VIC · Cardinia Council

Tonimbuk, 3815

Est. population · Jun 2025

233

Growth (1 yr)

+1.3%

Growth (5 yr)

+6.9%

Median age

50

Median income

$2,024/wk

Employment rate

59.8%

Languages at home

1.4%non-English

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

29.6/100
Below average

1089th in VIC

Verified 52% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • National parks
  • High desirability
What Tonimbuk is known for: National parks, High desirability

Suburb profile

Tonimbuk is a quieter smaller community in Cardinia Council, where peace, space and a country-town pace still dominate. An older demographic makes it especially popular with retirees, with families and grandchildren still a visible part of community life. The pace is unhurried, with local businesses and community spots doing the heavy lifting.

Local green pockets are modest, with bigger outdoor outings usually found in neighbouring areas. A car helps for most daily errands, with fewer amenities clustered within an easy walk. Homes cost more here than in most comparable suburbs.

Crime reports are up on the previous period. Occasional new builds add variety while most of the suburb keeps its established look.

Desirability lands below average here: softer local dining and lifestyle amenities weighing on the result versus similar regional towns, even with community and employment holding up better. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Tonimbuk snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

No data available

Median rent

No data available

Population (ERP)

233

+1.3% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

15.8%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#299

among Country & regional · Mature

Safety

16th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

78th

percentile in VIC

Advantage (IRSAD)

9/10

national SEIFA decile

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
29.6/100 — Below average
National rank
5659th in Australia
State rank
1089th in VIC
Peer rank
#299 among Country & regional · Mature suburbs
Cohort rank
#585 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
52%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Population

Estimated resident population

233(June 2025)

+1.3% annual · +6.9% over 5 years · 78th percentile in VIC

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+1.3%
5-year growth
+6.9%
Change in 1 year
+3
Change in 5 years
+15
Growth rank in VIC
78th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~250), extrapolated at +1.7% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
229
Median age
50
Median household income / week
$2,024
Dwelling vacancy
15.8%
Unoccupied private dwellings
16 of 101
Median monthly mortgage
$2,111
Employment rate
59.8%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
82 / 0 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (2025)
5
Against the person
1
Against property
3
Rate per 1,000 residents
21.5
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 229 residents
State safety percentile
16.2th (lower crime is better)
Increase (daily rate)
+67.1%

Most common offence types

  • A232 Non-Fv Common Assault1
  • B321 Residential Non-Aggravated Burglary2
  • B53 Obtain Benefit By Deception1
  • D11 Firearms Offences1

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

Family & Lifestyle

Amenities

1 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
Walkability proxy
0/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
0
Community(1)
  • Tonimbuk Public HallCommunity centre

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

1 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Diamond Creek Reference AreaNature reserve

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Neerim District Soldiers Memorial Hospital (21.1 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
6
Participants per 1,000 residents
25.8

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
25° / 12°
Rainfall
197 mm · ~25 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
20° / 9°
Rainfall
228 mm · ~28 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
13° / 5°
Rainfall
261 mm · ~33 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
18° / 7°
Rainfall
304 mm · ~38 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).

19 planning-related records

2021· 6 proposals
  • August 2021

  • Development of the land for two (2) non-habitable outbuildings and associated works
    1840 GEMBROOK-TONIMBUK ROAD TONIMBUK 3815NOD issued by a delegate
  • May 2021

  • Development of the land for a carport
    566 Ellis RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Native Vegetation Removal
    40 Ernie Nash LaneWithdrawn
  • Tree removal
    40 Ernie Nash LaneWithdrawn
  • March 2021

  • Development of the land for a dwelling (replacement)
    1720 GEMBROOK-TONIMBUK ROAD TONIMBUK 3815Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • February 2021

  • Development of the land for a shed associated with Agriculture
    1735 Gembrook-Tonimbuk RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
2020· 13 proposals
  • December 2020

  • Development of the land for an agricultural shed
    45 Izzard LanePermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Development of the land for an outbuilding associated with a dwelling
    10 TINKHAM ROAD TONIMBUK 3815Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • November 2020

  • Re-subdivision of two (2) existing lots (boundary re-alignment)
    1735 Gembrook-Tonimbuk RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • October 2020

  • There is an existing dwelling on CA7, and we are now not creating a new building envelope. Removal of conditions 1A & 1B We are also of the understanding that the plan amendment may alter / remove some of the service authority requirements.
    1735 Gembrook-Tonimbuk RoadWithdrawn
  • July 2020

  • Development of the land for a Winery and associated vegetation removal
    1720 Gembrook-Tonimbuk roadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • May 2020

  • Continuation of the use of the land for Accommodation (self-contained bed and breakfast accommodation), the reconstruction of the associated building and vegetation removal
    1720 Gembrook-Tonimbuk RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • April 2020

  • Construction of one (1) building (barn/horse stables)
    1720 Gembrook-Tonimbuk RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • March 2020

  • Replacement of damaged Hay Shed
    390 Ellis RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Development of the land for a shed associated with agrictulture
    510 Ellis RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • February 2020

  • Development of the land for two (2) sheds
    76 Bridal RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Development of the land for an outbuilding (shed)
    1845 Gembrook-Tonimbuk RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • January 2020

  • Additions to the dwelling, development of the land for an outbuilding associated with agriculture and associated earthworks.
    210 ELLIS ROAD TONIMBUK 3815Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Development of the land for an outbuilding and associated earthworks
    145 Bridal RoadNOD issued by a delegate

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
Overlay applies

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
La Trobe
Member of Parliament
Jason WOOD (Liberal)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
115,425
Turnout (2025)
93.0%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+6.4 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 52.1%Labor 47.9%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 18.6 km away).

Coalition 62.5%Labor 37.5%

10.4 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +3.2 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • BunyipLabor 40.7% · Coalition 59.3% TPP (2025)9.1 km away
  • GarfieldLabor 40.0% · Coalition 60.0% TPP (2025)9.2 km away
  • MaryknollLabor 38.4% · Coalition 61.6% TPP (2025)10.7 km away
  • TynongLabor 33.0% · Coalition 67.0% TPP (2025)11.4 km away
  • Nar Nar Goon NorthLabor 29.6% · Coalition 70.4% TPP (2025)14.6 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
9/10
IRSD decile (2021)
9/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

More in Cardinia Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.