Median house price
$550k
-8.3% change
NSW · Kempsey Council
Kinchela, 2440
Est. population · Jun 2025
269
Growth (1 yr)
+0.8%
Growth (5 yr)
+2.7%
Median age
49
Median income
$1,437/wk
Employment rate
52.3%
Median house price · October to December 2025
$550,000
Languages at home
Mostly English at home
2021 Census · usual residence
Desirability score
- Excellent transport
- Education hub
- Heritage area
- High desirability
Suburb profile
Kinchela offers a slower smaller community life in Kempsey Council, with open surrounds and a close-knit community feel. A mature community gives the area a calm, settled social fabric, with multiple generations sharing the same neighbourhood. Life here is grounded in local routine rather than big-city choice.
With limited local amenities, residents regularly travel to a neighbouring town for shops, appointments and a wider choice. Local green pockets are modest, with bigger outdoor outings usually found in neighbouring areas. A car helps for most daily errands, though buses still link the suburb further afield.
Purchase and rent costs sit on the more affordable side of the local range. Tree-lined streets and established homes set the tone, with little pressure to reinvent the neighbourhood.
Versus similar regional towns, the suburb reads below average on desirability, chiefly because local dining and lifestyle amenities, plus growth momentum trail behind. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.
At a glance
Kinchela snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
$480/wk
Houses $490 · Units $380
Population (ERP)
269
+0.8% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
3.5%
Census unoccupied dwellings
Livability profile
Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Desirability
#478
among Country & regional · Mature
Safety
94th
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
58th
percentile in NSW
Advantage (IRSAD)
3/10
national SEIFA decile
School ICSEA
25th
percentile among schools with ICSEA
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Desirability
Ranks & confidence
- Desirability score
- 28.0/100 — Below average
- National rank
- 5881st in Australia
- State rank
- 1901st in NSW
- Peer rank
- #478 among Country & regional · Mature suburbs
- Cohort rank
- #871 among Country & regional suburbs
- Data confidence
- 79%
Data sources & freshness
- Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
Housing
- Flats / units (January to March 2026)
- $380
- Houses (January to March 2026)
- $490
- All types (January to March 2026)
- $480
- Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
- 112
- Median house price (October to December 2025)
- $550,000
- Median price change
- -8.3%
Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.
Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)
Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum
Data sources & freshness
- DCJ rent and sales tables — NSW Department of Communities and Justice · January to March 2026; October to December 2025 · Updated · Quarterly releases
Population
Estimated resident population
269(June 2025)
+0.8% annual · +2.7% over 5 years · 58th percentile in NSW
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +0.8%
- 5-year growth
- +2.7%
- Change in 1 year
- +2
- Change in 5 years
- +7
- Growth rank in NSW
- 58th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~250), extrapolated at +0.3% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 286
- Median age
- 49
- Median household income / week
- $1,437
- Dwelling vacancy
- 3.5%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 4 of 115
- Median monthly mortgage
- $1,343
- Employment rate
- 52.3%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 103 / 0 / 0
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
- 44
- Against the person
- 12
- Against property
- 17
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 163.6
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 24 residents
- State safety percentile
- 94.3th (lower crime is better)
- Increase (daily rate)
- +5%
Most common offence types
- Breach Apprehended Violence Order264
- Breach Bail Conditions556
- Domestic Violence Related Assault317
- Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment411
- Malicious Damage To Property362
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- BOCSAR postcode crime statistics — NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows
Family & Lifestyle
Schools & preschools
- Schools within 2 km
- 1
- Median school ICSEA
- 951
- Median ICSEA percentile
- 25th
School list
- Kinchela Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 951 · 25th percentile · LBOTE 17% · 27 students · Top SEA quarter 9% · 1.3 km awayView on My School →
Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)
School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA
Data sources & freshness
- ACARA school locations — Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority · 2025 · Updated · Annual release
- School ICSEA scores — Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority · 2025 · Updated · Annual release
Public transport
12 public transport stops in this suburb
- 385 Hat Head Rd
- Hat Head Rd At South West Rocks Rd
- Kinchela Public School, Kinchela Creek Right Bank Rd
- South West Rocks Rd Before Hat Head Rd
- South West Rocks Rd Opp Hat Head Rd
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
- Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0) — Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed
Amenities
1 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km
Local character & venue list
Local character
- Limited walkable amenities nearby
- Reasonable bus and transport access — 12 public transport stops
- Walkability proxy
- 18/100
- Cafés per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Food & drink per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Parks per 1,000 residents
- 0
Community(1)
- Kinchela Public SchoolSchool
5 Kinchela Creek Right Bank Road
Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Nearest hospital
- Kempsey District Hospital (19.2 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 10
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 37.2
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 27° / 19°
- Rainfall
- 439 mm · ~55 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 24° / 16°
- Rainfall
- 494 mm · ~62 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 19° / 10°
- Rainfall
- 252 mm · ~32 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 23° / 14°
- Rainfall
- 279 mm · ~35 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.
