NSW · Liverpool Plains Council

Willow Tree, 2339

Est. population · Jun 2025

337

Growth (1 yr)

0.0%

Growth (5 yr)

-0.3%

Median age

51

Median income

$961/wk

Employment rate

44.9%

Languages at home

1.1%non-English

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

33.3/100
Below average

1603rd in NSW

Verified 78% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Excellent transport
  • Green suburb
  • Education hub
  • Café precinct
  • High desirability
What Willow Tree is known for: Excellent transport, Green suburb, Education hub, Café precinct, High desirability

Suburb profile

Away from the major hubs, Willow Tree is a smaller community in Liverpool Plains Council with its own quieter rhythm. Retirees and empty-nesters are well represented here, with multiple generations sharing the same neighbourhood. Food and coffee punch above the usual for regional towns, giving the suburb a lived-in social scene.

Green space punches above what many regional towns offer, with parks and playgrounds woven through the suburb. Buses and trains make commuting and cross-suburb trips straightforward. Homes are relatively cheap compared with the wider market, which keeps entry costs lower.

Crime trends have improved of late compared with the previous period. Tree-lined streets and established homes set the tone, with little pressure to reinvent the neighbourhood.

Versus similar regional towns, the suburb reads below average on desirability, chiefly because community and employment, plus growth momentum trail behind. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Willow Tree snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

No data available

Median rent

No data available

Population (ERP)

337

0.0% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

18.1%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#325

among Country & regional · Mature

Safety

44th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

38th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

2/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

38th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
33.3/100 — Below average
National rank
5002nd in Australia
State rank
1603rd in NSW
Peer rank
#325 among Country & regional · Mature suburbs
Cohort rank
#649 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
78%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Population

Estimated resident population

337(June 2025)

0.0% annual · -0.3% over 5 years · 38th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
0.0%
5-year growth
-0.3%
Change in 1 year
0
Change in 5 years
-1
Growth rank in NSW
38th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~350), extrapolated at -0.1% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
327
Median age
51
Median household income / week
$961
Dwelling vacancy
18.1%
Unoccupied private dwellings
26 of 144
Median monthly mortgage
$988
Employment rate
44.9%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
122 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
21
Against the person
7
Against property
7
Rate per 1,000 residents
62.3
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 47 residents
State safety percentile
44th (lower crime is better)
Decrease (daily rate)
-12.3%

Most common offence types

  • Domestic Violence Related Assault5
  • Fraud6
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment8
  • Prohibited And Regulated Weapons Offences4
  • Trespass3

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
1
Median school ICSEA
982
Median ICSEA percentile
38th
School list
  • Willow Tree Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 982 · 38th percentile · LBOTE 4% · 51 students · Top SEA quarter 8%View on My School →

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA

Data sources & freshness

Public transport

44 public transport stops in this suburb

  • 248 Borambil Creek Rd
  • 342 Borambil Creek Rd
  • Borambil Creek Rd Opp 248
  • Borambil Creek Rd Opp 342
  • Willow Tree Public School, Merriwa Rd

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

35 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

2 cafes · 1 pubs · 2 places of worship · 1 playgrounds · 1 sports centres

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • A car helps for daily errands
  • Great for outdoor family life1 parks mapped in suburb, 1 playgrounds nearby
  • Well connected by public transport44 public transport stops
Walkability proxy
36/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
6.12
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
9.17
Parks per 1,000 residents
3.06
Food & drink(3)
  • Cafe
  • Plains Pantry Gourmet GrocerCafe

    6 Cadell Street, Willow Tree

  • Graze Willow Tree InnPub
Shopping(1)
  • Hanna Butcher ShopButcher
Sport & outdoors(4)
  • King George V Memorial ParkPark
  • Playground
  • Willow Tree Bowling ClubSports centre
  • Sports field
Transport(2)

