VIC · Baw Baw Council

Willow Grove, 3825

Est. population · Jun 2025

666

Growth (1 yr)

+0.5%

Growth (5 yr)

+4.9%

Median age

42

Median income

$1,801/wk

Employment rate

59.5%

University qualified

16.2%

Work from home

19.8%

Median house price · 4th Quarter 2025

$600,000

Languages at home

3.3%non-English

Most common: Mandarin

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

50.5/100
Average

Top 37% of Victoria's suburbs

Verified 93% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Green suburb
  • Agricultural
  • Rural living
What Willow Grove is known for: Green suburb, Agricultural, Rural living

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Suburb Guide, “Willow Grove, VIC Suburb Guide”, updated 30 September 2026, https://suburb.guide/vic/willow-grove

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Suburb profile

Willow Grove is a rural locality in Victoria, in Baw Baw Council.

Local amenities are a relative strength, placing it among the highest-ranked rural localities. Everyday destinations are relatively walkable. Open-space access is better than in most comparable places. Household incomes are a relative strength, with household incomes 22% above the peer median, and population growth is an exceptional strength. Mapped flood cover is a relative weakness.

Willow Grove is a better fit for people who value local amenities and walkability.

Generated from the official metrics on this page. It can omit nuance or contain errors — check the tables and source notes before relying on it.

Strengths and weaknesses

Rural locality · compared with rural localities in Victoria (1828)

Strengths

  • Local amenities are a relative strength
  • Everyday destinations are relatively walkable
  • Open-space access is better than in most comparable places
  • Household incomes are a relative strength
  • Population growth is a relative strength

Weaknesses

  • Mapped flood cover is a relative weakness

What stands out

Nothing distinctive beyond the usual profile.

Who it suits

  • Families
  • Professionals
  • Retirees
  • StudentsInsufficient data
  • Budget buyers

Housing, growth and risk

How Willow Grove compares

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$600k

+30% change

Median rent (Census)

$243/wk

2021 Census median weekly rent

Population (ERP)

666

+0.5% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

6.2%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#30

among Country & regional · Emerging

Crime rate

34th

percentile in state (higher = more crime)

Pop. growth

52nd

percentile in VIC

Rented dwellings

12%

2021 Census tenure

Advantage (IRSAD)

7/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

47th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
50.5/100 — Average
State standing
Top 37% of Victoria's suburbs
National rank
1896th in Australia
State rank
468th in VIC
Peer rank
#30 among Country & regional · Emerging suburbs
Cohort rank
#178 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
93%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Housing

Median house price (4th Quarter 2025)
$600,000
Median price change
+30.4%

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (10%) · Future Growth (6%)

Household crowding and healthy vacancy — not cheapness Modest price change as a healthy-growth band

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

666(June 2025)

+0.5% annual · +4.9% over 5 years · 52th percentile in VIC

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+0.5%
5-year growth
+4.9%
Change in 1 year
+3
Change in 5 years
+31
Growth rank in VIC
52th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~700), extrapolated at +0.8% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
654
Median age
42
Median household income / week
$1,801
Dwelling vacancy
6.2%
Unoccupied private dwellings
15 of 243
Median monthly mortgage
$1,600
Median weekly rent (2021 Census)
$243
Tenure (owned / mortgaged / rented)
48.4% / 39.7% / 11.9%
Employment rate
59.5%
Travel to work (WFH / public transport / car)
19.8% / 0% / 63%
Walked or cycled to work
2.6%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
226 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%) · Accessibility (12%) · Future Growth (6%)

Employment, household income and owned-outright tenure (2021 Census) Work-from-home and public-transport commute shares (2021 Census) Five-year population change as a healthy-growth band, not a boom bonus

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Qualifications

16.2% of adults have a university degree, compared with 29.2% across Victoria. 23.8% have a trade or vocational qualification.

  • University qualified16.2% · 29.2% VIC
  • Diploma qualified9% · 9.8% VIC
  • Trade / vocational23.8% · 14.2% VIC
  • Year 12 or below51% · 46.8% VIC

Highest qualification field

Main field of the highest non-school qualification (2021 Census).

