
October 2022
- Pools / decks / fencing; Alterations and additions to residential development; Garages, carports and car parking spaces; ShedSPAINS LANE WARRAL 2340Determined
- Pools / decks / fencing43 HEILIGMANS LANE WARRAL 2340Determined
September 2022
- Garages, carports and car parking spacesWARRAL-BITHRAMERE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
July 2022
- Shed26 IMPALA ESTATE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
- Dwelling4978 WERRIS CREEK ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
June 2022
- Subdivision of land5498 DURI ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
May 2022
- Dual occupancy; Pools / decks / fencing; Farm buildings193 WARRAL-BITHRAMERE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
April 2022
- Dwelling; Demolition355 GOWRIE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
2021· 2 proposals
September 2021
- Dwelling47 HEILIGMANS LANE WARRAL 2340Determined
July 2021
- Subdivision of land14 IMPALA ESTATE ROAD WARRAL 2340Determined
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- Online DA development application register — NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure · 2026 · Updated · Daily feed (from Oct 2018)
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- Overlay applies
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- New England
- Member of Parliament
- Barnaby JOYCE (The Nationals)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 131,238
- Turnout (2025)
- 91.6%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- -1.9 pp toward Coalition
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 67.1%Labor 32.9%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 8.2 km away).
Coalition 65.9%Labor 34.1%
1.2 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +1.4 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
- Hillvue WestLabor 44.2% · Coalition 55.8% TPP (2025)6.1 km away
- WestdaleLabor 34.8% · Coalition 65.2% TPP (2025)6.9 km away
- Peel WestLabor 38.9% · Coalition 61.1% TPP (2025)7.0 km away
- HillvueLabor 31.7% · Coalition 68.3% TPP (2025)7.1 km away
- TimbumburiLabor 23.9% · Coalition 76.1% TPP (2025)7.7 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 7/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 7/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
More in Tamworth Regional Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.