suburb.guide

VIC · Baw Baw Council

Warragul South, 3821

Est. population · Jun 2025

309

Growth (1 yr)

+2.3%

Growth (5 yr)

+14.9%

Median age

42

Median income

$2,143/wk

Employment rate

64.8%

Languages at home

1.6%non-English

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

27.9/100
Below average

1121st in VIC

Verified 62% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • High desirability
What Warragul South is known for: High desirability

Suburb profile

In Baw Baw Council, Warragul South keeps a rural calm, a smaller community with room to breathe and a strong local rhythm. Established families and long-term residents give the suburb a settled feel, with plenty of young families in the mix. Life here is grounded in local routine rather than big-city choice.

Local green pockets are modest, with bigger outdoor outings usually found in neighbouring areas. A car helps for most daily errands, with fewer amenities clustered within an easy walk. Property sits in a premium price band and is harder to enter for many buyers.

Local crime has been trending higher of late. An emerging neighbourhood feel is building here, with new households gradually reshaping local life.

Against similar regional towns, the suburb sits below average overall, mainly because parks and green space, plus growth momentum lag behind, despite relative strength in community and employment. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Warragul South snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

—

No data available

Median rent

—

No data available

Population (ERP)

309

+2.3% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

13.3%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#120

among Country & regional · Emerging

Safety

43rd

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

90th

percentile in VIC

Advantage (IRSAD)

9/10

national SEIFA decile

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
27.9/100 — Below average
National rank
5895th in Australia
State rank
1121st in VIC
Peer rank
#120 among Country & regional · Emerging suburbs
Cohort rank
#612 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
62%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Population

Estimated resident population

309(June 2025)

+2.3% annual · +14.9% over 5 years · 90th percentile in VIC

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+2.3%
5-year growth
+14.9%
Change in 1 year
+7
Change in 5 years
+40
Growth rank in VIC
90th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~350), extrapolated at +2.9% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
280
Median age
42
Median household income / week
$2,143
Dwelling vacancy
13.3%
Unoccupied private dwellings
13 of 98
Median monthly mortgage
$2,284
Employment rate
64.8%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
86 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (2026)
14
Against the person
5
Against property
4
Rate per 1,000 residents
45.3
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 56 residents
State safety percentile
42.9th (lower crime is better)
Increase (daily rate)
+366.7%

Most common offence types

  • A211 Fv Serious Assault2
  • A231 Fv Common Assault2
  • C32 Drug Possession2
  • D11 Firearms Offences2
  • Other Crimes Against The Person1

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

Family & Lifestyle

Amenities

1 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
Walkability proxy
0/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
0
Sport & outdoors(1)
  • Sports field

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
1
Parks (OSM)
0

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
West Gippsland Hospital (4.8 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
12
Participants per 1,000 residents
38.8

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
25° / 12°
Rainfall
197 mm · ~25 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
20° / 9°
Rainfall
228 mm · ~28 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
13° / 5°
Rainfall
261 mm · ~33 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
18° / 7°
Rainfall
304 mm · ~38 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).

9 planning-related records

2021· 2 proposals

  • August 2021

  • Buildings and works to construct an agricultural building
    171 STOCKDALES ROAD WARRAGUL SOUTH 3821Permit issued by a delegate of the RA

  • July 2021

  • TWO LOT SUBDIVISION
    185 EAST WEST ROAD WARRAGUL SOUTH 3821Refusal issued by the Resp. Authority
2020· 7 proposals

  • September 2020

  • Buildings and works to construct an outbuilding
    57 Wrights RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA

  • August 2020

  • Amending the endorsed plans by redesign and re-siting of the dwelling and the addition of an associated outbuilding.
    Currie RoadNOD issued by a delegate

  • July 2020

  • Buildings and works to construct an outbuilding ancillary to an existing dwelling
    60 Wrights RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA

  • May 2020

  • Three Lot Subdivision
    119 BULL SWAMP ROAD WARRAGUL SOUTH 3821In progress

  • March 2020

  • Buildings and works to construct an agricultural building
    Stockdales RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA

  • February 2020

  • Buildings and works to construct a dwelling extension
    40 Wrights RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Use and development of a dwelling in association with the use of agriculture
    Stockdales RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Monash
Member of Parliament
Mary ALDRED (Liberal)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
116,463
Turnout (2025)
93.5%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
-1.2 pp toward Coalition

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 54.1%Labor 45.9%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 9.8 km away).

Coalition 59.1%Labor 40.9%

5.0 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: -0.9 pp toward Coalition

Nearest polling places

  • EllinbankLabor 39.6% · Coalition 60.4% TPP (2025)3.0 km away
  • Bona VistaLabor 39.4% · Coalition 60.6% TPP (2025)3.3 km away
  • WarragulLabor 51.0% · Coalition 49.0% TPP (2025)6.6 km away
  • Warragul EastLabor 50.2% · Coalition 49.8% TPP (2025)7.1 km away
  • NilmaLabor 39.5% · Coalition 60.5% TPP (2025)7.2 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
9/10
IRSD decile (2021)
10/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Baw Baw Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.