  • Engineering and related technologies22.3%
  • Management and commerce16.3%
  • Health11.4%
  • Society and culture11%
  • Education10.6%
  • Architecture and building10.2%
How these groups are defined
MeasureDefinition
University qualifiedBachelor degree or higher
Diploma qualifiedAdvanced Diploma / Diploma
Trade / vocationalCertificate III + IV
Year 12Year 12 as highest attainment
Below Year 12Year 11 / 10 / 9 or below

People aged 15 years and over, 2021 Census. University, diploma and trade shares match ABS highest educational attainment (HEAP). Year 12 and below Year 12 are combined in the chart because the General Community Profile reports school-only attainment as a residual.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%)

University qualifications from the 2021 Census

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Tax & income

Median taxable income (2023–24)
$52,530

46th percentile in VIC · -11% vs Australia

Median salary / wages (2023–24)
$58,474

50th percentile in VIC · -10% vs Australia

Residents with rental investments
9.0%

13th percentile in VIC · -35% vs Australia

Median super balance (2023–24)
$69,068

35th percentile in VIC · +9% vs Australia

Residents with business income
8.0%

5th percentile in VIC · -23% vs Australia

Australian Taxation Office Taxation Statistics 2023–24, individuals Table 25. Figures describe taxpayers who live in postcode 3825 — not a suburb-level official statistic. Rental investment is the share of local taxpayers reporting rental income or loss, not the share of local properties owned by investors.

Counts, net rent & state comparison
Taxpayers in this postcode
11,297
Taxpayers reporting net rent
1,011
Median net rent
-$661
Taxpayers reporting business income
908
Taxable income vs state median
-2%
Salary / wages vs state median
0%
Rental investment vs state median
-31%
Super vs state median
-14%
Business income vs state median
-27%

Percentiles rank this postcode among unique postcodes in VIC, so suburbs that share a postcode are not counted twice. Dollar figures are compared with Australia-wide ATO medians from the same release. Median net rent is among taxpayers who reported the rent label and can be negative.

Data sources & freshness

  • Taxation Statistics 2023–24 — individuals by postcode (Table 25) — Australian Taxation Office · Updated · Annual release; taxpayer residential postcode, not suburb boundary

Seasonal & agricultural work

18.5% of employed residents work in agriculture, forestry and fishing, 8.0× the Australian share (2.3%) — compared with 2.1% across Victoria.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing
18.5%

62nd percentile in VIC · +704% vs Australia

Resident workers (2021)
57
WHM specified work
Subclass 417 / 462

Postcode 3825

Occupation mix in this industry

2021 Census G56, residents employed in agriculture, forestry and fishing. Counts below 10 are not shown.

  • Managers31
  • Labourers16

Australian Bureau of Statistics, 2021 Census General Community Profile tables G54 (industry of employment) and G56 (industry by occupation), Statistical Area Level (suburb), place of usual residence. Figures are residents’ main job in the week before Census night — not jobs located in the suburb. Agriculture, forestry and fishing is the 1-digit ANZSIC division; grape growing and other 3- and 4-digit industries are not in this datapack. The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Plant and animal cultivation in postcode 3825 (Regional Australia) may count as specified work for Working Holiday Maker visas (subclasses 417 and 462). This is a postcode rule from the Home Affairs instruments — not evidence that seasonal jobs exist here, and not a count of WHM residents. Home Affairs specified work · LIN 22/012 · LIN 22/013. Compilation used: 5 April 2025.

Region employment estimates (SA4, not this suburb)

Jobs and Skills Australia NERO modelled estimates for Latrobe - Gippsland (SA4 205), 2026-08. These figures describe the broader region, not this suburb, and occupations are not added together.

  • Livestock Farmers ANZSCO 12135,481
  • Livestock Farm Workers ANZSCO 8415940
  • Crop Farmers ANZSCO 1212417
  • Mixed Crop and Livestock Farmers ANZSCO 1214382
  • Agricultural, Forestry and Horticultural Plant Operators ANZSCO 7211370
  • Crop Farm Workers ANZSCO 8412228
  • Other Farm, Forestry and Garden Workers ANZSCO 8419184
  • Forestry and Logging Workers ANZSCO 8413112
  • Mixed Crop and Livestock Farm Workers ANZSCO 841624
  • Aquaculture Workers ANZSCO 841110

Latrobe - Gippsland is a Statistical Area Level 4. Fruit, nut and vegetable workers are not published separately in NERO (they sit under ANZSCO 8412). Jobs and Skills Australia warns not to sum occupations or geographies. NERO data. Nowcast of Employment by Region and Occupation, Jobs and Skills Australia, Commonwealth of Australia. CC BY 4.0.

