VIC · East Gippsland Council

Forge Creek, 3875

Est. population · Jun 2025

360

Growth (1 yr)

+1.1%

Growth (5 yr)

+5.9%

Median age

45

Median income

$1,863/wk

Employment rate

61.2%

Languages at home

3.5%non-English

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

26.2/100
Below average

1154th in VIC

Verified 52% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • National parks
  • High desirability
What Forge Creek is known for: National parks, High desirability

Suburb profile

In East Gippsland Council, Forge Creek keeps a rural calm, a smaller community with room to breathe and a strong local rhythm. Long-term locals and family households define much of the community, with family life visible on every street. Everyday life leans local, with a handful of trusted shops, a familiar main street and neighbours who know your name.

Open space is thinner than in many regional towns, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here than in denser, more walkable pockets. Housing sits in the middle of the local market: neither cheap nor premium.

Local crime has been trending higher of late. Tree-lined streets and established homes set the tone, with little pressure to reinvent the neighbourhood.

Desirability sits below average overall, with growth momentum the main drag compared with similar regional towns. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Forge Creek snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

No data available

Median rent

No data available

Population (ERP)

360

+1.1% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

18.3%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#336

among Country & regional · Mature

Safety

42nd

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

72nd

percentile in VIC

Advantage (IRSAD)

5/10

national SEIFA decile

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
26.2/100 — Below average
National rank
6120th in Australia
State rank
1154th in VIC
Peer rank
#336 among Country & regional · Mature suburbs
Cohort rank
#639 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
52%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Population

Estimated resident population

360(June 2025)

+1.1% annual · +5.9% over 5 years · 72th percentile in VIC

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+1.1%
5-year growth
+5.9%
Change in 1 year
+4
Change in 5 years
+20
Growth rank in VIC
72th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~400), extrapolated at +1.7% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
346
Median age
45
Median household income / week
$1,863
Dwelling vacancy
18.3%
Unoccupied private dwellings
23 of 126
Median monthly mortgage
$1,517
Employment rate
61.2%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
100 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (2026)
16
Against the person
2
Against property
4
Rate per 1,000 residents
44.4
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 173 residents
State safety percentile
42th (lower crime is better)
Increase (daily rate)
+14.3%

Most common offence types

  • A232 Non-Fv Common Assault2
  • B49 Other Theft2
  • C32 Drug Possession2
  • E19 Other Justice Procedures Offences2
  • E23 Breach Bail Conditions2

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

Family & Lifestyle

Amenities

No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

1 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Bairnsdale Flora ReserveNature reserve

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Bairnsdale Regional Health Service (11.2 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
10
Participants per 1,000 residents
27.8

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
24° / 14°
Rainfall
187 mm · ~23 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
20° / 11°
Rainfall
190 mm · ~24 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
15° / 6°
Rainfall
188 mm · ~24 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
19° / 9°
Rainfall
218 mm · ~27 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).

6 planning-related records

2021· 1 proposal
  • July 2021

  • Three lot rural subdivision (boundary realignment)
    40 RIDGEWAY LANE FORGE CREEK 3875Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
2020· 5 proposals
  • December 2020

  • Buildings and works for the purpose of extending a building used for accommodation
    298A Cranswick RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • June 2020

  • Use of land for Low Density Mobile Outdoor Poultry Farming
    940 Forge Creek RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • May 2020

  • Buildings and works for an outbuilding and additions to an existing dwelling
    3/571 Barkhill RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • April 2020

  • Use of land for Grazing Animal Production (Free range eggs)
    30 Cranswick RoadWithdrawn
  • March 2020

  • Use and development of a dwelling and native vegetation removal
    222 Wattle Point RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Gippsland
Member of Parliament
Darren CHESTER (The Nationals)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
118,075
Turnout (2025)
92.0%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+1.2 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 69.4%Labor 30.6%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 12.9 km away).

Coalition 67.9%Labor 32.1%

1.5 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +2.9 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • Newlands ArmLabor 32.7% · Coalition 67.3% TPP (2025)7.3 km away
  • Eagle PointLabor 31.8% · Coalition 68.2% TPP (2025)7.4 km away
  • PaynesvilleLabor 39.8% · Coalition 60.2% TPP (2025)10.0 km away
  • Bairnsdale WestLabor 34.7% · Coalition 65.3% TPP (2025)11.5 km away
  • BairnsdaleLabor 27.7% · Coalition 72.3% TPP (2025)11.6 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
5/10
IRSD decile (2021)
5/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

Compare with

Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.

More in East Gippsland Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.