Median house price
—
No data available
SA · Ceduna Council
Denial Bay, 5690
Est. population · Jun 2025
158
Growth (1 yr)
+0.6%
Growth (5 yr)
+4.0%
Median age
46
Median income
$1,024/wk
Employment rate
53.8%
Languages at home
8.3%non-English
Most common: Australian Indigenous languages
2021 Census · usual residence
- Heritage area
Suburb profile
In Ceduna Council, Denial Bay keeps a rural calm, a smaller community with room to breathe and a strong local rhythm. Far from Adelaide, it rewards people who want real remove from the city rather than a long-commute suburb. The area suits established families and long-term locals, with plenty of young families in the mix.
With limited local amenities, residents regularly travel to a neighbouring town for shops, appointments and a wider choice. Outdoor life is easy here, with generous parks and room for kids, dogs and weekend strolls. A car helps for most daily errands, with fewer amenities clustered within an easy walk.
Housing sits in the middle of the local market: neither cheap nor premium. Tree-lined streets and established homes set the tone, with little pressure to reinvent the neighbourhood.
At a glance
Denial Bay snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
—
No data available
Population (ERP)
158
+0.6% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
17.3%
Census unoccupied dwellings
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Safety
13th
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
59th
percentile in SA
Advantage (IRSAD)
5/10
national SEIFA decile
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Population
Estimated resident population
158(June 2025)
+0.6% annual · +4.0% over 5 years · 59th percentile in SA
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +0.6%
- 5-year growth
- +4.0%
- Change in 1 year
- +1
- Change in 5 years
- +6
- Growth rank in SA
- 59th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~150), extrapolated at +0.4% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 153
- Median age
- 46
- Median household income / week
- $1,024
- Dwelling vacancy
- 17.3%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 13 of 75
- Median monthly mortgage
- $1,248
- Employment rate
- 53.8%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 66 / 0 / 0
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences are unchanged compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (2024–25)
- 2
- Against the person
- 1
- Against property
- 1
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 12.7
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 153 residents
- State safety percentile
- 13th (lower crime is better)
- Family & domestic abuse offences
- 289
- Increase (daily rate)
- +0.3%
Most common offence types
- Other Fraud, Deception And Related Offences1
- Serious Assault Not Resulting In Injury1
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- SAPOL reported crime statistics — South Australia Police — OpenData · 2023-24 → 2024-25; 2024-25 · Updated · Financial-year releases
Family & Lifestyle
Amenities
No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Green cover
- Parks & woodland (OSM)
- 1
- Parks (OSM)
- 1
OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.
Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)
Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- OpenStreetMap green cover — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Nearest hospital
- Ceduna District Health Service (10.8 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Public Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & GP Plus clinics (SA) — SA Health · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 2
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 12.7
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 30° / 16°
- Rainfall
- 38 mm · ~5 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 25° / 11°
- Rainfall
- 55 mm · ~7 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 18° / 6°
- Rainfall
- 103 mm · ~13 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 25° / 11°
- Rainfall
- 76 mm · ~10 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from PlanSA register and EPA licensed activities.
2026· 1 proposal
August 2026
- Boundary Adjustment884 DENIAL BAY RD DENIAL BAY SA 5690;LOT 91 DENIAL BAY RD DENIAL BAY SA 5690Under Assessment
2025· 2 proposals
July 2025
- Erection of 25 ft x 35 ft x 12 ft Olympic zincalume shed (as per attached plans) at northern end of block. Shed pad and erection of shed to be completed by applicant.852 DENIAL BAY RD DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
April 2025
- Outbuilding (Garage)17 -19 MCKENZIE ST DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
2024· 2 proposals
August 2024
- Detached dwelling with verandah and water tanks850 DENIAL BAY RD DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
March 2024
- Two-level Detached Dwelling with associated Water Tanks.LOT 49 YENDALL ST DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
2022· 1 proposal
December 2022
- Shed (store)8 SAUNDERS DR DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
2021· 3 proposals
October 2021
- New detached dwelling, outbuilding (colorbond shed) & 3 x 25,500L above ground water tanks .18 PEAKE TCE DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
July 2021
- Enclose part of front verandah6 MAIN ST DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
February 2021
- Outbuilding in the form of a garage (Shed to store Motor vehicles, caravan, camper trailer, and tractor)26-28 MCKENZIE ST DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
2020· 1 proposal
December 2020
- Store (storage shed)822 DENIAL BAY RD DENIAL BAY SA 5690Decision Made
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- PlanSA development applications & EPA licences — Government of South Australia — PlanSA · 2026 · Updated
Heritage
1 heritage place
- Former McKenzie's Landing, within Murat BayDue South of Part Block 1 DENIAL BAYState heritage
Data sources & freshness
- SA Heritage Places database — Department for Environment and Water (SA) · current · Updated
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- Overlay applies
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid against all current SA Planning risk layers (high, medium, general, urban interface, regional, outback). Safer places from CFS designated locations.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Bushfire & hazard overlays (SA) — Government of South Australia · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Grey
- Member of Parliament
- Tom VENNING (Liberal)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 128,707
- Turnout (2025)
- 89.4%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- +5.4 pp toward Labor
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 54.6%Labor 45.4%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 207.3 km away).
Coalition 61.6%Labor 38.4%
7.0 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +2.6 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
- CedunaLabor 40.0% · Coalition 60.0% TPP (2025)11.6 km away
- Smoky BayLabor 23.7% · Coalition 76.3% TPP (2025)46.2 km away
- WirrullaLabor 21.8% · Coalition 78.2% TPP (2025)97.8 km away
- Streaky BayLabor 30.9% · Coalition 69.1% TPP (2025)98.0 km away
- PoocheraLabor 14.9% · Coalition 85.1% TPP (2025)138.3 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 5/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 4/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
More in Ceduna Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of South Australia.