NSW · Georges River Council

Kogarah Bay, 2217

Est. population · Jun 2025

2,230

Growth (1 yr)

+2.0%

Growth (5 yr)

+5.8%

Median age

44

Median income

$2,528/wk

Employment rate

55.7%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$2,273,000

Languages at home

47.1%non-English

Most common: Greek, Arabic, Macedonian

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

47.1/100
Average

Top 37% of New South Wales' suburbs

Verified 89% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Education hub
  • Excellent transport
  • High desirability
What Kogarah Bay is known for: Education hub, Excellent transport, High desirability

Suburb profile

In Georges River Council, Kogarah Bay is a settled smaller community with a familiar suburban feel and good links to the wider city. Long-term locals and family households define much of the community, with family life visible on every street. Most local households sit in a multicultural mix, with overseas-born residents and languages other than English common at home.

Education outcomes and school provision stand out relative to comparable suburbs. Pocket parks and green corners give residents room to get outside without leaving the neighbourhood. Getting around is straightforward, with buses tying neighbouring communities together.

Property sits in a premium price band and is harder to enter for many buyers. The streetscape feels settled and established, with older homes giving the area a familiar, lived-in look.

Desirability lands around average here: softer local dining and lifestyle amenities, plus safety weighing on the result versus similar metro suburbs, even with community and employment, plus growth momentum holding up better. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Kogarah Bay snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$2.27M

+20% change

Median rent

$700/wk

Houses $820 · Units $690

Population (ERP)

2,230

+2.0% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

4.7%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#117

among Metro Sydney · Emerging

Safety

41st

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

87th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

10/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

73rd

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
47.1/100 — Average
State standing
Top 37% of New South Wales' suburbs
National rank
2553rd in Australia
State rank
774th in NSW
Peer rank
#117 among Metro Sydney · Emerging suburbs
Cohort rank
#539 among Metro Sydney suburbs
Data confidence
89%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Housing

Flats / units (January to March 2026)
$690
Houses (January to March 2026)
$820
All types (January to March 2026)
$700
Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
407
Median house price (October to December 2025)
$2,273,000
Median price change
+19.6%

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

2,230(June 2025)

+2.0% annual · +5.8% over 5 years · 87th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+2.0%
5-year growth
+5.8%
Change in 1 year
+44
Change in 5 years
+123
Growth rank in NSW
87th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~2,350), extrapolated at +0.9% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
2,102
Median age
44
Median household income / week
$2,528
Dwelling vacancy
4.7%
Unoccupied private dwellings
33 of 698
Median monthly mortgage
$2,963
Employment rate
55.7%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
641 / 27 / 6

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
133
Against the person
25
Against property
38
Rate per 1,000 residents
59.6
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 84 residents
State safety percentile
41.3th (lower crime is better)
Increase (daily rate)
+1.8%

Most common offence types

  • Breach Bail Conditions389
  • Fraud151
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment100
  • Malicious Damage To Property98
  • Transport Regulatory Offences274

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
11
Median school ICSEA (11 schools)
1,064
Median ICSEA percentile
73th
School list
  • Blakehurst Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1049 · 68th percentile · LBOTE 61% · 256 students · Top SEA quarter 23% · 0.7 km awayView on My School →
  • Blakehurst High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 1043 · 66th percentile · LBOTE 81% · 1,013 students · Top SEA quarter 19% · 1.0 km awayView on My School →
  • Carlton South Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1064 · 73th percentile · LBOTE 78% · 514 students · Top SEA quarter 27% · 1.1 km awayView on My School →
  • Mater Dei Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1103 · 85th percentile · LBOTE 78% · 400 students · Top SEA quarter 38% · 1.2 km awayView on My School →
  • St Finbar's Catholic Primary School Sans SouciPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1091 · 82th percentile · LBOTE 74% · 218 students · Top SEA quarter 35% · 1.2 km awayView on My School →
  • Sans Souci Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1060 · 72th percentile · LBOTE 71% · 523 students · Top SEA quarter 25% · 1.5 km awayView on My School →
  • St Raphael's Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1130 · 91th percentile · LBOTE 93% · 210 students · Top SEA quarter 50% · 1.5 km awayView on My School →
  • St George Christian SchoolCombined · Independent · ICSEA 1159 · 96th percentile · LBOTE 53% · 845 students · Top SEA quarter 62% · 1.6 km awayView on My School →
  • Ramsgate Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1039 · 64th percentile · LBOTE 63% · 447 students · Top SEA quarter 19% · 1.9 km awayView on My School →
  • St Patrick's Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1117 · 88th percentile · LBOTE 81% · 416 students · Top SEA quarter 44% · 1.9 km awayView on My School →

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA

Data sources & freshness

Public transport

36 public transport stops in this suburb

  • Park Rd At Bell Av
  • Park Rd At Wyee St
  • Park Rd Before Brighton St
  • Park Rd Opp Merton St
  • Ramsgate Rd Before Park Rd

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

44 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

2 playgrounds

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • A car helps for daily errands
  • Great for outdoor family life5 parks mapped in suburb, 2 playgrounds nearby
  • Well connected by public transport36 public transport stops
Walkability proxy
30/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
2.38
Sport & outdoors(10)
  • Corry ReservePark
  • Leighton ParkPark
  • Park (2)
  • Park Road ReservePark
  • Playground (2)
  • Harold Fraser OvalSports field
  • Sports field
  • The Charles Pirie FieldSports field
Transport(18)

