VIC · Brimbank Council
Est. population · Jun 2025
10,010
Growth (1 yr)
+0.3%
Growth (5 yr)
-4.5%
Median age
36
Median income
$2,062/wk
Employment rate
58%
University qualified
23%
Work from home
19%
Median house price · 4th Quarter 2025
$981,500
Languages at home
71.8%non-English
Most common: Vietnamese, Cantonese, Macedonian
2021 Census · usual residence
Desirability score
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Suburb profile
Cairnlea is a middle-ring metropolitan suburb of Melbourne, in Brimbank Council, with mainly mixed commercial and residential development.
Park access is stronger than in comparable places, with park access 24% above the peer median. Rents are unusually low against comparable places, with median rents 17% below the peer median. Green cover is stronger than in comparable places, with green cover 78% above the peer median. Space is a strength, but car dependence is high. The main trade-offs are weaker population growth and limited school access.
Cairnlea is a better fit for people who value lower rents and open space more than population growth.
Generated from the official metrics on this page. It can omit nuance or contain errors — check the tables and source notes before relying on it.
Strengths and weaknesses
Middle-ring metropolitan suburb · compared with middle-ring metropolitan suburbs in Victoria (135)
Who it suits
Housing, growth and risk
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median house price
$982k
+13% change
Median rent
$480/wk
Population (ERP)
10,010
+0.3% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
3.6%
Census unoccupied dwellings
Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Desirability
#116
among Metro Melbourne · Established
Crime rate
42nd
percentile in state (higher = more crime)
Pop. growth
47th
percentile in VIC
Rented dwellings
15%
2021 Census tenure
Advantage (IRSAD)
4/10
national SEIFA decile
School ICSEA
49th
percentile among schools with ICSEA
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Data sources & freshness
Median weekly rent from Victorian government rent reports. Council median fallback may apply where suburb rent is unavailable.
Contributes to desirability score · Housing (10%) · Future Growth (6%)
Household crowding and healthy vacancy — not cheapness Modest price change as a healthy-growth band
Data sources & freshness
Estimated resident population
10,010(June 2025)
+0.3% annual · -4.5% over 5 years · 47th percentile in VIC
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~10,300), extrapolated at +0.5% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census
Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%) · Accessibility (12%) · Future Growth (6%)
Employment, household income and owned-outright tenure (2021 Census) Work-from-home and public-transport commute shares (2021 Census) Five-year population change as a healthy-growth band, not a boom bonus
Data sources & freshness
The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
23% of adults have a university degree, compared with 29.2% across Victoria. 10.3% have a trade or vocational qualification.
Main field of the highest non-school qualification (2021 Census).
| Measure | Definition |
|---|---|
| University qualified | Bachelor degree or higher |
| Diploma qualified | Advanced Diploma / Diploma |
| Trade / vocational | Certificate III + IV |
| Year 12 | Year 12 as highest attainment |
| Below Year 12 | Year 11 / 10 / 9 or below |
People aged 15 years and over, 2021 Census. University, diploma and trade shares match ABS highest educational attainment (HEAP). Year 12 and below Year 12 are combined in the chart because the General Community Profile reports school-only attainment as a residual.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%)
University qualifications from the 2021 Census
Data sources & freshness
The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
60th percentile in VIC · -5% vs Australia
66th percentile in VIC · -3% vs Australia
76th percentile in VIC · +16% vs Australia
10th percentile in VIC · -29% vs Australia
42nd percentile in VIC · +6% vs Australia
Australian Taxation Office Taxation Statistics 2023–24, individuals Table 25. Figures describe taxpayers who live in postcode 3023 — not a suburb-level official statistic. Rental investment is the share of local taxpayers reporting rental income or loss, not the share of local properties owned by investors.
Percentiles rank this postcode among unique postcodes in VIC, so suburbs that share a postcode are not counted twice. Dollar figures are compared with Australia-wide ATO medians from the same release. Median net rent is among taxpayers who reported the rent label and can be negative.
