NSW · Armidale Regional Council

Tubbamurra, 2365

Est. population · Jun 2025

19

Growth (1 yr)

0.0%

Growth (5 yr)

0.0%

Median age

58

Median income

$962/wk

Employment rate

43.8%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$523,000

Languages at home

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

  • National parks
  • Excellent transport
What Tubbamurra is known for: National parks, Excellent transport

Suburb profile

Tubbamurra is a quieter smaller community in Armidale Regional Council, where peace, space and a country-town pace still dominate. An older demographic makes it especially popular with retirees, with multiple generations sharing the same neighbourhood. The town centre holds its own, with enough local flavour to make staying close to home appealing.

Everyday basics may be close by, but bigger shopping and services typically require a trip to a nearby centre. Open space is thinner than in many comparable suburbs, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here, with buses covering longer trips across the wider area.

Housing costs sit in a more approachable middle band than nearby premium pockets. This is a mature, settled pocket where the existing streetscape still defines the local character.

At a glance

Tubbamurra snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$523k

+25% change

Median rent

$420/wk

Population (ERP)

19

0.0% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

37.5%

Census unoccupied dwellings

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Safety

33rd

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

35th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

6/10

national SEIFA decile

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Housing

Houses (January to March 2026)
$440
Median house price (October to December 2025)
$523,000
Median price change
+25%

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

19(June 2025)

0.0% annual · 0.0% over 5 years · 35th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
0.0%
5-year growth
0.0%
Change in 1 year
0
Change in 5 years
0
Growth rank in NSW
35th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~0), extrapolated at +0.4% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
19
Median age
58
Median household income / week
$962
Dwelling vacancy
37.5%
Unoccupied private dwellings
3 of 8
Median monthly mortgage
$0
Employment rate
43.8%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
7 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences are unchanged compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
1
Against the person
0
Against property
0
Rate per 1,000 residents
52.6
State safety percentile
32.8th (lower crime is better)
Increase (daily rate)
+0.3%

Most common offence types

  • Breach Apprehended Violence Order20
  • Breach Bail Conditions16
  • Domestic Violence Related Assault25
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment30
  • Malicious Damage To Property28

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Public transport

2 public transport stops in this suburb

  • Tubbamurra Rd At Bagot Rd
  • Tubbamurra Rd At Bagot Rd

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

1 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Little Llangothlin Nature ReserveNature reserve

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Guyra Multi-Purpose Service (15.9 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
25° / 14°
Rainfall
397 mm · ~50 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
20° / 9°
Rainfall
221 mm · ~28 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
13° / 3°
Rainfall
116 mm · ~14 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
20° / 8°
Rainfall
214 mm · ~27 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal (lodged 2020–2026).

1 planning-related records

2024· 1 proposal
  • September 2024

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Manufactured home
    140 BAGOT ROAD TUBBAMURRA 2365Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
New England
Member of Parliament
Barnaby JOYCE (The Nationals)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
131,238
Turnout (2025)
91.6%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
-1.9 pp toward Coalition

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 67.1%Labor 32.9%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 47.4 km away).

Coalition 74.6%Labor 25.4%

7.5 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +1.2 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • Ben LomondLabor 14.0% · Coalition 86.0% TPP (2025)15.0 km away
  • GuyraLabor 22.0% · Coalition 78.0% TPP (2025)16.7 km away
  • Black MountainLabor 33.7% · Coalition 66.3% TPP (2025)26.1 km away
  • Glen Innes WestLabor 29.6% · Coalition 70.4% TPP (2025)40.6 km away
  • Glen InnesLabor 35.5% · Coalition 64.5% TPP (2025)40.8 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
6/10
IRSD decile (2021)
5/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Armidale Regional Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.