VIC · Surf Coast Council

Modewarre, 3240

Est. population · Jun 2025

265

Growth (1 yr)

+1.9%

Growth (5 yr)

+11.3%

Median age

44

Median income

$2,250/wk

Employment rate

64.6%

Languages at home

1.1%non-English

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

38.1/100
Below average

810th in VIC

Verified 62% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • National parks
  • High desirability
What Modewarre is known for: National parks, High desirability

Suburb profile

Modewarre offers a slower smaller community life in Surf Coast Council, with open surrounds and a close-knit community feel. Established families and long-term residents give the suburb a settled feel, with a strong presence of young families throughout. Life here is grounded in local routine rather than big-city choice.

With limited local amenities, residents regularly travel to a neighbouring town for shops, appointments and a wider choice. Outdoor life is easy here, with generous parks and room for kids, dogs and weekend strolls. A car helps for most daily errands, with fewer amenities clustered within an easy walk.

Homes cost more here than in most comparable suburbs. This is a mature, settled pocket where the existing streetscape still defines the local character.

Desirability lands below average here: softer local dining and lifestyle amenities, plus growth momentum weighing on the result versus similar regional towns, even with community and employment, plus safety holding up better. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Modewarre snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

No data available

Median rent

No data available

Population (ERP)

265

+1.9% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

10.3%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#83

among Country & regional · Emerging

Safety

3rd

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

86th

percentile in VIC

Advantage (IRSAD)

9/10

national SEIFA decile

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
38.1/100 — Below average
National rank
4110th in Australia
State rank
810th in VIC
Peer rank
#83 among Country & regional · Emerging suburbs
Cohort rank
#347 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
62%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Population

Estimated resident population

265(June 2025)

+1.9% annual · +11.3% over 5 years · 86th percentile in VIC

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+1.9%
5-year growth
+11.3%
Change in 1 year
+5
Change in 5 years
+27
Growth rank in VIC
86th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~300), extrapolated at +1.4% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
277
Median age
44
Median household income / week
$2,250
Dwelling vacancy
10.3%
Unoccupied private dwellings
10 of 97
Median monthly mortgage
$1,842
Employment rate
64.6%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
89 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences are unchanged compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (2026)
2
Against the person
0
Against property
2
Rate per 1,000 residents
7.5
State safety percentile
2.7th (lower crime is better)
No change (daily rate)
0%

Most common offence types

  • B322 Non-Residential Non-Aggravated Burglary1
  • B41 Motor Vehicle Theft1

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

Family & Lifestyle

Amenities

1 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
  • Great for outdoor family life1 parks mapped in suburb
Walkability proxy
0/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
3.61
Other(1)
  • Brown Swamp Wildlife Reserve (hunting)Nature Reserve

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

2 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Brown Swamp Wildlife Reserve (hunting)Nature reserve
  • Modewarre Recreation ReservePark

Data sources & freshness

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
2
Parks (OSM)
1

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Winchelsea Hospital (12.7 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
8
Participants per 1,000 residents
30.2

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
26° / 12°
Rainfall
128 mm · ~16 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
21° / 10°
Rainfall
124 mm · ~16 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
14° / 6°
Rainfall
149 mm · ~19 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
19° / 8°
Rainfall
182 mm · ~23 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).

7 planning-related records

2021· 3 proposals
  • August 2021

  • Construction of an outbuilding
    43 CONNIES LANE MODEWARRE 3240Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • May 2021

  • Use and Development of a dwelling, including the construction of a building within the Bushfire Management Overlay and within 100m of a waterway
    460 GHERANG ROAD MODEWARRE 3240Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • February 2021

  • Use and development of a dwelling and associated buildings and works and vegetation removal within a road reserve
    45-65 RAGLAN STREET MODEWARRE 3240Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
2020· 4 proposals
  • September 2020

  • The cabin we are wanting a permit for has previously been issued a planning permit in early 2020 for a B & B. This new application replaces that permit and we are now requesting it to be classified as an ancillary building to a dwelling (outbuilding) - Class 3 -This has all been discussed previously with Bill Cathcart. Based on his advice we are proceeding with this Class 3 application.
    25 RAGLAN STREETPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • August 2020

  • Construct building & works - extend existing dwelling within the Salinity Management Overlay
    10 NOBLES ROADPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Construction of a Farm Machinery Shed
    635 BUCKLEY ROAD SOUTHPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Use & Development for Dwelling in association with Animal Husbandry (horse keeping & riding)
    150 LARCOMBES ROADPermit issued by a delegate of the RA

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Wannon
Member of Parliament
Dan TEHAN (Liberal)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
121,788
Turnout (2025)
94.0%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
-2.3 pp toward Coalition

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 60.9%Labor 39.1%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 30.3 km away).

Coalition 49.0%Labor 51.0%

11.9 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +51.0 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • MoriacLabor 50.3% · Coalition 49.7% TPP (2025)5.5 km away
  • WinchelseaLabor 43.6% · Coalition 56.4% TPP (2025)11.7 km away
  • Winchelsea SouthLabor 45.3% · Coalition 54.7% TPP (2025)12.2 km away
  • AngleseaLabor 66.5% · Coalition 33.5% TPP (2025)15.5 km away
  • InverleighLabor 46.4% · Coalition 53.6% TPP (2025)19.5 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
9/10
IRSD decile (2021)
9/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

Compare with

Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.

More in Surf Coast Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.