NSW · Shellharbour Council

Mount Warrigal, 2528

Est. population · Jun 2025

4,735

Growth (1 yr)

+0.5%

Growth (5 yr)

-0.1%

Median age

42

Median income

$1,365/wk

Employment rate

47.8%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$984,000

Languages at home

12.4%non-English

Most common: Macedonian, Turkish, Spanish

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

46.6/100
Average

Top 38% of New South Wales' suburbs

Verified 96% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Excellent transport
  • Education hub
  • High desirability
What Mount Warrigal is known for: Excellent transport, Education hub, High desirability

Suburb profile

Mount Warrigal is a hillside mid-sized suburb in Shellharbour Council, with elevated streets and a greener, quieter pace. Established families and long-term residents give the suburb a settled feel, with family life visible on every street. Families have many nearby school and early-learning options to choose from.

Outdoor life is easy here, with generous parks and room for kids, dogs and weekend strolls. Getting around is straightforward, with buses tying neighbouring communities together. Property sits in a premium price band and is harder to enter for many buyers.

Reported crime has been rising recently. Light infill development is updating a few streets while the wider area stays largely unchanged.

Against similar metro suburbs, the suburb sits around average overall, mainly because community and employment lag behind, despite relative strength in growth momentum.

At a glance

Mount Warrigal snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$984k

+8.1% change

Median rent

$665/wk

Houses $720 · Units $515

Population (ERP)

4,735

+0.5% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

4.0%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#121

among Metro Sydney · Emerging

Safety

59th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

49th

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

2/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

19th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
46.6/100 — Average
State standing
Top 38% of New South Wales' suburbs
National rank
2633rd in Australia
State rank
796th in NSW
Peer rank
#121 among Metro Sydney · Emerging suburbs
Cohort rank
#548 among Metro Sydney suburbs
Data confidence
96%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Housing

Flats / units (January to March 2026)
$515
Houses (January to March 2026)
$720
All types (January to March 2026)
$665
Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
138
Median house price (October to December 2025)
$984,000
Median price change
+8.1%

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

4,735(June 2025)

+0.5% annual · -0.1% over 5 years · 49th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+0.5%
5-year growth
-0.1%
Change in 1 year
+22
Change in 5 years
-5
Growth rank in NSW
49th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~4,700), extrapolated at -0.1% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
4,880
Median age
42
Median household income / week
$1,365
Dwelling vacancy
4%
Unoccupied private dwellings
75 of 1,857
Median monthly mortgage
$1,950
Employment rate
47.8%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
1,753 / 21 / 14

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
379
Against the person
107
Against property
148
Rate per 1,000 residents
80
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 46 residents
State safety percentile
58.8th (lower crime is better)
Increase (daily rate)
+15.2%

Most common offence types

  • Breach Apprehended Violence Order188
  • Domestic Violence Related Assault130
  • Fraud123
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment178
  • Malicious Damage To Property161

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
9
Median school ICSEA (9 schools)
932
Median ICSEA percentile
19th
School list
  • Mount Warrigal Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 885 · 8th percentile · LBOTE 9% · 185 students · Top SEA quarter 2% · 0.5 km awayView on My School →
  • Warilla North Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 872 · 7th percentile · LBOTE 7% · 167 students · Top SEA quarter 1% · 1.0 km awayView on My School →
  • Barrack Heights Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 873 · 7th percentile · LBOTE 9% · 192 students · