Median house price
$1.3M
+16% change
NSW · Ballina Council
Kinvara, 2478
Est. population · Jun 2025
203
Growth (1 yr)
+1.0%
Growth (5 yr)
+6.8%
Median age
50
Median income
$1,812/wk
Employment rate
61.2%
Median house price · October to December 2025
$1,300,000
Languages at home
Mostly English at home
2021 Census · usual residence
- Excellent transport
Suburb profile
In Ballina Council, Kinvara keeps a rural calm, a smaller community with room to breathe and a strong local rhythm. A mature community gives the area a calm, settled social fabric, with families and grandchildren still a visible part of community life. Everyday basics may be close by, but bigger shopping and services typically require a trip to a nearby centre.
Open space is thinner than in many comparable suburbs, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here, with buses covering longer trips across the wider area. Housing is expensive relative to much of the state.
Reported crime has been rising recently. Tree-lined streets and established homes set the tone, with little pressure to reinvent the neighbourhood.
At a glance
Kinvara snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
$755/wk
Houses $850 · Units $595
Population (ERP)
203
+1.0% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
7.6%
Census unoccupied dwellings
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Safety
64th
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
66th
percentile in NSW
Advantage (IRSAD)
8/10
national SEIFA decile
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Housing
- Flats / units (January to March 2026)
- $595
- Houses (January to March 2026)
- $850
- All types (January to March 2026)
- $755
- Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
- 236
- Median house price (October to December 2025)
- $1,300,000
- Median price change
- +16.1%
Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.
Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)
Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum
Data sources & freshness
- DCJ rent and sales tables — NSW Department of Communities and Justice · January to March 2026; October to December 2025 · Updated · Quarterly releases
Population
Estimated resident population
203(June 2025)
+1.0% annual · +6.8% over 5 years · 66th percentile in NSW
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +1.0%
- 5-year growth
- +6.8%
- Change in 1 year
- +2
- Change in 5 years
- +13
- Growth rank in NSW
- 66th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~200), extrapolated at +1.3% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 193
- Median age
- 50
- Median household income / week
- $1,812
- Dwelling vacancy
- 7.6%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 6 of 79
- Median monthly mortgage
- $2,817
- Employment rate
- 61.2%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 68 / 0 / 0
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
- 18
- Against the person
- 3
- Against property
- 10
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 88.7
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 64 residents
- State safety percentile
- 64.3th (lower crime is better)
- Increase (daily rate)
- +12.8%
Most common offence types
- Breach Bail Conditions342
- Fraud335
- Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment155
- Malicious Damage To Property240
- Steal From Retail Store305
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- BOCSAR postcode crime statistics — NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows
Family & Lifestyle
Public transport
9 public transport stops in this suburb
- 171 Ross Lane
- Newrybar Swamp Rd Turnaround (Hail And Ride)
- Ross Lane At Newrybar Swamp Rd
- Ross Lane Opp Newrybar Swamp Rd
- Tamarind Dr Opp Hill St
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
- Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0) — Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed
Amenities
1 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km
Local character & venue list
Local character
- Limited walkable amenities nearby
- Reasonable bus and transport access — 9 public transport stops
- Walkability proxy
- 14/100
- Cafés per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Food & drink per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Parks per 1,000 residents
- 0
Transport(1)
1 bus stops
Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Nearest hospital
- Ballina District Hospital (8.3 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 8
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 39.4
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 28° / 19°
- Rainfall
- 569 mm · ~71 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 25° / 16°
- Rainfall
- 612 mm · ~76 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 20° / 10°
- Rainfall
- 289 mm · ~36 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 25° / 14°
- Rainfall
- 300 mm · ~38 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.
2026· 1 proposal
June 2026
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure8 ROSS LANE KINVARA 2478Determined
2025· 5 proposals
December 2025
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure8 ROSS LANE KINVARA 2478Determined
- Dual occupancy; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Driveways and hard stand spaces; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support; Garage, carport or carparking space; Tourist and visitor accommodation; Residential Accommodation64 ROSS LANE KINVARAAdditional Information Requested
November 2025
- Demolition; Subdivision47 DUFFICYS LANE KINVARAAdditional Information Requested
August 2025
- Dual occupancy; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (detached)91 NEWRYBAR SWAMP ROAD KINVARA 2478Determined
May 2025
- Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool19 MCLEISH ROAD KINVARA 2478Determined
2024· 3 proposals
December 2024
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure139/-/DP752853Determined
February 2024
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure48 Birchfield DriveDetermined
- Subdivision264//DP1280009Determined
2023· 2 proposals
October 2023
- Subdivision264//DP1280009Determined
May 2023
- Dwelling48 Birchfield DriveDetermined
2022· 4 proposals
October 2022
- Balconies, decks, patios, terraces or verandahs14 ROSS LANE KINVARADetermined
August 2022
- Dwelling48 Birchfield DriveDetermined
February 2022
- Other91 NEWRYBAR SWAMP ROAD KINVARA 2478Withdrawn
January 2022
- Dwelling37 SCANLAN LANE KINVARADetermined
2021· 1 proposal
August 2021
- Dual occupancy; Change of use48 GLENROSS DRIVE KINVARADetermined
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- Online DA development application register — NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure · 2026 · Updated · Daily feed (from Oct 2018)
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- No overlay at centroid
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Richmond
- Member of Parliament
- Justine ELLIOT (Australian Labor Party)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 126,814
- Turnout (2025)
- 89.5%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- +1.8 pp toward Labor
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 40.0%Labor 60.0%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 8.1 km away).
Coalition 38.6%Labor 61.4%
1.4 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +1.4 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
- TintenbarLabor 55.0% · Coalition 45.0% TPP (2025)4.2 km away
- Lennox HeadLabor 67.7% · Coalition 32.4% TPP (2025)4.6 km away
- FernleighLabor 64.4% · Coalition 35.6% TPP (2025)5.2 km away
- Ballina NorthLabor 59.0% · Coalition 41.0% TPP (2025)6.0 km away
- Skennars HeadLabor 68.7% · Coalition 31.3% TPP (2025)6.8 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 8/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 7/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
More in Ballina Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.