VIC · Casey Council

Junction Village, 3977

Est. population · Jun 2025

994

Growth (1 yr)

+11.6%

Growth (5 yr)

+77.8%

Median age

54

Median income

$1,080/wk

Employment rate

40.6%

Median house price · 4th Quarter 2025

$662,500

Languages at home

8.3%non-English

Most common: German, Arabic, Greek

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

38.3/100
Below average

804th in VIC

Verified 96% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Excellent transport
  • Education hub
  • High desirability
What Junction Village is known for: Excellent transport, Education hub, High desirability

Suburb profile

Junction Village is a practical smaller community in Casey Council, with a familiar suburban feel rather than a self-contained town centre. A mature community gives the area a calm, settled social fabric. Dining is thinner on the ground than in busier metro pockets, so many residents head to neighbouring suburbs for a night out.

Green space punches above what many metro suburbs offer, with parks and playgrounds woven through the suburb. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here, with buses covering longer trips across the wider area. Property sits in a premium price band and is harder to enter for many buyers.

Crime trends have improved of late compared with the previous period. Tree-lined streets and established homes set the tone, with little pressure to reinvent the neighbourhood.

Versus similar metro suburbs, the suburb reads below average on desirability, chiefly because community and employment trail behind. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Junction Village snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$663k

+1.5% change

Median rent

$560/wk

Population (ERP)

994

+12% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

7.1%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#36

among Metro Melbourne · Mature

Safety

69th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

99th

percentile in VIC

Advantage (IRSAD)

1/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

59th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
38.3/100 — Below average
National rank
4073rd in Australia
State rank
804th in VIC
Peer rank
#36 among Metro Melbourne · Mature suburbs
Cohort rank
#375 among Metro Melbourne suburbs
Data confidence
96%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Housing

All types (Sep 2025 (council median))
$560
Median house price (4th Quarter 2025)
$662,500
Median price change
+1.5%

Median weekly rent from Victorian government rent reports. Council median fallback may apply where suburb rent is unavailable.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

994(June 2025)

+11.6% annual · +77.8% over 5 years · 99th percentile in VIC

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+11.6%
5-year growth
+77.8%
Change in 1 year
+103
Change in 5 years
+435
Growth rank in VIC
99th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~1,650), extrapolated at +10.4% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
1,051
Median age
54
Median household income / week
$1,080
Dwelling vacancy
7.1%
Unoccupied private dwellings
32 of 448
Median monthly mortgage
$1,733
Employment rate
40.6%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
267 / 138 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (2026)
82
Against the person
22
Against property
30
Rate per 1,000 residents
82.5
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 48 residents
State safety percentile
68.9th (lower crime is better)
Decrease (daily rate)
-22.6%

Most common offence types

  • A231 Fv Common Assault5
  • B41 Motor Vehicle Theft5
  • B42 Steal From A Motor Vehicle12
  • E21 Breach Family Violence Order22
  • Other Crimes Against The Person9

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
3
Median school ICSEA (3 schools)
1,027
Median ICSEA percentile
59th
School list
  • Lighthouse Christian College CranbourneCombined · Independent · ICSEA 1093 · 82th percentile · LBOTE 94% · 1,034 students · Top SEA quarter 36% · 1.6 km awayView on My School →
  • Botanic Ridge Primary SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1027 · 59th percentile · LBOTE 20% · 445 students · Top SEA quarter 12% · 1.7 km awayView on My School →
  • Casey Fields Primary SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1027 · 59th percentile · LBOTE 71% · 1,043 students · Top SEA quarter 16% · 1.8 km awayView on My School →

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA

Data sources & freshness

Childcare

1 childcare service from OpenStreetMap

  • Eden Academychildcare

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

Childcare centre count

Data sources & freshness

  • Childcare servicesOpenStreetMap · current · Updated

Public transport

6 public transport stops in this suburb

  • Botanic Gardens Ret Village/Craig Rd
  • Craig Rd/South Gippsland Hwy
  • Jennifer St/Craig Rd
  • Jennifer St/South Gippsland Hwy
  • The Arcade/Craig Rd

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

Amenities

15 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

3 playgrounds

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
  • Great for outdoor family life5 parks mapped in suburb, 3 playgrounds nearby
Walkability proxy
9/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
4.76
Community(1)
  • Eden AcademyChildcare
Sport & outdoors(9)
  • Bandicoot ParkPark
  • Houlder Avenue ReservePark
  • Junction Village Recreation ReservePark
  • Spring Road ParkPark
  • The Arcade ReservePark
  • Playground (3)
  • Sports field
Transport(2)

2 bus stops

Other(3)
  • Regis Junction VillageNursing Home

    18 Sherwood Road, Junction Village

  • Shelter
  • Aveo Botanic GardensSocial Facility

    41 Craig Road, Junction Village

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

5 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Bandicoot ParkPark
  • Houlder Avenue ReservePark
  • Junction Village Recreation ReservePark
  • Spring Road ParkPark
  • The Arcade ReservePark

Data sources & freshness

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
5
Parks (OSM)
5

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Cranbourne Integrated Care Centre (2.6 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
31
Participants per 1,000 residents
31.2

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
24° / 13°
Rainfall
155 mm · ~19 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
20° / 11°
Rainfall
186 mm · ~23 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
14° / 6°
Rainfall
203 mm · ~25 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
18° / 9°
Rainfall
207 mm · ~26 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).

9 planning-related records

2021· 5 proposals
  • September 2021

  • Development of a dwelling in the Bushfire Management Overlay
    23 LARGO CIRCUIT JUNCTION VILLAGE 3977Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • August 2021

  • Use and Development of a Child Care Centre and associated Advertising Signage
    1650 SOUTH GIPPSLAND HIGHWAY JUNCTION VILLAGE 3977Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Use and Development of a Child Care Centre
    45S CRAIG ROAD JUNCTION VILLAGE 3977Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • July 2021

  • Staged Residential Subdivision, Removal and Creation of Easements and Restrictions, and Variation to Residential Design Controls
    45 CRAIG ROAD JUNCTION VILLAGE 3977Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • February 2021

  • Development of a second dwelling and alterations and addition to the existing dwelling
    24 Spring RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
2020· 4 proposals
  • August 2020

  • Use and Development of a Child Care Centre and associated Advertising Signage
    1650 South Gippsland HighwayNOD issued by a delegate
  • July 2020

  • Staged Residential Subdivision, Removal and Creation of Easements and Restrictions, and Variation to Residential Design Controls
    45 Craig RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • February 2020

  • Staged Residential Subdivision, Removal and Creation of Easements and Restrictions, and Variation to Residential Design Controls
    45 Craig RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • January 2020

  • Staged Residential Subdivision, Removal and Creation of Easements and Restrictions, and Variation to Residential Design Controls
    45 Craig RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Holt
Member of Parliament
Cassandra FERNANDO (Australian Labor Party)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
112,953
Turnout (2025)
91.3%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+6.9 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 36.0%Labor 64.0%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 4.0 km away).

Coalition 35.5%Labor 64.5%

0.5 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +10.0 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • Casey FieldsLabor 71.7% · Coalition 28.3% TPP (2025)1.7 km away
  • Botanic RidgeLabor 56.5% · Coalition 43.5% TPP (2025)1.8 km away
  • CranbourneLabor 69.8% · Coalition 30.2% TPP (2025)3.2 km away
  • Devon MeadowsLabor 44.7% · Coalition 55.3% TPP (2025)3.2 km away
  • Cranbourne EastLabor 69.7% · Coalition 30.3% TPP (2025)3.5 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
1/10
IRSD decile (2021)
2/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Casey Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.