Median house price
$1.38M
+8.0% change
NSW · Central Coast Council
Kincumber, 2251
Est. population · Jun 2025
7,372
Growth (1 yr)
+0.5%
Growth (5 yr)
-0.0%
Median age
48
Median income
$1,321/wk
Employment rate
48.3%
Median house price · October to December 2025
$1,380,000
Languages at home
5.1%non-English
Most common: Afrikaans, Russian, Portuguese
2021 Census · usual residence
Desirability score
- Excellent transport
- Green suburb
- Education hub
- High desirability
Suburb profile
In Central Coast Council, Kincumber is a settled mid-sized suburb with a familiar suburban feel and good links to the wider city. Connections to the wider metro area are straightforward, with neighbouring communities close at hand. A mature community gives the area a calm, settled social fabric, with multiple generations sharing the same neighbourhood.
Dining is thinner on the ground than in busier metro pockets, so many residents head to neighbouring suburbs for a night out. Green space punches above what many metro suburbs offer, with parks and playgrounds woven through the suburb. Buses connect the area to surrounding suburbs, keeping the wider city within easy reach.
Homes cost more here than in most comparable suburbs. Infill and new builds are slowly updating the area without overwhelming its existing character.
Against similar metro suburbs, the suburb sits around average overall, mainly because schools and education, plus community and employment lag behind, despite relative strength in growth momentum. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.
At a glance
Kincumber snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
$778/wk
Houses $850 · Units $550
Population (ERP)
7,372
+0.5% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
5.5%
Census unoccupied dwellings
Livability profile
Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Desirability
#47
among Metro Sydney · Mature
Safety
8th
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
49th
percentile in NSW
Advantage (IRSAD)
6/10
national SEIFA decile
School ICSEA
58th
percentile among schools with ICSEA
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Desirability
Ranks & confidence
- Desirability score
- 46.5/100 — Average
- State standing
- Top 38% of New South Wales' suburbs
- National rank
- 2648th in Australia
- State rank
- 801st in NSW
- Peer rank
- #47 among Metro Sydney · Mature suburbs
- Cohort rank
- #550 among Metro Sydney suburbs
- Data confidence
- 100%
Data sources & freshness
- Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
Housing
- Flats / units (January to March 2026)
- $550
- Houses (January to March 2026)
- $850
- All types (January to March 2026)
- $778
- Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
- 142
- Median house price (October to December 2025)
- $1,380,000
- Median price change
- +8%
Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.
Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)
Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum
Data sources & freshness
- DCJ rent and sales tables — NSW Department of Communities and Justice · January to March 2026; October to December 2025 · Updated · Quarterly releases
Population
Estimated resident population
7,372(June 2025)
+0.5% annual · -0.0% over 5 years · 49th percentile in NSW
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +0.5%
- 5-year growth
- -0.0%
- Change in 1 year
- +35
- Change in 5 years
- -2
- Growth rank in NSW
- 49th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~7,500), extrapolated at +0.3% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 7,398
- Median age
- 48
- Median household income / week
- $1,321
- Dwelling vacancy
- 5.5%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 172 of 3,105
- Median monthly mortgage
- $2,085
- Employment rate
- 48.3%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 1,924 / 880 / 127
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
- 204
- Against the person
- 65
- Against property
- 93
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 27.7
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 114 residents
- State safety percentile
- 7.5th (lower crime is better)
- Decrease (daily rate)
- -3.5%
Most common offence types
- Breach Apprehended Violence Order76
- Domestic Violence Related Assault79
- Fraud74
- Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment114
- Malicious Damage To Property110