18 bus stops

Other(9)
  • Bbq
  • Bench (4)
  • Drinking water
  • ElysianHairdresser
  • Parking (4)
  • Picnic Table
  • Public toilets
  • Shelter (2)
  • Waste Basket

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

3 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Corry ReservePark
  • Leighton ParkPark
  • Park Road ReservePark

Data sources & freshness

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
5
Parks (OSM)
5

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Calvary Health Care Sydney (1.3 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
38
Participants per 1,000 residents
17.0

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
25° / 17°
Rainfall
321 mm · ~40 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
22° / 14°
Rainfall
359 mm · ~45 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
17° / 8°
Rainfall
263 mm · ~33 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
21° / 12°
Rainfall
242 mm · ~30 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.

2026· 7 proposals
  • July 2026

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    92 CARLTON CRESCENT KOGARAH BAY 2217Under Assessment
  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    79 PARK ROAD KOGARAH BAY 2217Under Assessment
  • Residential flat building; Erection of a new structure
    198 PRINCES HIGHWAY KOGARAH BAY 2217Under Assessment
  • June 2026

  • Subdivision
    15 BAYVIEW STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • April 2026

  • Demolition; Residential flat building; Erection of a new structure
    68 PARK ROAD KOGARAH BAY 2217Under Assessment
  • January 2026

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    10 PARKSIDE DRIVE KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Dual occupancy; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached); Residential Accommodation
    20 LACEY STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
2025· 13 proposals
  • October 2025

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    44 BRUCE STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • September 2025

  • Erection of a new structure; Minor building alterations (external); Swimming pool
    32 CARLTON CRESCENT KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • July 2025

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    25 WHARF ROAD KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Erection of a new structure; Jetty
    4A CARLTON CRESCENT KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • June 2025

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    18 VAUDAN STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Withdrawn
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Garage, carport or carparking space
    21 HAMER STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • May 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    28 LACEY STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Dual occupancy; Demolition; Erection of a new structure
    34 PARKSIDE DRIVE KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    4 CARLTON CRESCENT KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Residential flat building
    192 PRINCES HIGHWAY KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • April 2025

  • Residential flat building; Erection of a new structure
    198 PRINCES HIGHWAY KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • February 2025

  • Residential flat building; Erection of a new structure
    198 PRINCES HIGHWAY KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    22 HAMER STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
2024· 7 proposals
  • November 2024

  • Subdivision
    27 MAYOR STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • October 2024

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation
    14 HAMER STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • September 2024

  • Demolition; Residential flat building; Erection of a new structure
    68 PARK ROAD KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • July 2024

  • Subdivision
    33 SOUTER STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • April 2024

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    14A CARLTON CRESCENT KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Demolition; Residential flat building; Erection of a new structure
    1 LACEY STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • March 2024

  • Subdivision; Dual occupancy (attached)
    121 PARK ROAD KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
2023· 12 proposals
  • November 2023

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    11 CARLTON CRESCENT KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Early Education and Care Facility; Centre-based child care
    96 PARK ROAD KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • September 2023

  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    G05/5-9 John Street Kogarah BayWithdrawn
  • Multi-dwelling housing
    192 PRINCES HIGHWAY KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • August 2023

  • Dwelling
    23 CARLTON CRESCENT KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • July 2023

  • Subdivision of land
    1A WYEE STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Semi-attached dwelling
    69 PAYTEN STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Garages, carports and car parking spaces
    27 RAMSGATE ROAD KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • June 2023

  • Residential flat building
    1 JOHN STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Dual occupancy; Demolition
    121 PARK ROAD KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • February 2023

  • Dwelling
    28 CARLTON CRESCENT KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • January 2023

  • Dwelling; Demolition; Earthworks / change in levels; Retaining walls, protection of trees
    22 HAMER STREET KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
2022· 4 proposals
  • November 2022

  • Dwelling; Demolition
    31 CARLTON CRESCENT KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Demolition; Alterations and additions to residential development; Garages, carports and car parking spaces
    26 PARKSIDE DRIVE KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • Dwelling; Pools / decks / fencing; Demolition
    19 CARLTON CRESCENT KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined
  • October 2022

  • Subdivision of land
    82 PARK ROAD KOGARAH BAY 2217Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Barton
Member of Parliament
Ash AMBIHAIPAHAR (Australian Labor Party)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
120,761
Turnout (2025)
91.3%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+4.0 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 34.0%Labor 66.0%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 1.9 km away).

Coalition 53.6%Labor 46.4%

19.6 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +10.9 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • Kogarah BayLabor 45.4% · Coalition 54.6% TPP (2025)0.1 km away
  • Carlton WestLabor 66.1% · Coalition 33.9% TPP (2025)0.8 km away
  • Blakehurst North (Barton)Labor 67.5% · Coalition 32.5% TPP (2025)1.0 km away
  • Allawah (Barton)Labor 62.9% · Coalition 37.1% TPP (2025)1.1 km away
  • Carlton SouthLabor 69.1% · Coalition 30.9% TPP (2025)1.2 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
10/10
IRSD decile (2021)
9/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

Compare with

Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.

More in Georges River Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.