SA · Ceduna Council

Denial Bay, 5690

Est. population · Jun 2025

158

Growth (1 yr)

+0.6%

Growth (5 yr)

+4.0%

Median age

46

Median income

$1,024/wk

Employment rate

53.8%

University qualified

5.9%

Work from home

6.2%

Languages at home

8.3%non-English

Most common: Australian Indigenous languages

2021 Census · usual residence

  • Remote
What Denial Bay is known for: Remote

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Denial Bay, SA suburb snapshot — Suburb Guide

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Suburb Guide, “Denial Bay, SA Suburb Guide”, updated 2 October 2026, https://suburb.guide/sa/denial-bay

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Suburb profile

Denial Bay is a remote locality in South Australia, in Ceduna Council. It is close to the Murat Bay and the Eyre Peninsula.

Open-space access is exceptionally strong, placing it among the highest-ranked remote localities. Mapped flood cover is slightly stronger than in comparable places, and recorded road crashes are a relative strength, with recorded road crashes 79% below the peer median. The clearer weaknesses are thinner local amenities and household incomes, with local amenities 100% below the peer median.

Overall, the suburb suits people prioritising open space over local amenities.

Generated from the official metrics on this page. It can omit nuance or contain errors — check the tables and source notes before relying on it.

Strengths and weaknesses

Remote locality · compared with remote localities in South Australia (321)

Strengths

  • Open-space access is exceptionally strong
  • Mapped flood cover is a relative strength
  • Recorded road crashes are a relative strength

Weaknesses

  • Local amenity access is relatively limited
  • Household incomes are a relative weakness

What stands out

  • Murat Bay
  • Eyre Peninsula

Who it suits

  • StudentsInsufficient data

Housing, growth and risk

How Denial Bay compares

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

—

No data available

Median rent (Census)

$265/wk

2021 Census median weekly rent

Population (ERP)

158

+0.6% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

17.3%

Census unoccupied dwellings

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Crime rate

39th

percentile in state (higher = more crime)

Pop. growth

59th

percentile in SA

Rented dwellings

19%

2021 Census tenure

Advantage (IRSAD)

5/10

national SEIFA decile

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Population

Estimated resident population

158(June 2025)

+0.6% annual · +4.0% over 5 years · 59th percentile in SA

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+0.6%
5-year growth
+4.0%
Change in 1 year
+1
Change in 5 years
+6
Growth rank in SA
59th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~150), extrapolated at +0.4% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
153
Median age
46
Median household income / week
$1,024
Dwelling vacancy
17.3%
Unoccupied private dwellings
13 of 75
Median monthly mortgage
$1,248
Median weekly rent (2021 Census)
$265
Tenure (owned / mortgaged / rented)
46.6% / 34.5% / 19%
Employment rate
53.8%
Travel to work (WFH / public transport / car)
6.2% / 0% / 83.1%
Walked or cycled to work
0%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
66 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%) · Accessibility (12%) · Future Growth (6%)

Employment, household income and owned-outright tenure (2021 Census) Work-from-home and public-transport commute shares (2021 Census) Five-year population change as a healthy-growth band, not a boom bonus

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Qualifications

5.9% of adults have a university degree, compared with 22.6% across South Australia. 22% have a trade or vocational qualification.

  • University qualified5.9% · 22.6% SA
  • Diploma qualified13.6% · 8.6% SA
  • Trade / vocational22% · 17.5% SA
  • Year 12 or below58.5% · 51.2% SA

Highest qualification field

Main field of the highest non-school qualification (2021 Census).

  • Engineering and related technologies25%
  • Management and commerce21.2%
  • Society and culture17.3%
  • Education13.5%
  • Creative arts5.8%
  • Food, hospitality and personal services5.8%
How these groups are defined
MeasureDefinition
University qualifiedBachelor degree or higher
Diploma qualifiedAdvanced Diploma / Diploma
Trade / vocationalCertificate III + IV
Year 12Year 12 as highest attainment
Below Year 12Year 11 / 10 / 9 or below

People aged 15 years and over, 2021 Census. University, diploma and trade shares match ABS highest educational attainment (HEAP). Year 12 and below Year 12 are combined in the chart because the General Community Profile reports school-only attainment as a residual.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%)

University qualifications from the 2021 Census

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Tax & income

Median taxable income (2023–24)
$57,440

65th percentile in SA · -2% vs Australia

Median salary / wages (2023–24)
$55,546

43rd percentile in SA · -15% vs Australia

Residents with rental investments
11.0%

36th percentile in SA · -20% vs Australia

Median super balance (2023–24)
$52,916

19th percentile in SA · -16% vs Australia

Residents with business income
9.0%

32nd percentile in SA · -13% vs Australia

Australian Taxation Office Taxation Statistics 2023–24, individuals Table 25. Figures describe taxpayers who live in postcode 5690 — not a suburb-level official statistic. Rental investment is the share of local taxpayers reporting rental income or loss, not the share of local properties owned by investors.

Counts, net rent & state comparison
Taxpayers in this postcode
2,266
Taxpayers reporting net rent
259
Median net rent
$858
Taxpayers reporting business income
210
Taxable income vs state median
+6%
Salary / wages vs state median
-3%
Rental investment vs state median
-8%
Super vs state median
-32%
Business income vs state median
-18%

Percentiles rank this postcode among unique postcodes in SA, so suburbs that share a postcode are not counted twice. Dollar figures are compared with Australia-wide ATO medians from the same release. Median net rent is among taxpayers who reported the rent label and can be negative.

Data sources & freshness

  • Taxation Statistics 2023–24 — individuals by postcode (Table 25) — Australian Taxation Office · Updated · Annual release; taxpayer residential postcode, not suburb boundary

Community & culture

8.3% speak a language other than English at home; 9% born overseas

Language at home
132 English only · 12 other
Non-English at home
8.3%
Born overseas
13 (9%)
Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander
14 (9.2%)
Australian citizens
140
Languages spoken at home (other than English)
1

Top languages other than English

Share of residents who speak a language other than English at home (2021 Census).

  • Australian Indigenous languages5 · 100%

Religion

48.4%Most common religion · Christianity

Christianity is the most common response at 48.4%, while 45.1% reported no religion.

MeasureSuburbState
No religion45.1%45.2%
Christianity48.4%40%
Other / not stated6.5%14.7%
Christian denominations
DenominationSuburbState
Anglican13.1%7.2%
Lutheran13.1%2.4%
Catholic10.5%15.5%

2021 Census — languages spoken at home, birthplace, Indigenous status, and religious affiliation (usual residence). Religion is optional on the Census form.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (2025–26)
4
Against the person
3
Against property
1
Rate per 1,000 residents
25.3
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 51 residents
State crime-rate percentile
39.3th (higher = more crime)
Family & domestic abuse offences
289
Increase (daily rate)
+100%
Recorded road crashes (in suburb)
1
Crash rate per 1,000 residents (state rank)
6.33

Most common offence types

  • Acts That Threaten, Harass, Or Control1
  • Damage Or Destroy Property1
  • Serious Assault2

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (22%)

Crime rate, offences against the person, year-on-year trend and recorded road crash rates

Data sources & freshness

Family & Lifestyle

Amenities

No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (12%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport per 1,000 residents (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Green cover

Green cover of suburb area
0%
Woodland / forest cover
0%
Parks & woodland features (OSM)
1
Parks (OSM)
1
Typical summer maximum
30°C

Green cover is the share of this suburb's boundary overlapping OpenStreetMap parks, woodland and forest polygons — not a satellite tree-canopy product. Summer maximum is the WorldClim / Open-Meteo seasonal normal already collected for Weather.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (12%)

Tree canopy first, then green-cover area and parks per 1,000

Data sources & freshness

  • OpenStreetMap green cover and tree canopy — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated · Park/woodland polygons intersected with suburb boundaries

Health access

Nearest hospital
Ceduna District Health Service (10.8 km)
Nearest hospital type
Public Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department
GP clinics in suburb
0

GP clinic counts from OpenStreetMap. Bulk-billing figures only include clinics tagged in OSM (sparse and unofficial — not a Medicare list).

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (12%)

Hospitals, GPs and aged care

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
2
Participants per 1,000 residents
12.7

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
30° / 16°
Rainfall
38 mm · ~5 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
25° / 11°
Rainfall
55 mm · ~7 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
18° / 6°
Rainfall
103 mm · ~13 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
25° / 11°
Rainfall
76 mm · ~10 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (12%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from PlanSA register and EPA licensed activities.

2026· 1 proposal
  • August 2026

  • Boundary Adjustment
    884 DENIAL BAY RD DENIAL BAY SA 5690;LOT 91 DENIAL BAY RD DENIAL BAY SA 5690Under Assessment
2025· 2 proposals
  • July 2025

  • Erection of 25 ft x 35 ft x 12 ft Olympic zincalume shed (as per attached plans) at northern end of block. Shed pad and erection of shed to be completed by applicant.
    852 DENIAL BAY RD DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
  • April 2025

  • Outbuilding (Garage)
    17 -19 MCKENZIE ST DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
2024· 2 proposals
  • August 2024

  • Detached dwelling with verandah and water tanks
    850 DENIAL BAY RD DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
  • March 2024

  • Two-level Detached Dwelling with associated Water Tanks.
    LOT 49 YENDALL ST DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
2022· 1 proposal
  • December 2022

  • Shed (store)
    8 SAUNDERS DR DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
2021· 3 proposals
  • October 2021

  • New detached dwelling, outbuilding (colorbond shed) & 3 x 25,500L above ground water tanks .
    18 PEAKE TCE DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
  • July 2021

  • Enclose part of front verandah
    6 MAIN ST DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
  • February 2021

  • Outbuilding in the form of a garage (Shed to store Motor vehicles, caravan, camper trailer, and tractor)
    26-28 MCKENZIE ST DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
2020· 1 proposal
  • December 2020

  • Store (storage shed)
    822 DENIAL BAY RD DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made

Data sources & freshness

Heritage

1 heritage place

  • Former McKenzie's Landing, within Murat BayDue South of Part Block 1 DENIAL BAYState heritage

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (12%)

Heritage listings as established streetscape

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
Overlay applies
Flood / inundation overlay
97.6% of suburb boundary

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid against all current SA Planning risk layers (high, medium, general, urban interface, regional, outback). Flood cover is the share of the suburb boundary overlapping current SA Planning flood overlays (flooding and evidence required). Safer places from CFS designated locations.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (22%)

Bushfire and flood hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Grey
Member of Parliament
Tom VENNING (Liberal)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
128,707
Turnout (2025)
89.4%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+5.4 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 54.6%Labor 45.4%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 207.3 km away).

Coalition 61.6%Labor 38.4%

7.0 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +2.6 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • CedunaLabor 40.0% · Coalition 60.0% TPP (2025)11.6 km away
  • Smoky BayLabor 23.7% · Coalition 76.3% TPP (2025)46.2 km away
  • WirrullaLabor 21.8% · Coalition 78.2% TPP (2025)97.8 km away
  • Streaky BayLabor 30.9% · Coalition 69.1% TPP (2025)98.0 km away
  • PoocheraLabor 14.9% · Coalition 85.1% TPP (2025)138.3 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
5/10
IRSD decile (2021)
4/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD and IRSD deciles)

Data sources & freshness

More in Ceduna Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of South Australia.