QLD · Western Downs Council
Chances Plain, 4413
Current weather
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83% humidity · 11.4 km/h wind · 21° / 12.1° today · 0 mm rain
Updated
- Green suburb
Suburb profile
Chances Plain is a welcoming smaller community in Western Downs, with a settled community character. Set in the wider countryside, it offers distance from the capital and a strong sense of place. The area suits established families and long-term locals, with family life visible on every street.
Weekends tend to revolve around local favourites: a café, a market run, a walk through town. Local identity runs deep. This is the kind of place people stay once they have found it.
The market sits in a sensible middle ground: not cheap, but fair value for the area.
Population
- Population
- 158
- Median age
- 43
- Median household income / week
- $1,906
- Dwelling vacancy
- 0%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 0 of 49
- Median monthly mortgage
- $1,484
- Employment rate
- 66.9%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 3 / 0 / 0
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Period: 2021 · Updated on site · 2021 Census release
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
- Total offences (Jan 2026 to Jul 2026)
- 8
- Against the person
- 2
- Against property
- 3
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 50.6
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 79 residents
- State safety percentile
- 66.3th (lower crime is better)
- Increase (daily rate, partial year)
- +6.4%
Reported offences are running lower than the same point last year.
Reported offences by period
Most common offence types
- Assault50
- Drug Offences88
- Other Property Damage50
- Other Theft (Excl. Unlawful Entry)60
- Traffic And Related Offences62
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- QPS Online Crime Map — Queensland Police Service · Period: Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 → Jan 2026 to Jul 2026; Jan 2026 to Jul 2026 · Updated on site · Calendar-year aggregates
Amenities
No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · Period: current · Updated on site · Weekly refresh
Socio-economic (SEIFA)
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 8/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 9/10
SEIFA indexes from ABS 2021. Decile 10 = most advantaged / least disadvantaged in Australia.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Period: 2021 · Updated on site · 2021 SEIFA release
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- No overlay at centroid
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Queensland Bushfire Prone Area mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · Period: current · Updated on site
Recent changes
- Assaultcrime50
- Drug Offencescrime88
- Other Property Damagecrime50
- Other Theft (Excl. Unlawful Entry)crime60
- Traffic And Related Offencescrime62
Data sources & freshness
- QPS Online Crime Map — Queensland Police Service · Updated on site · Calendar-year aggregates
More in Western Downs Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Queensland.