NSW · Kempsey Council

Turners Flat, 2440

Est. population · Jun 2025

159

Growth (1 yr)

+0.6%

Growth (5 yr)

+2.6%

Median age

43

Median income

$1,781/wk

Employment rate

59.4%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$550,000

Languages at home

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

  • Excellent transport
What Turners Flat is known for: Excellent transport

Suburb profile

Turners Flat is a quieter smaller community in Kempsey Council, where peace, space and a country-town pace still dominate. Distance from Sydney is unmistakable: this is well outside the capital's everyday orbit. Established families and long-term residents give the suburb a settled feel, with plenty of young families in the mix.

With limited local amenities, residents regularly travel to a neighbouring town for shops, appointments and a wider choice. Local green pockets are modest, with bigger outdoor outings usually found in neighbouring areas. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here, with buses covering longer trips across the wider area.

Homes are relatively cheap compared with the wider market, which keeps entry costs lower.

At a glance

Turners Flat snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$550k

-8.3% change

Median rent

$480/wk

Houses $490 · Units $380

Population (ERP)

159

+0.6% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

7.3%

Census unoccupied dwellings

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Safety

94th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

54th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

3/10

national SEIFA decile

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Housing

Flats / units (January to March 2026)
$380
Houses (January to March 2026)
$490
All types (January to March 2026)
$480
Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
112
Median house price (October to December 2025)
$550,000
Median price change
-8.3%

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

159(June 2025)

+0.6% annual · +2.6% over 5 years · 54th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+0.6%
5-year growth
+2.6%
Change in 1 year
+1
Change in 5 years
+4
Growth rank in NSW
54th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~150), extrapolated at +0.3% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
169
Median age
43
Median household income / week
$1,781
Dwelling vacancy
7.3%
Unoccupied private dwellings
4 of 55
Median monthly mortgage
$1,647
Employment rate
59.4%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
46 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
26
Against the person
7
Against property
10
Rate per 1,000 residents
163.5
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 24 residents
State safety percentile
94.2th (lower crime is better)
Increase (daily rate)
+4.3%

Most common offence types

  • Breach Apprehended Violence Order264
  • Breach Bail Conditions556
  • Domestic Violence Related Assault317
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment411
  • Malicious Damage To Property362

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Public transport

5 public transport stops in this suburb

  • Turners Flat Rd At Maineys Rd
  • Turners Flat Rd At Maineys Rd
  • Willi Willi Rd At Turners Flat Rd
  • Willi Willi Rd At Turners Flat Rd
  • Willi Willi Rd Opp Turners Flat Rd

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

No OpenStreetMap amenities mapped for this suburb yet.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Health access

Nearest hospital
Kempsey District Hospital (14.2 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
6
Participants per 1,000 residents
37.7

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
27° / 19°
Rainfall
439 mm · ~55 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
24° / 16°
Rainfall
494 mm · ~62 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
19° / 10°
Rainfall
252 mm · ~32 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
23° / 14°
Rainfall
279 mm · ~35 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal (lodged 2020–2026).

4 planning-related records

2024· 2 proposals
  • November 2024

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation
    142 MAINEYS ROAD TURNERS FLAT 2440Determined
  • June 2024

  • Subdivision; Agriculture
    12 WHEELDONS ACCESS TURNERS FLAT 2440Determined
2021· 2 proposals
  • September 2021

  • Change of use
    116 MAINEYS ROAD TURNERS FLAT 2440Determined
  • Dwelling
    345 TURNERS FLAT ROAD TURNERS FLAT 2440Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
Overlay applies

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Cowper
Member of Parliament
Pat CONAGHAN (The Nationals)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
131,639
Turnout (2025)
90.8%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+0.5 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 59.1%Labor 40.9%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 25.3 km away).

Coalition 66.2%Labor 33.8%

7.1 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: -3.0 pp toward Coalition

Nearest polling places

  • AldavillaLabor 32.0% · Coalition 68.0% TPP (2025)11.7 km away
  • WillawarrinLabor 25.4% · Coalition 74.6% TPP (2025)13.1 km away
  • Kempsey HeightsLabor 37.1% · Coalition 62.9% TPP (2025)15.6 km away
  • Kempsey SouthLabor 40.4% · Coalition 59.6% TPP (2025)16.7 km away
  • KempseyLabor 41.6% · Coalition 58.4% TPP (2025)17.3 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
3/10
IRSD decile (2021)
4/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Kempsey Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.