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- BOCSAR postcode crime statistics — NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows
Family & Lifestyle
Schools & preschools
- Schools within 2 km
- 2
- Median school ICSEA (2 schools)
- 1,024.5
- Median ICSEA percentile
- 58th
School list
- Kincumber Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1004 · 49th percentile · LBOTE 8% · 364 students · Top SEA quarter 12% · 1.0 km awayView on My School →
- Kincumber High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 1045 · 66th percentile · LBOTE 8% · 1,002 students · Top SEA quarter 22% · 2.0 km awayView on My School →
Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)
School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA
Data sources & freshness
- ACARA school locations — Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority · 2025 · Updated · Annual release
- School ICSEA scores — Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority · 2025 · Updated · Annual release
Childcare
1 childcare service from OpenStreetMap
- The Beach Early Learning Centre KincumberKincumber Streetchildcare
Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)
Childcare centre count
Data sources & freshness
- Childcare services — OpenStreetMap · current · Updated
Public transport
133 public transport stops in this suburb
- Busways Gosford Depot, Empire Bay Dr
- Empire Bay Dr After The Scenic Rd
- Empire Bay Dr Before Cochrone St
- Empire Bay Dr Opp Busways Gosford Depot
- Grevillea Grove Village, The Scenic Rd
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
- Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0) — Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed
Amenities
80 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km
1 cafes · 2 places of worship · 1 playgrounds · 1 dog parks
Local character & venue list
Local character
- A car helps for daily errands
- Great for outdoor family life — 9 parks mapped in suburb, 1 playgrounds nearby
- Well connected by public transport — 133 public transport stops
- Walkability proxy
- 32/100
- Cafés per 1,000 residents
- 0.14
- Food & drink per 1,000 residents
- 0.14
- Parks per 1,000 residents
- 1.22
Food & drink(1)
- Post CafeCafe
Community(1)
- Kincumber Public SchoolSchool
Kincumber
Sport & outdoors(9)
- Carlo Close PlaygroundDog park
- Frost ReservePark
- Oberton Street Drainage ReservePark
- Park (2)
- Patrick Croke OvalPark
- Pinyari ParkPark
- Playground
- Sports field
Entertainment(1)
- Illawong LookoutViewpoint
Transport(51)
51 bus stops
Other(10)
- Bench
- Drinking water
- KIincumber Fire StationFire station
836 The Scenic Road, Kincumber
- Avoca Beach Bowling ClubLicenced Club
362-364 Avoca Drive, Kincumber
- Central Coast CouncilParking
- Parking (8)
- Place of worship
- St Paul's Anglican ChurchPlace of worship
- Hawke Street Boat RampSlipway
- Waste Basket
Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Parks & reserves
6 parks and public open space in this suburb
- Broadwater ParkPark
- Frost ReservePark
- Oberton Street Drainage ReservePark
- Patrick Croke OvalPark
- Pinyari ParkPark
- Tuross Close ReservePark
Data sources & freshness
- Parks & reserves — State government + ABS LGA boundaries · current · Updated
Green cover
- Parks & woodland (OSM)
- 33
- Parks (OSM)
- 9
OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.
Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)
Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- OpenStreetMap green cover — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Places of worship
2 places of worship within ~1.5 km
- Place of worship
- St Paul's Anglican Church
From OpenStreetMap within ~1.5 km of the suburb centre.
Data sources & freshness
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Hospitals & GP clinics in suburb
- 1
- Nearest hospital
- Central Coast Day Hospital (4.1 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
- Emergency department in suburb
- Not in suburb
- Priceline PharmacyPharmacy
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 249
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 33.8
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 26° / 18°
- Rainfall
- 386 mm · ~48 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 22° / 14°
- Rainfall
- 394 mm · ~49 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 17° / 8°
- Rainfall
- 266 mm · ~33 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 22° / 13°
- Rainfall
- 253 mm · ~32 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.
