VIC · Greater Shepparton Council

Arcadia, 3631

Est. population · Jun 2025

211

Growth (1 yr)

+0.5%

Growth (5 yr)

+1.4%

Median age

45

Median income

$1,708/wk

Employment rate

64.7%

Languages at home

1.5%non-English

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

29.5/100
Below average

1090th in VIC

Verified 62% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • National parks
  • Heritage area
  • High desirability
What Arcadia is known for: National parks, Heritage area, High desirability

Suburb profile

In Greater Shepparton Council, Arcadia keeps a rural calm, a smaller community with room to breathe and a strong local rhythm. The area suits established families and long-term locals, with a strong presence of young families throughout. Everyday life leans local, with a handful of trusted shops, a familiar main street and neighbours who know your name.

Open space is thinner than in many regional towns, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here than in denser, more walkable pockets. Buyers typically pay more than the metro middle for a home here.

Local crime has been trending higher of late. Occasional new builds add variety while most of the suburb keeps its established look.

Against similar regional towns, the suburb sits below average overall, mainly because local dining and lifestyle amenities, plus growth momentum lag behind, despite relative strength in housing affordability, plus community and employment. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Arcadia snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

No data available

Median rent

No data available

Population (ERP)

211

+0.5% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

7.1%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#300

among Country & regional · Mature

Safety

74th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

52nd

percentile in VIC

Advantage (IRSAD)

7/10

national SEIFA decile

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
29.5/100 — Below average
National rank
5666th in Australia
State rank
1090th in VIC
Peer rank
#300 among Country & regional · Mature suburbs
Cohort rank
#586 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
62%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Population

Estimated resident population

211(June 2025)

+0.5% annual · +1.4% over 5 years · 52th percentile in VIC

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+0.5%
5-year growth
+1.4%
Change in 1 year
+1
Change in 5 years
+3
Growth rank in VIC
52th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~200), extrapolated at +0.2% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
212
Median age
45
Median household income / week
$1,708
Dwelling vacancy
7.1%
Unoccupied private dwellings
6 of 85
Median monthly mortgage
$1,142
Employment rate
64.7%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
79 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (2026)
20
Against the person
1
Against property
6
Rate per 1,000 residents
94.8
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 212 residents
State safety percentile
74.2th (lower crime is better)
Increase (daily rate)
+53.8%

Most common offence types

  • A81 Dangerous Driving1
  • B321 Residential Non-Aggravated Burglary2
  • C32 Drug Possession8
  • E13 Resist Or Hinder Officer2
  • E21 Breach Family Violence Order2

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

Family & Lifestyle

Amenities

No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

2 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Arcadia H59 Bushland ReserveNature reserve
  • Arcadia Nature Conservation ReserveNature reserve

Data sources & freshness

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
1
Parks (OSM)
0

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Goulburn Valley Health (Tatura) (17.2 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
7
Participants per 1,000 residents
33.2

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
30° / 14°
Rainfall
89 mm · ~11 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
23° / 9°
Rainfall
106 mm · ~13 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
14° / 4°
Rainfall
120 mm · ~15 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
22° / 8°
Rainfall
122 mm · ~15 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).

13 planning-related records

2021· 6 proposals
  • September 2021

  • Use and development of land for a place of assembly (fish hatchery information centre) in the Farming Zone
    200A ROSS ROAD ARCADIA 3631Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • August 2021

  • Buildings and works in the Bushfire Management Overlay for a storage shed
    20 RIVER ROAD ARCADIA 3631Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Buildings and works in the Farming Zone and Floodway Overlay
    305 ROSS ROAD ARCADIA 3631Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Buildings and works in the Farming Zone and Land Subject to Inundation Overlay
    145 CARTERS ROAD ARCADIA 3631Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • June 2021

  • Buildings and works in the Farming Zone and Floodway Overlay for a shed extension
    245 Kennedys RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • February 2021

  • Removal of one dead native tree
    200 Ross RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
2020· 7 proposals
  • November 2020

  • Buildings and works in the Heritage Overlay
    200 Ross RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • October 2020