2026· 4 proposals
June 2026
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Fences; Pathways and paving; Swimming pool; Residential Accommodation2226 SOUTH WEST ROCKS ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
- Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah (screened enclosures)32 RIVERSIDE DRIVE KINCHELA 2440Additional Information Requested
April 2026
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool18-20 RIVERSIDE DRIVE KINCHELA 2440Determined
February 2026
- Shed; Erection of a new structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah250 KINCHELA CREEK LEFT BANK ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
2025· 1 proposal
February 2025
- Erection of a new structure; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support; Fences; Swimming pool2192 SOUTH WEST ROCKS ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
2024· 1 proposal
October 2024
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Fences; Pathways and paving; Swimming pool; Residential Accommodation2226 SOUTH WEST ROCKS ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
2023· 2 proposals
June 2023
- Alterations and additions to residential development5 HAT HEAD ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
March 2023
- Earthworks / change in levels29 KINCHELA CREEK RIGHT BANK ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
2022· 9 proposals
November 2022
- Educational establishment5 KINCHELA CREEK RIGHT BANK ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
October 2022
- Dwelling2250 SOUTH WEST ROCKS ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
- Dwelling2266 SOUTH WEST ROCKS ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
August 2022
- Flood mitigation work146 FAIRWEATHERS LANE KINCHELA 2440Determined
June 2022
- Dwelling; Pools / decks / fencing742 HAT HEAD ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
April 2022
- Flood mitigation work330 KINCHELA CREEK LEFT BANK ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
- Alterations and additions to residential development2466 SOUTH WEST ROCKS ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
March 2022
- Farm buildings2266 SOUTH WEST ROCKS ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
February 2022
- Farm buildings94 KINCHELA CREEK LEFT BANK ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
2021· 2 proposals
November 2021
- Farm buildings742 HAT HEAD ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
- Alterations and additions to residential development796 KINCHELA CREEK LEFT BANK ROAD KINCHELA 2440Determined
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- Online DA development application register — NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure · 2026 · Updated · Daily feed (from Oct 2018)
Heritage
1 heritage place
- Kinchela Aboriginal Boys' Training Home2054 South West Rocks Road KinchelaSHR
Data sources & freshness
- State heritage register — State heritage authority · current · Updated
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- No overlay at centroid
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Cowper
- Member of Parliament
- Pat CONAGHAN (The Nationals)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 131,639
- Turnout (2025)
- 90.8%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- +0.5 pp toward Labor
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 59.1%Labor 40.9%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 18.7 km away).
Coalition 66.4%Labor 33.6%
7.3 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: -0.2 pp toward Coalition
Nearest polling places
- GladstoneLabor 24.9% · Coalition 75.1% TPP (2025)6.3 km away
- Hat HeadLabor 40.2% · Coalition 59.8% TPP (2025)6.9 km away
- FredericktonLabor 27.6% · Coalition 72.4% TPP (2025)12.6 km away
- South West RocksLabor 40.7% · Coalition 59.3% TPP (2025)13.0 km away
- South West Rocks SouthLabor 40.0% · Coalition 60.0% TPP (2025)13.6 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 3/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 4/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
Compare with
Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.
More in Kempsey Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.