2026· 25 proposals
July 2026
- Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah; Swimming pool26 MORTONS CLOSE KINCUMBER 2251Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure54 SCHOOL STREET KINCUMBER 2251Under Assessment
- Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool7 HAMMOND CLOSE KINCUMBER 2251Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure8 JULIAN ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support12 KERNS ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Under Assessment
- Seniors housing; Residential care facility; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure88 SCAYSBROOK DRIVE KINCUMBER 2251Under Assessment
- Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool10 EDMONDSON CRESCENT KINCUMBER 2251Determined
June 2026
- Erection of a new structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah; Swimming pool5 KARUAH AVENUE KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Carport; Swimming pool3 PICKERING PLACE KINCUMBER 2251Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure243 AVOCA DRIVE KINCUMBER 2251Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure11 JOALAH ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure22 SAMANTHA CRESCENT KINCUMBER 2251Additional Information Requested
May 2026
- Signage; Advertising and signage19 KERTA ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Under Assessment
- Seniors housing; Independent living units; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation27 BUNGOONA ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Under Assessment
April 2026
- Commercial development; Advertising and signage37-41 AVOCA DRIVE KINCUMBER 2251Additional Information Requested
- Subdivision21 AVOCA DRIVE KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah10 EDMONDSON CRESCENT KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool38 BOUNDARY ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool22 SUNNY WATERS ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool39 KERNS ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Determined
February 2026
- Independent living units; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure1 SCAYSBROOK DRIVE KINCUMBER 2251Under Assessment
January 2026
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Carport6 MATHEW STREET KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation53A SCHOOL STREET KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Dwelling house; Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Residential Accommodation1 OBERTON STREET KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure20 JULIAN ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Determined
2025· 22 proposals
December 2025
- Seniors housing; Residential care facility; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure88 SCAYSBROOK DRIVE KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool271 AVOCA DRIVE KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Shed; Erection of a new structure2 SCAYSBROOK DRIVE KINCUMBER 2251Determined
November 2025
- Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; General industry42-50 EMPIRE BAY DRIVE KINCUMBER 2251Additional Information Requested
- Advertising and signage; Ancillary commercial development55 KINCUMBER STREET KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure16 TUROSS CLOSE KINCUMBER 2251Determined
October 2025
- Erection of a new structure; Cabanas, cubby houses, ferneries, garden sheds, gazebos and greenhouses; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support70 BOUNDARY ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Under Assessment
- Subdivision192 AVOCA DRIVE KINCUMBER 2251Additional Information Requested
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure15 KILLARA STREET KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Demolition; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure3 BOORAGAL CLOSE KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure1 CAMERON CRESCENT KINCUMBER 2251Determined
September 2025
- Signage; Advertising and signage155 AVOCA DRIVE KINCUMBER 2251Determined
August 2025
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure8 ABUNDANCE STREET KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation10 BRENNAN AVENUE KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool8 ABUNDANCE STREET KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool10 COURIGAL AVENUE KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Restaurant or cafe; Food and drink premise; Hours of operation and trading263 AVOCA DRIVE KINCUMBER 2251Determined
July 2025
- Subdivision4 CAMEO PLACE KINCUMBER 2251Additional Information Requested
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Cabanas, cubby houses, ferneries, garden sheds, gazebos and greenhouses; Swimming pool11 JOALAH ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Subdivision18 ALGONA AVENUE KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support; Swimming pool23 JULIAN ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Determined
- Demolition; Shed; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Driveways and hard stand spaces; Fences; Swimming pool59 BOUNDARY ROAD KINCUMBER 2251Determined
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- Online DA development application register — NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure · 2026 · Updated · Daily feed (from Oct 2018)
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- Overlay applies
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Robertson
- Member of Parliament
- Gordon REID (Australian Labor Party)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 114,922
- Turnout (2025)
- 92.5%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- +7.1 pp toward Labor
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 40.6%Labor 59.4%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 4.1 km away).
Coalition 38.0%Labor 62.0%
2.7 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +8.5 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
- KincumberLabor 62.1% · Coalition 37.9% TPP (2025)0.6 km away
- Kincumber CentralLabor 62.8% · Coalition 37.2% TPP (2025)1.7 km away
- Green PointLabor 59.0% · Coalition 41.0% TPP (2025)2.9 km away
- Avoca BeachLabor 68.0% · Coalition 32.0% TPP (2025)3.1 km away
- DavistownLabor 57.2% · Coalition 42.8% TPP (2025)3.8 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 6/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 5/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
More in Central Coast Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.