VIC · Mitchell Council

Heathcote Junction, 3758

Est. population · Jun 2025

1,148

Growth (1 yr)

+7.1%

Growth (5 yr)

+40.9%

Median age

41

Median income

$2,101/wk

Employment rate

62.5%

Languages at home

4.5%non-English

Most common: German

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

53/100
Average

Top 32% of Victoria's suburbs

Verified 62% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • High desirability
  • Green suburb
  • National parks
What Heathcote Junction is known for: High desirability, Green suburb, National parks

Suburb profile

Heathcote Junction offers a slower smaller community life in Mitchell Council, with open surrounds and a close-knit community feel. Residents are mostly families and working professionals, with a strong presence of young families throughout. Life here is grounded in local routine rather than big-city choice.

Parks and open space are a real strength relative to many regional towns, easy for walks, sport and weekend downtime. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here than in denser, more walkable pockets. Housing sits above the suburban middle: not the top of the market, but clearly pricier than average.

Reported crime has been falling recently. Occasional new builds add variety while most of the suburb keeps its established look.

The overall desirability read is around average, pulled by softer growth momentum compared with similar regional towns, though community and employment remain brighter spots. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Heathcote Junction snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

No data available

Median rent

No data available

Population (ERP)

1,148

+7.1% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

3.9%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#19

among Country & regional · Emerging

Safety

24th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

98th

percentile in VIC

Advantage (IRSAD)

7/10

national SEIFA decile

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
53.0/100 — Average
State standing
Top 32% of Victoria's suburbs
National rank
1792nd in Australia
State rank
404th in VIC
Peer rank
#19 among Country & regional · Emerging suburbs
Cohort rank
#84 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
62%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Population

Estimated resident population

1,148(June 2025)

+7.1% annual · +40.9% over 5 years · 98th percentile in VIC

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+7.1%
5-year growth
+40.9%
Change in 1 year
+76
Change in 5 years
+333
Growth rank in VIC
98th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~1,600), extrapolated at +6.7% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
811
Median age
41
Median household income / week
$2,101
Dwelling vacancy
3.9%
Unoccupied private dwellings
11 of 280
Median monthly mortgage
$1,941
Employment rate
62.5%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
269 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (2026)
33
Against the person
11
Against property
16
Rate per 1,000 residents
28.7
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 74 residents
State safety percentile
23.5th (lower crime is better)
Decrease (daily rate)
-50%

Most common offence types

  • A211 Fv Serious Assault3
  • B321 Residential Non-Aggravated Burglary5
  • B41 Motor Vehicle Theft2
  • B42 Steal From A Motor Vehicle6
  • Other Crimes Against The Person3

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

Family & Lifestyle

Amenities

2 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
  • Great for outdoor family life3 parks mapped in suburb
Walkability proxy
0/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
3.7
Sport & outdoors(2)
  • Park
  • Wallan PaintballSports field

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
3
Parks (OSM)
3

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Kilmore & District Hospital (11.6 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
42
Participants per 1,000 residents
36.6

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
27° / 13°
Rainfall
126 mm · ~16 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
21° / 9°
Rainfall
148 mm · ~18 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
13° / 4°
Rainfall
218 mm · ~27 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
19° / 8°
Rainfall
188 mm · ~24 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).

10 planning-related records

2021· 3 proposals
  • August 2021

  • Development of the land for a dwelling
    25 GLENBURNIE AVENUE HEATHCOTE JUNCTION 3758Lapsed
  • June 2021

  • f
    25 JUNCTION ROAD HEATHCOTE JUNCTION 3758Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • January 2021

  • Development of the land for two agricultural sheds
    365 North Mountain RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
2020· 7 proposals
  • December 2020

  • Use of the land for a store.
    57 North Mountain RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • November 2020

  • Use and development of the land for the construction of a dwelling and 2 lot subdivision (re-subdivision)
    120 North Mountain RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • September 2020

  • Buildings and works for an outbuilding
    57 North Mountain RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • August 2020

  • Development of the land for a dwelling and outbuilding
    42 Glenburnie AvenuePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • June 2020

  • Extension to existing dwelling
    80 Quillinan RoadWithdrawn
  • March 2020

  • 2 Lot subdivision and removal of native vegetation SPEAR S123915J
    27 Junction RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • January 2020

  • Removal of Native Vegetation
    North Mountain RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Roadworks & transport

3 active roadworks / incidents

  • Building / 3rd Party Works activities occurring between 23/03/2026 and 30/09/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 8:00 PM to 5:00 AM, Weekends 8:00 PM to 5:00 AM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed southbound. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.HUME FREEWAY, EPPING-KILMORE-HUME IN RAMP ON22 Mar 2026 – 29 Sep 2026
  • Building / 3rd Party Works activities occurring between 27/04/2026 and 31/08/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 8:00 PM to 6:00 AM, Weekends 8:00 PM to 6:00 AM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed southbound. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.HUME FREEWAY, UNNAMED26 Apr 2026 – 30 Aug 2026
  • Building / 3rd Party Works activities occurring between 27/04/2026 and 31/08/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 9:00 AM to 3:00 PM, Weekends 7:00 AM to 5:00 PM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed southbound. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.HUME FREEWAY, UNNAMED26 Apr 2026 – 30 Aug 2026

Data sources & freshness

  • Road incidents & closuresState road authority open-data feeds · current · Updated

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
Overlay applies

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
McEwen
Member of Parliament
Rob MITCHELL (Australian Labor Party)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
117,921
Turnout (2025)
93.5%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+0.9 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 45.2%Labor 54.8%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 16.0 km away).

Coalition 49.2%Labor 50.8%

3.9 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: -0.4 pp toward Coalition

Nearest polling places

  • WandongLabor 48.4% · Coalition 51.6% TPP (2025)2.9 km away
  • Wallan CentralLabor 47.6% · Coalition 52.4% TPP (2025)4.8 km away
  • Wallan SouthLabor 57.5% · Coalition 42.5% TPP (2025)7.1 km away
  • Wallan WallanLabor 57.3% · Coalition 42.7% TPP (2025)7.1 km away
  • ClonbinaneLabor 57.9% · Coalition 42.1% TPP (2025)9.5 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
7/10
IRSD decile (2021)
9/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Mitchell Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.