NSW · Port Macquarie-Hastings Council

Herons Creek, 2439

Est. population · Jun 2025

272

Growth (1 yr)

+2.3%

Growth (5 yr)

+9.7%

Median age

46

Median income

$1,266/wk

Employment rate

54.1%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$917,000

Languages at home

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

23.3/100
Below average

2064th in NSW

Verified 79% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Excellent transport
  • Education hub
  • High desirability
What Herons Creek is known for: Excellent transport, Education hub, High desirability

Suburb profile

In Port Macquarie-Hastings Council, Herons Creek keeps a rural calm, a smaller community with room to breathe and a strong local rhythm. Long-term locals and family households define much of the community, with family life visible on every street. Everyday life leans local, with a handful of trusted shops, a familiar main street and neighbours who know your name.

Everyday basics may be close by, but bigger shopping and services typically require a trip to a nearby centre. Open space is thinner than in many regional towns, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. A car helps for most daily errands, though buses still link the suburb further afield.

Property prices run toward the upper end of the local market. Tree-lined streets and established homes set the tone, with little pressure to reinvent the neighbourhood.

Versus similar regional towns, the suburb reads below average on desirability, chiefly because growth momentum, plus schools and education trail behind. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Herons Creek snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$917k

-6.0% change

Median rent

No data available

Population (ERP)

272

+2.3% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

13.9%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#560

among Country & regional · Mature

Safety

12th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

90th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

4/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

15th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
23.3/100 — Below average
National rank
6436th in Australia
State rank
2064th in NSW
Peer rank
#560 among Country & regional · Mature suburbs
Cohort rank
#991 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
79%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Housing

Median house price (October to December 2025)
$917,000
Median price change
-6%

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

272(June 2025)

+2.3% annual · +9.7% over 5 years · 90th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+2.3%
5-year growth
+9.7%
Change in 1 year
+6
Change in 5 years
+24
Growth rank in NSW
90th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~300), extrapolated at +1.5% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
246
Median age
46
Median household income / week
$1,266
Dwelling vacancy
13.9%
Unoccupied private dwellings
14 of 101
Median monthly mortgage
$1,473
Employment rate
54.1%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
83 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences are unchanged compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
9
Against the person
3
Against property
4
Rate per 1,000 residents
33.1
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 82 residents
State safety percentile
11.5th (lower crime is better)
Increase (daily rate)
+0.3%

Most common offence types

  • Breach Bail Conditions12
  • Fraud11
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment31
  • Malicious Damage To Property25
  • Prohibited And Regulated Weapons Offences10

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
1
Median school ICSEA
919
Median ICSEA percentile
15th
School list
  • Herons Creek Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 919 · 15th percentile · LBOTE 4% · 25 students · Top SEA quarter 2%View on My School →

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA

Data sources & freshness

Public transport

13 public transport stops in this suburb

  • Bago Rd At Little Bago Lane
  • Bago Rd Opp Little Bago Lane
  • Herons Creek Rd At Pacific Hwy
  • Kew Kendall Sewerage Plant, Pacific Hwy
  • Pacific Hwy At Miles Dr

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Health access

Nearest hospital
Wauchope District Memorial Hospital (11.4 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
8
Participants per 1,000 residents
29.4

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
27° / 18°
Rainfall
417 mm · ~52 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
24° / 14°
Rainfall
459 mm · ~57 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
19° / 8°
Rainfall
256 mm · ~32 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
23° / 13°
Rainfall
273 mm · ~34 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.

2026· 2 proposals
  • June 2026

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Extractive Industries (non-mining); Environmental protection works; Other Infrastructure
    31 LOOKOUT ROAD HERONS CREEK 2443Under Assessment
  • February 2026

  • Shed; Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Supporting Development
    438 BLACKBUTT ROAD HERONS CREEK 2439Withdrawn
2025· 3 proposals
  • July 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    129 CLULEYS ROAD HERONS CREEK 2439Determined
  • May 2025

  • Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; General industry
    359 HERONS CREEK ROAD HERONS CREEK 2439Withdrawn
  • January 2025

  • Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Extractive Industries (non-mining)
    31 LOOKOUT ROAD HERONS CREEK 2443Withdrawn
2024· 4 proposals
  • July 2024

  • Erection of a new structure; Rural industry; Sawmill or log processing works
    167 MILES DRIVE HERONS CREEK 2439Determined
  • May 2024

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Extractive Industries (non-mining)
    31 LOOKOUT ROAD HERONS CREEK 2443Withdrawn
  • March 2024

  • Attached dwelling; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    127 CLULEYS ROAD HERONS CREEK 2439Determined
  • January 2024

  • Secondary dwelling; Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Residential Accommodation
    23 NELSONS ROAD HERONS CREEK 2443Determined
2023· 5 proposals
  • December 2023

  • Restaurant or cafe; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Food and drink premise
    197 LAMBS ROAD HERONS CREEK 2439Determined
  • November 2023

  • Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Vehicle Sales or Hire Premises
    359 HERONS CREEK ROAD HERONS CREEK 2439Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Rural worker's dwelling
    58 NELSONS ROAD HERONS CREEK 2439Determined
  • September 2023

  • Other
    31 LOOKOUT ROAD HERONS CREEK 2443Determined
  • August 2023

  • Secondary dwelling; Change of use
    23 NELSONS ROAD HERONS CREEK 2443Determined
2022· 3 proposals
  • October 2022

  • Signage
    5499 PACIFIC HIGHWAY HERONS CREEK 2439Determined
  • September 2022

  • Dwelling
    122 BLACKBUTT ROAD HERONS CREEK 2439Determined
  • July 2022

  • Dwelling; Shed
    142 RON BANKS ROAD HERONS CREEK 2439Determined
2021· 2 proposals
  • November 2021

  • Signage
    31 LOOKOUT ROAD HERONS CREEK 2443Determined
  • October 2021

  • Other; Change of use
    142 OLD SCHOOL ROAD HERONS CREEK 2439Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Roadworks & transport

1 active roadworks / incidents

  • RoadworksPacific Highway, Johns River16 Aug 2026 – 25 Sep 2026

Data sources & freshness

  • Road incidents & closuresState road authority open-data feeds · current · Updated

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
Overlay applies

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Lyne
Member of Parliament
Alison PENFOLD (The Nationals)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
129,584
Turnout (2025)
92.9%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+4.0 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 59.8%Labor 40.2%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 12.4 km away).

Coalition 61.2%Labor 38.8%

1.5 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +5.1 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • KendallLabor 38.6% · Coalition 61.4% TPP (2025)7.5 km away
  • KewLabor 39.2% · Coalition 60.8% TPP (2025)8.5 km away
  • HuntingdonLabor 35.2% · Coalition 64.8% TPP (2025)10.8 km away
  • Wauchope SouthLabor 36.4% · Coalition 63.6% TPP (2025)10.8 km away
  • Lake CathieLabor 42.9% · Coalition 57.1% TPP (2025)11.0 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
4/10
IRSD decile (2021)
5/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Port Macquarie-Hastings Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.

Herons Creek, NSW 2439 profile | Suburb Guide