VIC · Casey Council

Junction Village, 3977

Est. population · Jun 2025

994

Growth (1 yr)

+11.6%

Growth (5 yr)

+77.8%

Median age

54

Median income

$1,080/wk

Employment rate

40.6%

University qualified

7.4%

Work from home

11%

Median house price · 4th Quarter 2025

$662,500

Languages at home

8.3%non-English

Most common: German, Arabic, Greek

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

33.3/100
Below average

1207th in VIC

Verified 98% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Outer suburban
What Junction Village is known for: Outer suburban

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Junction Village, VIC suburb snapshot — Suburb Guide

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Suburb Guide, “Junction Village, VIC Suburb Guide”, updated 1 October 2026, https://suburb.guide/vic/junction-village

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Suburb profile

Junction Village is an outer metropolitan suburb of Melbourne, in Casey Council. It is mainly residential, with little in the way of a distinct commercial centre or landmark identity.

Open-space access is better than in most comparable places, with park access 105% above the peer median. Housing is relatively affordable, with median house prices 18% below the peer median. Population growth is an exceptional strength, placing it among the highest-ranked outer metropolitan suburbs, and recorded road-crash rates are lower than in comparable places, with recorded road crashes 44% below the peer median. Space is a strength, but car dependence is high. Socio-economic advantage is well below comparable places.

Junction Village's appeal is better explained by housing, access and location than by a strong standalone precinct or destination.

Generated from the official metrics on this page. It can omit nuance or contain errors — check the tables and source notes before relying on it.

Strengths and weaknesses

Outer metropolitan suburb · compared with outer metropolitan suburbs in Victoria (148)

Strengths

  • Population growth is a relative strength
  • Housing is relatively affordable
  • Open-space access is better than in most comparable places
  • Recorded road-crash rates are lower than in comparable places

Weaknesses

  • Socio-economic advantage is well below comparable places

What stands out

  • Space is a strength, but car dependence is high

Who it suits

  • Families
  • Professionals
  • Retirees
  • Students
  • Budget buyers

Housing, growth and risk

How Junction Village compares

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$663k

+1.5% change

Median rent

$560/wk

Population (ERP)

994

+12% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

7.1%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#45

among Metro Melbourne · Mature

Crime rate

71st

percentile in state (higher = more crime)

Pop. growth

99th

percentile in VIC

Rented dwellings

16%

2021 Census tenure

Advantage (IRSAD)

1/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

59th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
33.3/100 — Below average
National rank
5926th in Australia
State rank
1207th in VIC
Peer rank
#45 among Metro Melbourne · Mature suburbs
Cohort rank
#380 among Metro Melbourne suburbs
Data confidence
98%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Housing

All types (Sep 2025 (council median))
$560
Median house price (4th Quarter 2025)
$662,500
Median price change
+1.5%

Median weekly rent from Victorian government rent reports. Council median fallback may apply where suburb rent is unavailable.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (10%) · Future Growth (6%)

Household crowding and healthy vacancy — not cheapness Modest price change as a healthy-growth band

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

994(June 2025)

+11.6% annual · +77.8% over 5 years · 99th percentile in VIC

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+11.6%
5-year growth
+77.8%
Change in 1 year
+103
Change in 5 years
+435
Growth rank in VIC
99th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~1,650), extrapolated at +10.4% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
1,051
Median age
54
Median household income / week
$1,080
Dwelling vacancy
7.1%
Unoccupied private dwellings
32 of 448
Median monthly mortgage
$1,733
Median weekly rent (2021 Census)
$326
Tenure (owned / mortgaged / rented)
44.6% / 39.3% / 16.1%
Employment rate
40.6%
Travel to work (WFH / public transport / car)
11% / 1.9% / 71.8%
Walked or cycled to work
1.1%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
267 / 138 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%) · Accessibility (12%) · Future Growth (6%)

Employment, household income and owned-outright tenure (2021 Census) Work-from-home and public-transport commute shares (2021 Census) Five-year population change as a healthy-growth band, not a boom bonus

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Qualifications

7.4% of adults have a university degree, compared with 29.2% across Victoria. 22.1% have a trade or vocational qualification.

  • University qualified7.4% · 29.2% VIC
  • Diploma qualified7.5% · 9.8% VIC
  • Trade / vocational22.1% · 14.2% VIC
  • Year 12 or below63% · 46.8% VIC

Highest qualification field

Main field of the highest non-school qualification (2021 Census).

