TAS · Circular Head Council

Nelson Bay, 7469

Est. population · Jun 2025

4

Growth (1 yr)

0.0%

Growth (5 yr)

0.0%

Median age

69

Median income

$1,249/wk

Employment rate

50%

Languages at home

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

    What Nelson Bay is known for:

    Suburb profile

    In Circular Head Council, Nelson Bay keeps a rural calm, a smaller community with room to breathe and a strong local rhythm. An older demographic makes it especially popular with retirees. Everyday basics may be close by, but bigger shopping and services typically require a trip to a nearby centre.

    Open space is thinner than in many comparable suburbs, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here than in denser, more walkable pockets. Housing sits in the middle of the local market: neither cheap nor premium.

    Crime trends have improved of late compared with the previous period. This is a mature, settled pocket where the existing streetscape still defines the local character.

    At a glance

    Nelson Bay snapshot

    A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

    Median house price

    No data available

    Median rent

    No data available

    Population (ERP)

    4

    0.0% annual growth

    Dwelling vacancy

    85.7%

    Census unoccupied dwellings

    How it compares

    Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

    Safety

    99th

    percentile in state (higher = safer)

    Pop. growth

    29th

    percentile in TAS

    Advantage (IRSAD)

    4/10

    national SEIFA decile

    Population growth

    Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

    Risks & flags

    Quick scan — open a section below for full context

    Living here

    Population

    Estimated resident population

    4(June 2025)

    0.0% annual · 0.0% over 5 years · 29th percentile in TAS

    Growth figures & methodology
    Annual growth
    0.0%
    5-year growth
    0.0%
    Change in 1 year
    0
    Change in 5 years
    0
    Growth rank in TAS
    29th percentile

    ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

    Methodology

    Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

    The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~0), extrapolated at +0.0% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

    2021 Census figures

    2021 Census

    Population
    4
    Median age
    69
    Median household income / week
    $1,249
    Dwelling vacancy
    85.7%
    Unoccupied private dwellings
    18 of 21
    Median monthly mortgage
    $0
    Employment rate
    50%
    Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
    0 / 0 / 0

    Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

    Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

    Data sources & freshness

    • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

      The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

    • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

    Community & culture

    No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

    Data sources & freshness

    • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

      The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

    Crime & safety

    Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

    Offence counts & rates
    Total offences (2024–25)
    2,211
    Against the person
    628
    Against property
    1,473
    Rate per 1,000 residents
    552,750
    Person-crime prevalence
    About 1 in 1 residents
    State safety percentile
    99.1th (lower crime is better)
    Decrease (daily rate)
    -14.2%

    Most common offence types

    • Offences Against Property1473
    • Offences Against The Person628
    • Total Offences2211

    Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

    Crime rate and year-on-year trend

    Data sources & freshness

    Family & Lifestyle

    Amenities

    No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.

    Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

    Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

    Data sources & freshness

    • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
    • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

    Green cover

    Parks & woodland (OSM)
    2
    Parks (OSM)
    0

    OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

    Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

    Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

    Data sources & freshness

    Health access

    Nearest hospital
    Smithton District Hospital (47.8 km)
    Nearest hospital type
    Hospital
    Nearest hospital emergency
    Emergency department

    Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

    Hospitals and GP clinics

    Data sources & freshness

    Weather

    Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

    Summer (Dec–Feb)

    Usual max / min
    19° / 11°
    Rainfall
    215 mm · ~27 rainy days

    Autumn (Mar–May)

    Usual max / min
    16° / 9°
    Rainfall
    340 mm · ~42 rainy days

    Winter (Jun–Aug)

    Usual max / min
    12° / 5°
    Rainfall
    497 mm · ~62 rainy days

    Spring (Sep–Nov)

    Usual max / min
    15° / 7°
    Rainfall
    358 mm · ~45 rainy days

    Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

    Temperature and humidity comfort

    Data sources & freshness

    • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

    Future & Planning

    Hazards

    Bushfire planning zone
    Overlay applies

    Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via state planning hazard mapping.

    Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

    Bushfire hazard overlays

    Data sources & freshness

    • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

    Politics & representation

    Federal electorate
    Braddon
    Member of Parliament
    Anne URQUHART (Australian Labor Party)
    Results from
    2025 federal election
    Electorate enrolment (2025)
    84,244
    Turnout (2025)
    93.0%
    Swing since 2022 (2025)
    +15.2 pp toward Labor

    Two-party preferred (2025)

    Coalition 42.8%Labor 57.2%

    Estimated suburb voting profile

    Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 77.7 km away).

    Coalition 58.8%Labor 41.2%

    16.0 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

    Estimated swing since 2022: +10.5 pp toward Labor

    Nearest polling places

    • MarrawahLabor 38.0% · Coalition 62.0% TPP (2025)23.3 km away
    • Edith CreekLabor 37.6% · Coalition 62.4% TPP (2025)38.5 km away
    • SmithtonLabor 47.3% · Coalition 52.7% TPP (2025)48.0 km away
    • ForestLabor 37.4% · Coalition 62.6% TPP (2025)56.9 km away
    • StanleyLabor 50.5% · Coalition 49.5% TPP (2025)65.7 km away

    Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

    Data sources & freshness

    Socio-economic

    IRSAD decile (2021)
    4/10
    IRSD decile (2021)
    4/10

    ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

    What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

    IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

    IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

    A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

    Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

    Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

    Data sources & freshness

    More in Circular Head Council

    Other suburbs in the same local government area.