Census employed residents counted in G54: 308 · AFF share +781% vs the state.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — industry of employment (G54/G56), place of usual residence — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated · Resident main job in the week before Census night, not jobs located in the suburb

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • WHM specified work areas (LIN 22/012 and LIN 22/013) — Department of Home Affairs · 2025-04-05 · Updated · Postcode eligibility for plant and animal cultivation; not a count of WHM residents
  • Nowcast of Employment by Region and Occupation (NERO), SA4 × ANZSCO 4-digit — Jobs and Skills Australia · 2026-08 · Updated · Monthly modelled SA4 estimates; not suburb-level. CC BY 4.0

Community & culture

3.3% speak a language other than English at home; 9.2% born overseas

Language at home
587 English only · 20 other
Non-English at home
3.3%
Born overseas
56 (9.2%)
Australian citizens
588
Languages spoken at home (other than English)
1

Top languages other than English

Share of residents who speak a language other than English at home (2021 Census).

  • Mandarin3 · 100%

Religion

54.6%No religion

No religion is the most common response at 54.6%, while Christianity accounts for 37.5%.

MeasureSuburbState
No religion54.6%38.8%
Christianity37.5%40.9%
Other / not stated8%20.3%
Christian denominations
DenominationSuburbState
Catholic14.2%20.5%
Anglican10.6%6.5%
Presbyterian and Reformed2.9%1.4%
Uniting Church2.4%2.4%
Baptist2%1.3%

2021 Census — languages spoken at home, birthplace, Indigenous status, and religious affiliation (usual residence). Religion is optional on the Census form.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (2026)
25
Against the person
5
Against property
13
Rate per 1,000 residents
37.5
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 131 residents
State crime-rate percentile
34.3th (higher = more crime)
Increase (daily rate)
+47.1%
Recorded road crashes (in suburb)
18
Crash rate per 1,000 residents (state rank)
27.03

Most common offence types

  • B41 Motor Vehicle Theft3
  • B45 Receiving Or Handling Stolen Goods3
  • E21 Breach Family Violence Order5
  • A231 Fv Common Assault2
  • B49 Other Theft4

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (22%)

Crime rate, offences against the person, year-on-year trend and recorded road crash rates

Data sources & freshness

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
1
Median school ICSEA
1,002
Median ICSEA percentile
47th
Primary catchments overlapping suburb
3
Secondary catchments overlapping suburb
3
School list
  • Willow Grove Primary SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1002 · 47th percentile · LBOTE 3% · 66 students · Top SEA quarter 3% · 1.2 km awayView on My School →
School catchments
  • Lowanna CollegeGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundarysecondary_catchment
  • Neerim District Secondary CollegeGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundarysecondary_catchment
  • Neerim South Primary SchoolGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundaryprimary_catchment
  • Tanjil South Primary SchoolGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundaryprimary_catchment
  • Trafalgar High SchoolGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundarysecondary_catchment
  • Willow Grove Primary SchoolGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundaryprimary_catchment

Government school intake zones that overlap this suburb boundary. Living in a catchment does not guarantee enrolment; check the education authority.

Contributes to desirability score · Education (14%)

Median school ICSEA first, then school and catchment counts

Data sources & freshness

Childcare

1 childcare service from OpenStreetMap

  • Willow Grove Kindergartenkindergarten

Contributes to desirability score · Education (14%)

Childcare centres per 1,000 residents

Data sources & freshness

  • Childcare services — OpenStreetMap · current · Updated

Amenities

14 mapped amenities

1 restaurants · 1 playgrounds · 1 campgrounds

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
  • Decent local green space — 1 parks in suburb, 1 playgrounds nearby
Walkability proxy
2/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
1.53
Parks per 1,000 residents
1.53
Food & drink(1)
  • Willow Grove Duck InnRestaurant

    14 Moe Willow Grove Road

Community(3)
  • Willow Grove KindergartenKindergarten
  • Willow Grove Primary SchoolSchool

    69-45 Moe-Willow Grove Road

  • Willow Grove Community CentreTownhall
Sport & outdoors(5)
  • Neerim East G79 Bushland ReserveNature reserve
  • Willow Grove Bushland ReserveNature reserve
  • Playground
  • Willow Grove Public ToiletsPublic toilets
  • Sports field
Camping & holiday parks(1)
  • Campground
Other(4)
  • Willow Grove CFAFire station
  • Parking
  • Willow Grove Duck InnParking
  • Willow Grove General StoreYes

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually. Campgrounds, beaches, wineries and local trails are included when they sit inside the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (12%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport per 1,000 residents (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

3 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Blue Rock Lake West picnic areaPark
  • Neerim East G79 Bushland ReserveNature reserve
  • Willow Grove Bushland ReserveNature reserve

Data sources & freshness

Green cover

Green cover of suburb area
2.6%
Woodland / forest cover
2.6%
Parks & woodland features (OSM)
19
Parks (OSM)
1
Typical summer maximum
25°C

Green cover is the share of this suburb's boundary overlapping OpenStreetMap parks, woodland and forest polygons — not a satellite tree-canopy product. Summer maximum is the WorldClim / Open-Meteo seasonal normal already collected for Weather.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (12%)

Tree canopy first, then green-cover area and parks per 1,000

Data sources & freshness

  • OpenStreetMap green cover and tree canopy — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated · Park/woodland polygons intersected with suburb boundaries

Health access

Nearest hospital
Neerim District Soldiers Memorial Hospital (19.3 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department
GP clinics in suburb
0

GP clinic counts from OpenStreetMap. Bulk-billing figures only include clinics tagged in OSM (sparse and unofficial — not a Medicare list).

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (12%)

Hospitals, GPs and aged care

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
16
Participants per 1,000 residents
24.0

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
25° / 12°
Rainfall
197 mm · ~25 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
20° / 9°
Rainfall
228 mm · ~28 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
13° / 5°
Rainfall
261 mm · ~33 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
18° / 7°
Rainfall
304 mm · ~38 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (12%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).

17 planning-related records

2021· 6 proposals
  • June 2021

  • Use and Development of the land for three dwellings
    1889 WILLOW GROVE ROAD WILLOW GROVE 3825Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • May 2021

  • Buildings and works to construct an agricultural building
    786 ARALUEN ROAD WILLOW GROVE 3825Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • March 2021

  • Buildings and works to construct an outbuilding
    1275 WILLOW GROVE ROAD WILLOW GROVE 3825Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Building and works to construct an agricultural building
    2795 Old Sale RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Buildings and and works to construct an agricultural building
    786 Araluen RoadWithdrawn
  • February 2021

  • Buildings and works to extend a dwelling
    1740 Willow Grove RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
2020· 11 proposals
  • October 2020

  • Subdivide land into 30 lots and associated works, remove native vegetation, create, remove and vary easements and create access to a road in a Road Zone, Category 1.
    WILLOW GROVE ROAD WILLOW GROVE 3825NOD issued by a delegate
  • September 2020

  • Buildings and works to construct an agricultural building
    Moe-Willow Grove RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • August 2020

  • Buildings and works to construct an outbuilding associated with an existing dwelling
    1072 Moe-Willow Grove RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • July 2020

  • Buildings and works to construct a single dwelling
    10 Glenbrook PlacePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • May 2020

  • Buildings and works to construct a dwelling and alter access to a road in Road Zone, Category 1.
    102 Daveys RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • April 2020

  • Use and development of a poultry farm (free range egg production) associated with primary produce sales, construct and display business identification signs and alter access to a road in a Road Zone, Category 1
    1106 MOE-WILLOW GROVE ROAD WILLOW GROVE 3825NOD issued by a delegate
  • Amending what the permit allows by replacing the word "Tavern" with the word "Hotel" and add the words "use of the land for the sale and consumption of liquor" Amending condition 21 by replacing the words "All weather sealed surface" with "gravel" Amending the endorsed plans by way of 2 additional signs.
    14 Moe-Willow Grove RoadNOD issued by a delegate
  • Construction of a Shed
    1612 Willow Grove RoadWithdrawn
  • March 2020

  • Amendment to approved garage location
    17 Glenbrook PlacePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Buildings and works to construct an extension to an existing dwelling
    190 Hunts RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Buildings and works to construct a dwelling and associated outbuilding
    Daveys RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid
Flood / inundation overlay
100% of suburb boundary

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping. Flood cover uses inundation overlay polygons against the suburb boundary where published.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (22%)

Bushfire and flood hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Bushfire and flood planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Monash
Member of Parliament
Mary ALDRED (Liberal)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
116,463
Turnout (2025)
93.5%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
-1.2 pp toward Coalition

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 54.1%Labor 45.9%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 17.3 km away).

Coalition 68.5%Labor 31.5%

14.4 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: -7.2 pp toward Coalition

Nearest polling places

  • WillowgroveLabor 30.1% · Coalition 69.9% TPP (2025)1.4 km away
  • Moe WestLabor 52.9% · Coalition 47.1% TPP (2025)13.8 km away
  • MoeLabor 56.7% · Coalition 43.3% TPP (2025)13.9 km away
  • Moe CentralLabor 61.7% · Coalition 38.3% TPP (2025)15.1 km away
  • TrafalgarLabor 49.5% · Coalition 50.5% TPP (2025)15.3 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
7/10
IRSD decile (2021)
8/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD and IRSD deciles)

Data sources & freshness

More in Baw Baw Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.