2 train stations

Other(24)
  • Bbq
  • Willow Tree Freedom CampCamp Site
  • Car repair
  • Random Rural Art GalleryGallery
  • Plains Pantry Gourmet GrocerGeneral
  • Graze Willow Tree InnHotel
  • Iron & SageHouseware;Leather;Gift;Garden Centre
  • Willow Tree Tourist Information CentreInformation
  • Plains Pantry Gourmet GrocerNewsagent
  • Parking
  • Willow Tree Rest Area East SideParking
  • Willow Tree Rest Area North EndParking
  • Willow Tree Rest Area West SideParking
  • Place of worship
  • St OswaldsPlace of worship
  • Willow Tree Police StationPolice
  • Australia PostPost Box
  • Public toilets
  • Willow Tree Rest AreaPublic toilets
  • Willow Tree Rest Area Information CentrePublic toilets
  • Shelter (2)
  • Shower
  • TelstraTelephone
  • Araluen Canvas GoodsYes

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

1 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • King George V Memorial ParkPark

Data sources & freshness

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
7
Parks (OSM)
1

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Places of worship

2 places of worship within ~1.5 km

  • Place of worship
  • St Oswalds

From OpenStreetMap within ~1.5 km of the suburb centre.

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Quirindi Hospital (16.2 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
10
Participants per 1,000 residents
29.7

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
29° / 16°
Rainfall
291 mm · ~36 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
23° / 11°
Rainfall
200 mm · ~25 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
16° / 5°
Rainfall
175 mm · ~22 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
23° / 10°
Rainfall
220 mm · ~28 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.

2026· 3 proposals
  • April 2026

  • Home business; Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia
    8456 NEW ENGLAND HIGHWAY WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
  • Subdivision
    8284 NEW ENGLAND HIGHWAY WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
  • February 2026

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure; Supporting Development
    5 RAPHIE HOWARD DRIVE WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
2025· 1 proposal
  • April 2025

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    5 RAPHIE HOWARD DRIVE WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
2024· 4 proposals
  • June 2024

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    22 LEARMONTH STREET WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
  • April 2024

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Extractive Industries (non-mining)
    256 MERRIWA ROAD WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
  • March 2024

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    77 KANKOOL ACCESS ROAD WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
  • February 2024

  • Demolition; Residential flat building
    36 NEW ENGLAND HIGHWAY WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
2023· 4 proposals
  • December 2023

  • Erection of a new structure; Manufactured home
    6 HALL STREET WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    6 HALL STREET WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
  • September 2023

  • Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (detached)
    33 NEW ENGLAND HIGHWAY WILLOW TREE 2339Withdrawn
  • February 2023

  • Waste and resource management facilities
    258 MERRIWA ROAD WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
2022· 6 proposals
  • November 2022

  • Shed
    11 HALL STREET WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
  • Dwelling
    28 Learmonth Street, Willow Tree, NSWDetermined
  • September 2022

  • Other
    256 MERRIWA ROAD WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
  • March 2022

  • Other
    256 MERRIWA ROAD WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
  • February 2022

  • Shed
    17 LEARMONTH STREET WILLOW TREE 2339Withdrawn
  • Secondary dwelling
    5 EIPPER STREET WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
2021· 4 proposals
  • December 2021

  • Dwelling
    52 LEARMONTH STREET WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
  • Dwelling
    148 WARRAH PARK LANE WILLOW TREE 2339Determined
  • August 2021

  • Garages, carports and car parking spaces
    52 LEARMONTH STREET WILLOW TREE 2339Deferred Commencement
  • July 2021

  • Business premises; Retail premises
    32 NEW ENGLAND HIGHWAY WILLOW TREE 2339Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
Overlay applies

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
New England
Member of Parliament
Barnaby JOYCE (The Nationals)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
131,238
Turnout (2025)
91.6%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
-1.9 pp toward Coalition

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 67.1%Labor 32.9%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 41.8 km away).

Coalition 85.1%Labor 14.9%

18.0 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: -7.1 pp toward Coalition

Nearest polling places

  • Willow TreeLabor 14.0% · Coalition 86.0% TPP (2025)2.1 km away
  • WallabadahLabor 19.9% · Coalition 80.1% TPP (2025)14.4 km away
  • MurrurundiLabor 31.3% · Coalition 68.7% TPP (2025)15.0 km away
  • QuirindiLabor 30.9% · Coalition 69.1% TPP (2025)17.8 km away
  • WingenLabor 29.3% · Coalition 70.7% TPP (2025)29.8 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
2/10
IRSD decile (2021)
2/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Liverpool Plains Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.