  • Engineering and related technologies25%
  • Society and culture19.9%
  • Management and commerce13.1%
  • Health11.6%
  • Architecture and building10.8%
  • Education8.2%
How these groups are defined
MeasureDefinition
University qualifiedBachelor degree or higher
Diploma qualifiedAdvanced Diploma / Diploma
Trade / vocationalCertificate III + IV
Year 12Year 12 as highest attainment
Below Year 12Year 11 / 10 / 9 or below

People aged 15 years and over, 2021 Census. University, diploma and trade shares match ABS highest educational attainment (HEAP). Year 12 and below Year 12 are combined in the chart because the General Community Profile reports school-only attainment as a residual.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%)

University qualifications from the 2021 Census

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Tax & income

Median taxable income (2023–24)
$57,157

64th percentile in VIC · -3% vs Australia

Median salary / wages (2023–24)
$63,439

67th percentile in VIC · -2% vs Australia

Residents with rental investments
11.0%

36th percentile in VIC · -20% vs Australia

Median super balance (2023–24)
$46,249

12th percentile in VIC · -27% vs Australia

Residents with business income
13.0%

70th percentile in VIC · +25% vs Australia

Australian Taxation Office Taxation Statistics 2023–24, individuals Table 25. Figures describe taxpayers who live in postcode 3977 — not a suburb-level official statistic. Rental investment is the share of local taxpayers reporting rental income or loss, not the share of local properties owned by investors.

Counts, net rent & state comparison
Taxpayers in this postcode
74,221
Taxpayers reporting net rent
8,373
Median net rent
-$6,193
Taxpayers reporting business income
9,771
Taxable income vs state median
+7%
Salary / wages vs state median
+9%
Rental investment vs state median
-15%
Super vs state median
-42%
Business income vs state median
+18%

Percentiles rank this postcode among unique postcodes in VIC, so suburbs that share a postcode are not counted twice. Dollar figures are compared with Australia-wide ATO medians from the same release. Median net rent is among taxpayers who reported the rent label and can be negative.

Data sources & freshness

  • Taxation Statistics 2023–24 — individuals by postcode (Table 25) — Australian Taxation Office · Updated · Annual release; taxpayer residential postcode, not suburb boundary

Community & culture

8.3% speak a language other than English at home; 20% born overseas

Language at home
919 English only · 83 other
Non-English at home
8.3%
Born overseas
204 (20%)
Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander
10 (1%)
Australian citizens
953
Languages spoken at home (other than English)
6

Top languages other than English

Share of residents who speak a language other than English at home (2021 Census).

  • German8 · 32%
  • Arabic4 · 16%
  • Greek4 · 16%
  • Khmer3 · 12%
  • Mandarin3 · 12%
  • Sinhalese3 · 12%

Religion

46%Most common religion · Christianity

Christianity is the most common response at 46%, while 43.7% reported no religion.

MeasureSuburbState
No religion43.7%38.8%
Christianity46%40.9%
Other / not stated10.4%20.3%
Christian denominations
DenominationSuburbState
Catholic17.4%20.5%
Anglican14.9%6.5%
Uniting Church3.7%2.4%
Christian (not further defined)2.5%2.5%
Presbyterian and Reformed2.1%1.4%

2021 Census — languages spoken at home, birthplace, Indigenous status, and religious affiliation (usual residence). Religion is optional on the Census form.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (2026)
85
Against the person
26
Against property
31
Rate per 1,000 residents
85.5
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 40 residents
State crime-rate percentile
70.5th (higher = more crime)
Decrease (daily rate)
-3.4%
Recorded road crashes (in suburb)
12
Crash rate per 1,000 residents (state rank)
12.07

Most common offence types

  • A231 Fv Common Assault4
  • A232 Non-Fv Common Assault4
  • B42 Steal From A Motor Vehicle13
  • Other Crimes Against The Person10
  • E21 Breach Family Violence Order22

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (22%)

Crime rate, offences against the person, year-on-year trend and recorded road crash rates

Data sources & freshness

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
3
Median school ICSEA (3 schools)
1,027
Median ICSEA percentile
59th
Primary catchments overlapping suburb
2
Secondary catchments overlapping suburb
1
School list
  • Lighthouse Christian College CranbourneCombined · Independent · ICSEA 1093 · 82th percentile · LBOTE 94% · 1,034 students · Top SEA quarter 36% · 1.6 km awayView on My School →
  • Botanic Ridge Primary SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1027 · 59th percentile · LBOTE 20% · 445 students · Top SEA quarter 12% · 1.7 km awayView on My School →
  • Casey Fields Primary SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1027 · 59th percentile · LBOTE 71% · 1,043 students · Top SEA quarter 16% · 1.8 km awayView on My School →
School catchments
  • Botanic Ridge Primary SchoolGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundaryprimary_catchment
  • Casey Fields Primary SchoolGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundaryprimary_catchment
  • Cranbourne Secondary CollegeGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundarysecondary_catchment

Government school intake zones that overlap this suburb boundary. Living in a catchment does not guarantee enrolment; check the education authority.