Data sources & freshness
71.8% speak a language other than English at home; 53.2% born overseas
Share of residents who speak a language other than English at home (2021 Census).
40.1%Most common religion · Christianity
Christianity is the most common response at 40.1%, while 21.5% reported no religion. Buddhism is more prevalent locally than across the state. Islam is more prevalent locally than across the state.
| Measure | Suburb | State |
|---|---|---|
| No religion | 21.5% | 38.8% |
| Christianity | 40.1% | 40.9% |
| Hinduism | 2.2% | 3.3% |
| Islam | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Buddhism | 19.5% | 3.1% |
| Other / not stated | 7% | 9.7% |
| Denomination | Suburb | State |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 27.4% | 20.5% |
| Eastern Orthodox | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Christian (not further defined) | 3.2% | 2.5% |
2021 Census — languages spoken at home, birthplace, Indigenous status, and religious affiliation (usual residence). Religion is optional on the Census form.
Data sources & freshness
The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (22%)
Crime rate, offences against the person, year-on-year trend and recorded road crash rates
Data sources & freshness
Government school intake zones that overlap this suburb boundary. Living in a catchment does not guarantee enrolment; check the education authority.
Contributes to desirability score · Education (14%)
Median school ICSEA first, then school and catchment counts
Data sources & freshness
2 childcare services from OpenStreetMap
Contributes to desirability score · Education (14%)
Childcare centres per 1,000 residents
Data sources & freshness
27 public transport stops in this suburb
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (12%)
Public transport stops per 1,000 residents and walkability
Data sources & freshness
139 mapped amenities
7 restaurants · 2 cafes · 2 supermarkets · 1 pharmacies · 1 fast food · 1 bakeries · 1 places of worship · 9 playgrounds
100 Furlong Road, Cairnlea
59 Carmody Drive, Cairnlea
49 Carmody Drive, Cairnlea
43 Ken Jordan Road, Cairnlea
10A Appletree Grove
Longwood Avenue
65 Nobel Banks Drive, Cairnlea
13 bus stops
Unit T30 Station Road
159 Cairnlea Drive
Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually. Campgrounds, beaches, wineries and local trails are included when they sit inside the suburb boundary.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (12%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport per 1,000 residents (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
2 named sporting clubs in this suburb
Soccer
Cricket
Named sporting clubs from OpenStreetMap, assigned to this suburb's boundary. Sporting facilities such as ovals, courts and recreation centres are listed under Amenities.
Data sources & freshness
12 parks and public open space in this suburb
Data sources & freshness
Green cover is the share of this suburb's boundary overlapping OpenStreetMap parks, woodland and forest polygons — not a satellite tree-canopy product. Summer maximum is the WorldClim / Open-Meteo seasonal normal already collected for Weather.
Contributes to desirability score · Environment (12%)
Tree canopy first, then green-cover area and parks per 1,000
Data sources & freshness
1 places of worship within ~1.5 km
159 Cairnlea Drive
From OpenStreetMap within ~1.5 km of the suburb centre.
Data sources & freshness
GP clinic counts from OpenStreetMap. Bulk-billing figures only include clinics tagged in OSM (sparse and unofficial — not a Medicare list).
Australian Government–subsidised services from the AIHW GEN list (30 June 2025), assigned to this suburb by location.
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (12%)
Hospitals, GPs and aged care
Data sources & freshness
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (12%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).
1 planning-related records
July 2021
Data sources & freshness
4 active roadworks / incidents
Data sources & freshness
1 heritage place
Contributes to desirability score · Environment (12%)
Heritage listings as established streetscape
Data sources & freshness
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping. Flood cover uses inundation overlay polygons against the suburb boundary where published.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (22%)
Bushfire and flood hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
Two-party preferred (2025)
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 3.5 km away).
1.5 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +10.1 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD and IRSD deciles)
Data sources & freshness
Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.