Median house price
$3.3M
+0.8% change
NSW · Canada Bay Council
Canada Bay, 2046
Est. population · Jun 2025
1,343
Growth (1 yr)
+0.1%
Growth (5 yr)
+0.4%
Median age
40
Median income
$2,473/wk
Employment rate
60.5%
Median house price · October to December 2025
$3,300,000
Languages at home
34%non-English
Most common: Italian, Mandarin, Cantonese
2021 Census · usual residence
Desirability score
- Education hub
- Excellent transport
- High desirability
Suburb profile
Canada Bay is a quieter residential smaller community in Canada Bay Council, more about homes and street life than a busy local strip. Working households and growing families are the backbone of local life, with family life visible on every street. Overseas-born and multilingual households are a noticeable part of the local population.
Schooling is a clear local strength compared with many peer areas. Pocket parks and green corners give residents room to get outside without leaving the neighbourhood. A car helps for most daily errands, though buses still link the suburb further afield.
Housing is expensive relative to much of the state. This is a mature, settled pocket where the existing streetscape still defines the local character.
The overall desirability read is below average, pulled by softer local dining and lifestyle amenities, plus growth momentum compared with similar metro suburbs, though community and employment remain brighter spots. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.
At a glance
Canada Bay snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
$850/wk
Houses $1,100 · Units $800
Population (ERP)
1,343
+0.1% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
7.1%
Census unoccupied dwellings
Livability profile
Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Desirability
#303
among Metro Sydney · Established
Safety
13th
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
40th
percentile in NSW
Advantage (IRSAD)
10/10
national SEIFA decile
School ICSEA
82nd
percentile among schools with ICSEA
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Desirability
Ranks & confidence
- Desirability score
- 35.4/100 — Below average
- National rank
- 4599th in Australia
- State rank
- 1465th in NSW
- Peer rank
- #303 among Metro Sydney · Established suburbs
- Cohort rank
- #764 among Metro Sydney suburbs
- Data confidence
- 89%
Data sources & freshness
- Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
Housing
- Flats / units (January to March 2026)
- $800
- Houses (January to March 2026)
- $1,100
- All types (January to March 2026)
- $850
- Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
- 242
- Median house price (October to December 2025)
- $3,300,000
- Median price change
- +0.8%
Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.
Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)
Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum
Data sources & freshness
- DCJ rent and sales tables — NSW Department of Communities and Justice · January to March 2026; October to December 2025 · Updated · Quarterly releases
Population
Estimated resident population
1,343(June 2025)
+0.1% annual · +0.4% over 5 years · 40th percentile in NSW
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +0.1%
- 5-year growth
- +0.4%
- Change in 1 year
- +2
- Change in 5 years
- +5
- Growth rank in NSW
- 40th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~1,350), extrapolated at +0.4% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 1,308
- Median age
- 40
- Median household income / week
- $2,473
- Dwelling vacancy
- 7.1%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 36 of 504
- Median monthly mortgage
- $3,033
- Employment rate
- 60.5%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 279 / 78 / 115
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
- 46
- Against the person
- 11
- Against property
- 24
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 34.3
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 119 residents
- State safety percentile
- 12.5th (lower crime is better)
- Increase (daily rate)
- +9.8%
Most common offence types
- Break And Enter Dwelling84
- Fraud107
- Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment78
- Malicious Damage To Property80
- Steal From Motor Vehicle79
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- BOCSAR postcode crime statistics — NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows
Family & Lifestyle
Schools & preschools
- Schools within 2 km
- 16
- Median school ICSEA (16 schools)
- 1,089.5
- Median ICSEA percentile
- 82th
School list
- Lucas Gardens SchoolSpecial · Government · ICSEA 1057 · 71th percentile · LBOTE 72% · 78 students · Top SEA quarter 28% · 0.4 km awayView on My School →
- Concord High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 1068 · 75th percentile · LBOTE 71% · 1,206 students · Top SEA quarter 28% · 0.6 km awayView on My School →
- Concord Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1071 · 76th percentile · LBOTE 64% · 276 students · Top SEA quarter 32% · 0.8 km awayView on My School →
- Rosebank CollegeSecondary · Independent · ICSEA 1125 · 90th percentile · LBOTE 37% · 1,472 students · Top SEA quarter 48% · 0.8 km awayView on My School →
- Five Dock Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1082 · 79th percentile · LBOTE 42% · 314 students · Top SEA quarter 39% · 1.1 km awayView on My School →
- Burwood Girls High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 1086 · 80th percentile · LBOTE 64% · 1,084 students · Top SEA quarter 35% · 1.2 km awayView on My School →
- St Mary's Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1110 · 87th percentile · LBOTE 85% · 216 students · Top SEA quarter 43% · 1.2 km awayView on My School →
- Holy Innocents' Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1088 · 81th percentile · LBOTE 89% · 156 students · Top SEA quarter 35% · 1.3 km awayView on My School →
- Southern Cross Catholic CollegeSecondary · Catholic · ICSEA 1042 · 65th percentile · LBOTE 55% · 139 students · Top SEA quarter 19% · 1.3 km awayView on My School →
- MLC SchoolCombined · Independent · ICSEA 1177 · 98th percentile · LBOTE 39% · 1,393 students · Top SEA quarter 72% · 1.5 km awayView on My School →
Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)
School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA
Data sources & freshness
- ACARA school locations — Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority · 2025 · Updated · Annual release
- School ICSEA scores — Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority · 2025 · Updated · Annual release
Public transport
8 public transport stops in this suburb
- Lyons Rd West Opp Bayview Rd
- Lyons Rd West Opp Bayview Rd
- Lyons Rd West Opp Regatta Rd
- Lyons Rd West Opp Regatta Rd
- Queens Rd At Walker St
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
- Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0) — Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed
Amenities
6 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km
1 playgrounds
Local character & venue list
Local character
- Limited walkable amenities nearby
- Decent local green space — 2 parks in suburb, 1 playgrounds nearby
- Reasonable bus and transport access — 8 public transport stops
- Walkability proxy
- 12/100
- Cafés per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Food & drink per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Parks per 1,000 residents
- 1.53
Sport & outdoors(3)
- Park (2)
- Playground
Transport(3)
3 bus stops
Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Green cover
- Parks & woodland (OSM)
- 2
- Parks (OSM)
- 2
OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.
Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)
Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- OpenStreetMap green cover — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Nearest hospital
- Concord Private Hospital (0.8 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 23
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 17.1
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 25° / 17°
- Rainfall
- 321 mm · ~40 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 22° / 14°
- Rainfall
- 359 mm · ~45 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 17° / 8°
- Rainfall
- 263 mm · ~33 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 21° / 12°
- Rainfall
- 242 mm · ~30 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.
2026· 3 proposals
August 2026
- Demolition; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached)583 LYONS ROAD WEST CANADA BAY 2046Under Assessment
May 2026
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure86 REGATTA ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Additional Information Requested
- Dual occupancy; Demolition; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached)88 BAYVIEW ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Under Assessment
2025· 5 proposals
October 2025
- Demolition; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Semi-detached dwelling1 BAYVIEW ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Determined
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure88 BAYVIEW ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Withdrawn
August 2025
- Demolition; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached)583 LYONS ROAD WEST CANADA BAY 2046Determined
July 2025
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure86 REGATTA ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Withdrawn
June 2025
- Demolition; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached)583 LYONS ROAD WEST CANADA BAY 2046Determined
2023· 4 proposals
December 2023
- Subdivision31 RENOWN STREET CANADA BAY 2046Determined
November 2023
- Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure43 WALKER STREET CANADA BAY 2046Determined
June 2023
- Dwelling3 BELLBIRD CLOSE CANADA BAY 2046Determined
April 2023
- Semi-attached dwelling1 BAYVIEW ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Withdrawn
2022· 2 proposals
November 2022
- Semi-attached dwelling; Alterations and additions to residential development81 REGATTA ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Determined
February 2022
- Dual occupancy37 WALKER STREET CANADA BAY 2046Determined
2021· 5 proposals
December 2021
- Alterations and additions to residential development26 REGATTA ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Determined
November 2021
- Subdivision of land14 BAYVIEW ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Deferred Commencement
August 2021
- Centre based childcare34 BAYVIEW ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Determined
July 2021
- Pools / decks / fencing81 BAYVIEW ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Determined
March 2021
- Dwelling54 REGATTA ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Determined
2020· 4 proposals
October 2020
- Dual occupancy31 RENOWN STREET CANADA BAY 2046Determined
September 2020
- Dwelling; Demolition100 REGATTA ROAD CANADA BAY 2046Determined
July 2020
- Dual occupancy37 WALKER STREET CANADA BAY 2046Determined
June 2020
- Demolition; Dwelling555 LYONS ROAD WEST CANADA BAY 2046Determined
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- Online DA development application register — NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure · 2026 · Updated · Daily feed (from Oct 2018)
Roadworks & transport
1 active roadworks / incidents
- RoadworksQueens Road, Gipps Street01 Aug 2026 – 31 Aug 2026
Data sources & freshness
- Road incidents & closures — State road authority open-data feeds · current · Updated
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- No overlay at centroid
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Reid
- Member of Parliament
- Sally SITOU (Australian Labor Party)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 117,810
- Turnout (2025)
- 91.4%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- +6.8 pp toward Labor
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 38.0%Labor 62.0%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 1.8 km away).
Coalition 36.4%Labor 63.6%
1.6 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +8.8 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
- Concord EastLabor 59.0% · Coalition 41.0% TPP (2025)0.9 km away
- Five DockLabor 67.4% · Coalition 32.6% TPP (2025)1.2 km away
- Burwood EastLabor 70.9% · Coalition 29.1% TPP (2025)1.3 km away
- Burwood ParkLabor 70.3% · Coalition 29.7% TPP (2025)1.5 km away
- Five Dock EastLabor 57.7% · Coalition 42.3% TPP (2025)1.6 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 10/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 8/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
Compare with
Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.
More in Canada Bay Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.