Median house price
—
No data available
VIC · Baw Baw Council
Trafalgar East, 3824
Est. population · Jun 2025
413
Growth (1 yr)
+0.7%
Growth (5 yr)
+5.6%
Median age
47
Median income
$1,894/wk
Employment rate
67.8%
Languages at home
3.6%non-English
Most common: Sinhalese
2021 Census · usual residence
Desirability score
- Green suburb
- National parks
- Excellent transport
- High desirability
Suburb profile
In Baw Baw Council, Trafalgar East keeps a rural calm, a smaller community with room to breathe and a strong local rhythm. Long-term locals and family households define much of the community, with family life visible on every street. Life here is grounded in local routine rather than big-city choice.
Parks and open space are a real strength relative to many regional towns, easy for walks, sport and weekend downtime. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here, with buses covering longer trips across the wider area. Housing sits above the suburban middle: not the top of the market, but clearly pricier than average.
Local crime has been trending higher of late. Occasional new builds add variety while most of the suburb keeps its established look.
The overall desirability read is below average, pulled by softer growth momentum compared with similar regional towns, though community and employment remain brighter spots. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.
At a glance
Trafalgar East snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
—
No data available
Population (ERP)
413
+0.7% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
5.8%
Census unoccupied dwellings
Livability profile
Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Desirability
#194
among Country & regional · Mature
Safety
84th
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
60th
percentile in VIC
Advantage (IRSAD)
7/10
national SEIFA decile
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Desirability
Ranks & confidence
- Desirability score
- 35.3/100 — Below average
- National rank
- 4629th in Australia
- State rank
- 896th in VIC
- Peer rank
- #194 among Country & regional · Mature suburbs
- Cohort rank
- #419 among Country & regional suburbs
- Data confidence
- 70%
Data sources & freshness
- Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
Population
Estimated resident population
413(June 2025)
+0.7% annual · +5.6% over 5 years · 60th percentile in VIC
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +0.7%
- 5-year growth
- +5.6%
- Change in 1 year
- +3
- Change in 5 years
- +22
- Growth rank in VIC
- 60th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~450), extrapolated at +1.3% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 401
- Median age
- 47
- Median household income / week
- $1,894
- Dwelling vacancy
- 5.8%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 9 of 154
- Median monthly mortgage
- $1,200
- Employment rate
- 67.8%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 144 / 0 / 0
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (2026)
- 57
- Against the person
- 6
- Against property
- 18
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 138
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 67 residents
- State safety percentile
- 83.7th (lower crime is better)
- Increase (daily rate)
- +200%
Most common offence types
- A211 Fv Serious Assault3
- B21 Criminal Damage5
- B42 Steal From A Motor Vehicle5
- C32 Drug Possession3
- E21 Breach Family Violence Order26
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- Recorded offences by suburb/town — Crime Statistics Agency (Victoria) · 2025 · Updated
Family & Lifestyle
Public transport
2 public transport stops in this suburb
- Cemetery Rd/Mountain Glen Dr
- Cemetery Rd/Mountain Glen Dr
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
- GTFS public transport stops — State transport authority open-data feeds · current · Updated
Amenities
No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Parks & reserves
1 parks and public open space in this suburb
- Yarragon Bushland ReserveNature reserve
Data sources & freshness
- Parks & reserves — State government + ABS LGA boundaries · current · Updated
Green cover
- Parks & woodland (OSM)
- 48
- Parks (OSM)
- 0
OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.
Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)
Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- OpenStreetMap green cover — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Nearest hospital
- Maryvale Private Hospital (20.3 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 13
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 31.5
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 25° / 12°
- Rainfall
- 197 mm · ~25 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 20° / 9°
- Rainfall
- 228 mm · ~28 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 13° / 5°
- Rainfall
- 261 mm · ~33 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 18° / 7°
- Rainfall
- 304 mm · ~38 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).
10 planning-related records
2021· 4 proposals
July 2021
- Buildings and works to construct a dwelling extension160 GIBSONS ROAD TRAFALGAR EAST 3824Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
- Building and works associated with leisure and recreation230 Gibsons RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
March 2021
- Buildings and works to construct an agricultural buildingGibsons RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
January 2021
- Buildings and works to construct a dwelling extension460 Waterloo RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
2020· 6 proposals
December 2020
- Use and Development land for a dwelling (amend dwelling design and location)73 Millers RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
- Buildings and works to construct a replacement dwelling77 GOODINGS ROAD TRAFALGAR EAST 3824Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
- Buildings and works to construct an agricultural building and 2 horticultural structures (i.e. igloos)3 Goodings RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
November 2020
- Buildings and works to construct an agricultural building361 Heartsridge RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
July 2020
- Buildings and works to construct an agricultural building.166 Melaleuca DrivePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
- Buildings and works to construct an agricultural building381 Heartsridge RoadNo permit required
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- PPARS planning permit activity (statewide) — Department of Transport and Planning (Victoria) · 2020–2022 · Updated · MapServer through FY 2022–23; newer data needs council/API access
Roadworks & transport
4 active roadworks / incidents
- Utility Works activities occurring between 13/08/2026 and 30/11/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 7:00 AM to 5:00 PM, Weekends 7:00 AM to 5:00 PM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed both directions. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.PRINCES FREEWAY, KENNYS ROAD12 Aug 2026 – 29 Nov 2026
- Utility Works activities occurring between 13/08/2026 and 30/11/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 7:00 AM to 5:00 PM, Weekends 7:00 AM to 5:00 PM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed both directions. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.PRINCES FREEWAY, WATERLOO ROAD12 Aug 2026 – 29 Nov 2026
- Utility Works activities occurring between 13/08/2026 and 30/11/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 7:00 AM to 5:00 PM, Weekends 7:00 AM to 5:00 PM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed eastbound. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.PRINCES FREEWAY, WATERLOO ROAD12 Aug 2026 – 29 Nov 2026
- Utility Works activities occurring between 13/08/2026 and 30/11/2026 during the following times: Weekdays 7:00 AM to 5:00 PM, Weekends 7:00 AM to 5:00 PM. Impact to traffic will be lanes closed eastbound. Altered speed limit during operation will be 40 and the traffic delay is expected to be 0 to 5 min.PRINCES FREEWAY, KENNYS ROAD12 Aug 2026 – 29 Nov 2026
Data sources & freshness
- Road incidents & closures — State road authority open-data feeds · current · Updated
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- No overlay at centroid
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Monash
- Member of Parliament
- Mary ALDRED (Liberal)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 116,463
- Turnout (2025)
- 93.5%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- -1.2 pp toward Coalition
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 54.1%Labor 45.9%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 10.9 km away).
Coalition 47.9%Labor 52.1%
6.2 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: -0.1 pp toward Coalition
Nearest polling places
- TrafalgarLabor 49.5% · Coalition 50.5% TPP (2025)5.5 km away
- Moe WestLabor 52.9% · Coalition 47.1% TPP (2025)5.8 km away
- Moe CentralLabor 61.7% · Coalition 38.3% TPP (2025)6.5 km away
- MoeLabor 56.7% · Coalition 43.3% TPP (2025)6.6 km away
- Newborough EastLabor 56.3% · Coalition 43.7% TPP (2025)9.2 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 7/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 8/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
More in Baw Baw Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.