  • Farm Shed in the LSIO
    160 Karramomus RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Buildings and Works for a garage in the Farming Zone
    115 Castle DrivePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Buildings and works in the Floodway Overlay for an agricultural storage shed
    305 Ross RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • August 2020

  • A Two (2) Lot Subdivision
    720 Central Kialla RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • June 2020

  • Two Lot Subdivision (Boundary Realignment)
    295 Dawson RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Buildings and works in the Farming Zone and Bushfire Management Overlay for a domestic shed
    189 Ross RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Roadworks & transport

7 active roadworks / incidents

  • ITS Delivery activities occurring between 28/04/2026 and 31/12/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 12:00 AM to 12:00 AM, Weekends 12:00 AM to 12:00 AM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed both directions. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.MURCHISON-VIOLET TOWN ROAD, undefined27 Apr 2026 – 30 Dec 2026
  • ITS Delivery activities occurring between 28/04/2026 and 31/12/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 12:00 AM to 12:00 AM, Weekends 12:00 AM to 12:00 AM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed both directions. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.MURCHISON-VIOLET TOWN ROAD27 Apr 2026 – 30 Dec 2026
  • ITS Delivery activities occurring between 28/04/2026 and 31/12/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 12:00 AM to 12:00 AM, Weekends 12:00 AM to 12:00 AM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed both directions. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.MURCHISON-VIOLET TOWN ROAD, GOULBURN VALLEY OUT-MURCHISON-VIOLET TOWN RAMP OF27 Apr 2026 – 30 Dec 2026
  • ITS Delivery activities occurring between 28/04/2026 and 31/12/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 12:00 AM to 12:00 AM, Weekends 12:00 AM to 12:00 AM. Note that changed conditions may also be in place during 12:00 AM to 12:00 AM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed both directions. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.MURCHISON-VIOLET TOWN ROAD, GOULBURN VALLEY OUT-MURCHISON-VIOLET TOWN RAMP OF27 Apr 2026 – 30 Dec 2026
  • ITS Delivery activities occurring between 28/04/2026 and 31/12/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 12:00 AM to 12:00 AM, Weekends 12:00 AM to 12:00 AM. Note that changed conditions may also be in place during 12:00 AM to 12:00 AM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed both directions. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.MURCHISON-VIOLET TOWN ROAD27 Apr 2026 – 30 Dec 2026
  • Maintenance Works activities occurring between 08/10/2025 and 01/10/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 5:00 AM to 5:00 AM, Weekends 5:00 AM to 5:00 AM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed multiple directions. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.GOULBURN VALLEY FREEWAY, undefined07 Oct 2025 – 30 Sep 2026
  • Maintenance Works activities occurring between 27/10/2025 and 31/12/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 7:00 AM to 7:00 AM, Weekends 7:00 AM to 7:00 AM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed multiple directions. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.GOULBURN VALLEY FREEWAY, UNNAMED26 Oct 2025 – 30 Dec 2026

Data sources & freshness

  • Road incidents & closuresState road authority open-data feeds · current · Updated

Heritage

1 heritage place

  • CALDER WOODBURN MEMORIAL AVENUENH1975

Data sources & freshness

  • State heritage registerState heritage authority · current · Updated

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Nicholls
Member of Parliament
Sam BIRRELL (The Nationals)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
121,390
Turnout (2025)
91.5%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+35.6 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 64.4%Labor 35.6%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 18.4 km away).

Coalition 72.1%Labor 27.9%

7.8 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +27.9 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • ToolambaLabor 25.7% · Coalition 74.3% TPP (2025)7.4 km away
  • DhurringileLabor 17.3% · Coalition 82.7% TPP (2025)9.3 km away
  • Kialla WestLabor 31.2% · Coalition 68.8% TPP (2025)11.0 km away
  • MurchisonLabor 32.0% · Coalition 68.0% TPP (2025)13.1 km away
  • KiallaLabor 34.3% · Coalition 65.7% TPP (2025)14.1 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
7/10
IRSD decile (2021)
8/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Greater Shepparton Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.