VIC · Cardinia Council

Bayles, 3981

Est. population · Jun 2025

434

Growth (1 yr)

+5.3%

Growth (5 yr)

+34.4%

Median age

42

Median income

$1,897/wk

Employment rate

66.1%

Languages at home

3.3%non-English

Mostly English at home

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

33.6/100
Below average

954th in VIC

Verified 77% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Green suburb
  • Education hub
  • Heritage area
  • High desirability
What Bayles is known for: Green suburb, Education hub, Heritage area, High desirability

Suburb profile

Bayles offers a slower smaller community life in Cardinia Council, with open surrounds and a close-knit community feel. Long-term locals and family households define much of the community, with a strong presence of young families throughout. Life here is grounded in local routine rather than big-city choice.

Open space is thinner than in many regional towns, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here than in denser, more walkable pockets. Homes are neither a bargain nor a premium buy against the wider market.

Crime reports are up on the previous period. Light infill development is updating a few streets while the wider area stays largely unchanged.

Against similar regional towns, the suburb sits below average overall, mainly because local dining and lifestyle amenities, plus growth momentum lag behind, despite relative strength in community and employment. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Bayles snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

No data available

Median rent

No data available

Population (ERP)

434

+5.3% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

10.9%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#104

among Country & regional · Emerging

Safety

59th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

97th

percentile in VIC

Advantage (IRSAD)

6/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

46th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
33.6/100 — Below average
National rank
4938th in Australia
State rank
954th in VIC
Peer rank
#104 among Country & regional · Emerging suburbs
Cohort rank
#469 among Country & regional suburbs
Data confidence
77%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Population

Estimated resident population

434(June 2025)

+5.3% annual · +34.4% over 5 years · 97th percentile in VIC

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+5.3%
5-year growth
+34.4%
Change in 1 year
+22
Change in 5 years
+111
Growth rank in VIC
97th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~550), extrapolated at +4.6% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
445
Median age
42
Median household income / week
$1,897
Dwelling vacancy
10.9%
Unoccupied private dwellings
18 of 165
Median monthly mortgage
$2,167
Employment rate
66.1%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
144 / 3 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (2026)
28
Against the person
5
Against property
18
Rate per 1,000 residents
64.5
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 89 residents
State safety percentile
59th (lower crime is better)
Increase (daily rate)
+47.4%

Most common offence types

  • A89 Other Dangerous Or Negligent Acts Endangering People2
  • B322 Non-Residential Non-Aggravated Burglary6
  • B41 Motor Vehicle Theft3
  • B42 Steal From A Motor Vehicle5
  • E21 Breach Family Violence Order3

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
1
Median school ICSEA
998
Median ICSEA percentile
46th
School list
  • Bayles Regional Primary SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 998 · 46th percentile · LBOTE 6% · 161 students · Top SEA quarter 6% · 1.3 km awayView on My School →

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA

Data sources & freshness

Childcare

2 childcare services from OpenStreetMap

  • Bayles PreschoolKoo Wee Rup-Longwarry Roadkindergarten
  • Bayles Preschoolkindergarten

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

Childcare centre count

Data sources & freshness

  • Childcare servicesOpenStreetMap · current · Updated

Amenities

6 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

1 playgrounds

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
  • Decent local green space0 parks in suburb, 1 playgrounds nearby
Walkability proxy
0/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0
Parks per 1,000 residents
0
Community(3)
  • Bayles PreschoolKindergarten
  • Bayles PreschoolKindergarten

    660 Koo Wee Rup-Longwarry Road, Bayles

  • Bayles Regional Primary SchoolSchool

    3730 Ballarto Road

Sport & outdoors(1)
  • Playground
Other(2)
  • Bayles CFAFire station
  • Parking

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
4
Parks (OSM)
0

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Koo Wee Rup Hospital (8.8 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
17
Participants per 1,000 residents
39.2

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
25° / 12°
Rainfall
197 mm · ~25 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
20° / 9°
Rainfall
228 mm · ~28 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
13° / 5°
Rainfall
261 mm · ~33 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
18° / 7°
Rainfall
304 mm · ~38 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from PPARS statewide register (lodged 2020–2022). Free public PPARS MapServer — applications through ~2022 (service last updated Feb 2024).

12 planning-related records

2021· 6 proposals
  • August 2021

  • Development of the land for a building associated with Agriculture
    50 BACKHOUSES ROAD BAYLES 3981Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • Development of the land for an outbuilding (shed)
    60 FINCKS ROAD BAYLES 3981Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • May 2021

  • Remedial / Thai Massage
    665 Koo Wee Rup-Longwarry RoadWithdrawn
  • Use of the land for a veterinary clinic (equine) and to construct and display a business identification sign
    75 TYNONG-BAYLES ROAD BAYLES 3981Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • March 2021

  • Use and development of the land for a dwelling, outbuilding (garage), agricultural shed and associated works
    MAIN DRAIN ROAD BAYLES 3981Permit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • February 2021

  • Buildings and works associated with an outbuilding
    3761 Ballarto RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
2020· 6 proposals
  • November 2020

  • Development of the land for a building associated with agriculture
    110 Fincks RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • July 2020

  • Development of the land for a shed associated with the agricultural use of the land
    35 Hall RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • April 2020

  • Development of the land for an outbuilding (shed)
    3770 Ballarto RoadNOD issued by a delegate
  • Alterations and additions to an existing dwelling
    80 Fincks RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • March 2020

  • Buildings and works associated with agriculture
    105 O`Briens RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA
  • January 2020

  • Development of the land for one (1) dwelling and associated works
    665 Koo Wee Rup-Longwarry RoadPermit issued by a delegate of the RA

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Heritage

1 heritage place

  • BAYLES BRIDGE NO. 1&2NH1852

Data sources & freshness

  • State heritage registerState heritage authority · current · Updated

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via Victorian Bushfire Management Overlay mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
La Trobe
Member of Parliament
Jason WOOD (Liberal)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
115,425
Turnout (2025)
93.0%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+6.4 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 52.1%Labor 47.9%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 13.8 km away).

Coalition 67.5%Labor 32.5%

15.4 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +1.5 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • BaylesLabor 32.1% · Coalition 67.9% TPP (2025)0.9 km away
  • Koo Wee RupLabor 43.3% · Coalition 56.7% TPP (2025)8.1 km away
  • Lang LangLabor 44.9% · Coalition 55.1% TPP (2025)9.6 km away
  • Nar Nar GoonLabor 31.8% · Coalition 68.2% TPP (2025)10.5 km away
  • TynongLabor 33.0% · Coalition 67.0% TPP (2025)11.2 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
6/10
IRSD decile (2021)
7/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

Compare with

Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.

More in Cardinia Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of Victoria.