Contributes to desirability score · Education (14%)

Median school ICSEA first, then school and catchment counts

Data sources & freshness

Childcare

1 childcare service from OpenStreetMap

  • Eden Academychildcare

Contributes to desirability score · Education (14%)

Childcare centres per 1,000 residents

Data sources & freshness

  • Childcare services — OpenStreetMap · current · Updated

Public transport

6 public transport stops in this suburb

  • Botanic Gardens Ret Village/Craig Rd
  • Craig Rd/South Gippsland Hwy
  • Jennifer St/Craig Rd
  • Jennifer St/South Gippsland Hwy
  • The Arcade/Craig Rd

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (12%)

Public transport stops per 1,000 residents and walkability

Data sources & freshness

Amenities

15 mapped amenities

3 playgrounds

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
  • Great for outdoor family life — 5 parks mapped in suburb, 3 playgrounds nearby
Walkability proxy
9/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
4.76
Community(1)
  • Eden AcademyChildcare
Sport & outdoors(9)
  • Bandicoot ParkPark
  • Houlder Avenue ReservePark
  • Junction Village Recreation ReservePark
  • Spring Road ParkPark
  • The Arcade ReservePark
  • Playground (3)
  • Sports field
Transport(2)

2 bus stops

Other(3)
  • Regis Junction VillageNursing Home

    18 Sherwood Road, Junction Village

  • Shelter
  • Aveo Botanic GardensSocial Facility

    41 Craig Road, Junction Village

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually. Campgrounds, beaches, wineries and local trails are included when they sit inside the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (12%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport per 1,000 residents (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

5 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Bandicoot ParkPark
  • Houlder Avenue ReservePark
  • Junction Village Recreation ReservePark
  • Spring Road ParkPark
  • The Arcade ReservePark

Data sources & freshness

Green cover

Green cover of suburb area
5.4%
Woodland / forest cover
0%
Parks & woodland features (OSM)
5
Parks (OSM)
5
Typical summer maximum
24°C

Green cover is the share of this suburb's boundary overlapping OpenStreetMap parks, woodland and forest polygons — not a satellite tree-canopy product. Summer maximum is the WorldClim / Open-Meteo seasonal normal already collected for Weather.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (12%)

Tree canopy first, then green-cover area and parks per 1,000

Data sources & freshness

  • OpenStreetMap green cover and tree canopy — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated · Park/woodland polygons intersected with suburb boundaries

Health access

Nearest hospital
Cranbourne Integrated Care Centre (2.6 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department
GP clinics in suburb
0
Aged-care services
1
Residential aged-care places
149

GP clinic counts from OpenStreetMap. Bulk-billing figures only include clinics tagged in OSM (sparse and unofficial — not a Medicare list).

Aged-care services
  • Regis CranbourneJUNCTION VILLAGEResidential

Australian Government–subsidised services from the AIHW GEN list (30 June 2025), assigned to this suburb by location.

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (12%)

Hospitals, GPs and aged care

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
31
Participants per 1,000 residents
31.2

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
24° / 13°
Rainfall
155 mm · ~19 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
20° / 11°
Rainfall
186 mm · ~23 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
14° / 6°
Rainfall
203 mm · ~25 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
18° / 9°
Rainfall
207 mm · ~26 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (12%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).

9 planning-related records

2021· 5 proposals
  • September 2021

  • Development of a dwelling in the Bushfire Management Overlay
    23 LARGO CIRCUIT JUNCTION VILLAGE 3977Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • August 2021

  • Use and Development of a Child Care Centre and associated Advertising Signage
    1650 SOUTH GIPPSLAND HIGHWAY JUNCTION VILLAGE 3977Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Use and Development of a Child Care Centre
    45S CRAIG ROAD JUNCTION VILLAGE 3977Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • July 2021

  • Staged Residential Subdivision, Removal and Creation of Easements and Restrictions, and Variation to Residential Design Controls
    45 CRAIG ROAD JUNCTION VILLAGE 3977Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • February 2021

  • Development of a second dwelling and alterations and addition to the existing dwelling
    24 Spring RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
2020· 4 proposals
  • August 2020

  • Use and Development of a Child Care Centre and associated Advertising Signage
    1650 South Gippsland HighwayNOD issued by a delegate
  • July 2020

  • Staged Residential Subdivision, Removal and Creation of Easements and Restrictions, and Variation to Residential Design Controls
    45 Craig RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • February 2020

  • Staged Residential Subdivision, Removal and Creation of Easements and Restrictions, and Variation to Residential Design Controls
    45 Craig RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • January 2020

  • Staged Residential Subdivision, Removal and Creation of Easements and Restrictions, and Variation to Residential Design Controls
    45 Craig RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid
Flood / inundation overlay
56% of suburb boundary

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping. Flood cover uses inundation overlay polygons against the suburb boundary where published.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (22%)

Bushfire and flood hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Bushfire and flood planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Holt
Member of Parliament
Cassandra FERNANDO (Australian Labor Party)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
112,953
Turnout (2025)
91.3%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+6.9 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 36.0%Labor 64.0%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 4.0 km away).

Coalition 35.5%Labor 64.5%

0.5 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +10.0 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • Casey FieldsLabor 71.7% · Coalition 28.3% TPP (2025)1.7 km away
  • Botanic RidgeLabor 56.5% · Coalition 43.5% TPP (2025)1.8 km away
  • CranbourneLabor 69.8% · Coalition 30.2% TPP (2025)3.2 km away
  • Devon MeadowsLabor 44.7% · Coalition 55.3% TPP (2025)3.2 km away
  • Cranbourne EastLabor 69.7% · Coalition 30.3% TPP (2025)3.5 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
1/10
IRSD decile (2021)
2/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD and IRSD deciles)

Data sources & freshness

More in Casey Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.