NSW · Central Coast Council

Shelly Beach, 2261

Est. population · Jun 2025

1,376

Growth (1 yr)

+0.9%

Growth (5 yr)

+2.1%

Median age

47

Median income

$1,646/wk

Employment rate

53.6%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$1,080,000

Languages at home

3.7%non-English

Most common: Arabic, German, Italian

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

42/100
Average

Top 49% of New South Wales' suburbs

Verified 89% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Coastal
  • National parks
  • Excellent transport
  • Education hub
  • High desirability
What Shelly Beach is known for: Coastal, National parks, Excellent transport, Education hub, High desirability

Suburb profile

Life in Shelly Beach revolves around the coast, with the feel of a smaller community that never strays far from the water. Neighbouring pockets and the city remain accessible for work, dining and weekends away from the beach. Long-term locals and family households define much of the community, with a strong presence of young families throughout.

Strong connections via buses keep the wider area accessible. Housing is expensive relative to much of the state. Reported crime has been falling recently.

Occasional new builds add variety while most of the suburb keeps its established look.

Against similar coastal suburbs, the suburb sits around average overall, mainly because parks and green space lag behind, despite relative strength in community and employment. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Shelly Beach snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$1.08M

+2.9% change

Median rent

$620/wk

Houses $680 · Units $520

Population (ERP)

1,376

+0.9% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

8.7%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#42

among Coastal & beach · Mature

Safety

50th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

63rd

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

9/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

41st

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
42.0/100 — Average
State standing
Top 49% of New South Wales' suburbs
National rank
3407th in Australia
State rank
1042nd in NSW
Peer rank
#42 among Coastal & beach · Mature suburbs
Cohort rank
#101 among Coastal & beach suburbs
Data confidence
89%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Housing

Flats / units (January to March 2026)
$520
Houses (January to March 2026)
$680
All types (January to March 2026)
$620
Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
368
Median house price (October to December 2025)
$1,080,000
Median price change
+2.9%

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

1,376(June 2025)

+0.9% annual · +2.1% over 5 years · 63th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+0.9%
5-year growth
+2.1%
Change in 1 year
+12
Change in 5 years
+28
Growth rank in NSW
63th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~1,450), extrapolated at +0.9% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
1,313
Median age
47
Median household income / week
$1,646
Dwelling vacancy
8.7%
Unoccupied private dwellings
47 of 543
Median monthly mortgage
$2,200
Employment rate
53.6%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
415 / 60 / 0 (+ 17 other)

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
92
Against the person
28
Against property
36
Rate per 1,000 residents
66.9
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 47 residents
State safety percentile
49.9th (lower crime is better)
Decrease (daily rate)
-13%

Most common offence types

  • Breach Apprehended Violence Order247
  • Breach Bail Conditions456
  • Domestic Violence Related Assault295
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment446
  • Malicious Damage To Property380

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
3
Median school ICSEA (3 schools)
987
Median ICSEA percentile
41th
School list
  • Our Lady of the Rosary Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1057 · 71th percentile · LBOTE 5% · 606 students · Top SEA quarter 25% · 0.7 km awayView on My School →
  • Tuggerah Lakes Secondary College The Entrance CampusSecondary · Government · ICSEA 987 · 41th percentile · LBOTE 7% · 756 students · Top SEA quarter 10% · 0.8 km awayView on My School →
  • Brooke Avenue Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 931 · 18th percentile · LBOTE 9% · 420 students · Top SEA quarter 6% · 1.9 km awayView on My School →

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA

Data sources & freshness

Public transport

23 public transport stops in this suburb

  • Grandview St After Shelly Beach Rd
  • Shelly Beach Rd Opp Lindsay St
  • TLSC The Entrance Campus, Central Coast Hwy
  • TLSC The Entrance Campus, Yakalla St
  • Yakalla St Before Grandview St

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

37 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

1 restaurants · 1 cafes · 1 places of worship · 1 playgrounds · 1 swimming pools

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • A car helps for daily errands
  • Decent local green space1 parks in suburb, 1 playgrounds nearby
  • Well connected by public transport23 public transport stops
Walkability proxy
34/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0.76
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
1.52
Parks per 1,000 residents
0.76
Food & drink(2)
  • MunchasCafe
  • Seaspray RestaurantRestaurant
Community(2)
  • Our Lady of the Rosary Catholic Primary SchoolSchool

    1A Shelly Beach Road

  • Tuggerah Lakes Secondary College The Entrance CampusSchool

    Shelly Beach

Sport & outdoors(5)
  • Shelly Beach Golf CourseGolf course
  • Earl Street ReservePark
  • Playground
  • Sports field
  • Swimming pool
Transport(12)

12 bus stops

Other(10)
  • Sun Valley Tourist ParkCaravan Site
  • Drinking water
  • Peter Clifford ReserveNature Reserve
  • Parking (4)
  • Picnic Table (4)
  • Bateau Bay Baptist ChurchPlace of worship

    8 Yakalla Street

  • Public toilets
  • Shower
  • ShowersShower
  • Uniting Nareen Gardens Lodge Bateau BaySocial Facility

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

2 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Earl Street ReservePark
  • Peter Clifford ReserveNature reserve

Data sources & freshness

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
2
Parks (OSM)
1

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Places of worship

1 places of worship within ~1.5 km

  • Bateau Bay Baptist Church

    8 Yakalla Street

From OpenStreetMap within ~1.5 km of the suburb centre.

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Long Jetty Healthcare Centre (1.6 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
47
Participants per 1,000 residents
34.2

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
27° / 18°
Rainfall
295 mm · ~37 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
23° / 14°
Rainfall
366 mm · ~46 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
18° / 8°
Rainfall
272 mm · ~34 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
23° / 13°
Rainfall
230 mm · ~29 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.

2026· 10 proposals
  • July 2026

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    21 EARL STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Under Assessment
  • June 2026

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool
    101 GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool
    108 OAKS AVENUE SHELLY BEACH 2261Under Assessment
  • Dual occupancy; Subdivision; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Dual occupancy (attached); Residential Accommodation
    136 GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Under Assessment
  • May 2026

  • Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool
    23 PHILLIP STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • April 2026

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    23 PHILLIP STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • March 2026

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation
    130 GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    34A GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • February 2026

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    100 GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool; Residential Accommodation
    54 BELLEVUE STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
2025· 16 proposals
  • December 2025

  • Erection of a new structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah (screened enclosures); Swimming pool; Residential Accommodation; Supporting Development
    5 PHILLIP STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • October 2025

  • Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (detached)
    19 GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Dual occupancy; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached); Residential Accommodation
    136 GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Minor building alterations (external); Supporting Development
    90 SHELLY BEACH ROAD SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • September 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    58 LIDDELL STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    110 OAKS AVENUE SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Garage, carport or carparking space
    37 WATERVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Withdrawn
  • August 2025

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    70 BELLEVUE STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • July 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    112A GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Garage, carport or carparking space
    37 WATERVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • June 2025

  • Secondary dwelling; Erection of a new structure
    58 SHELLY BEACH ROAD SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • April 2025

  • Demolition
    125 GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Demolition
    37 WATERVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Erection of a new structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah; Fences; Swimming pool
    5 PHILLIP STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • February 2025

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Dual occupancy (attached)
    136 GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    34A GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
2024· 12 proposals
  • December 2024

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    30 PHILLIP STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    76 BELLEVUE STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • November 2024

  • Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (detached)
    19 GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • October 2024

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Registered club; Recreation facility (outdoor)
    86 BONNIEVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • September 2024

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah; Swimming pool
    49 BELLEVUE STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Demolition; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool
    8 PHILLIP STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    85 MCLACHLAN AVENUE SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • July 2024

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Automotive/truck premises; Service station
    50 SHELLY BEACH ROAD SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (detached)
    125 GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • January 2024

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    110 GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    112A GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Caravan park
    2 BATEAU BAY ROAD SHELLY BEACH 2261Withdrawn
2023· 3 proposals
  • December 2023

  • Secondary dwelling; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure
    19 PHILLIP STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • November 2023

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    14A GRANDVIEW STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined
  • October 2023

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    52 BELLEVUE STREET SHELLY BEACH 2261Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Dobell
Member of Parliament
Emma McBRIDE (Australian Labor Party)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
122,541
Turnout (2025)
91.5%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+2.9 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 40.6%Labor 59.4%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 2.6 km away).

Coalition 39.9%Labor 60.1%

0.6 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +5.3 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • Shelly BeachLabor 60.4% · Coalition 39.6% TPP (2025)0.7 km away
  • Bateau Bay CentralLabor 50.2% · Coalition 49.8% TPP (2025)1.3 km away
  • Bateau Bay SouthLabor 62.4% · Coalition 37.6% TPP (2025)1.3 km away
  • Long JettyLabor 62.3% · Coalition 37.7% TPP (2025)1.5 km away
  • Killarney Vale SouthLabor 64.7% · Coalition 35.3% TPP (2025)1.8 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
9/10
IRSD decile (2021)
9/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Central Coast Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.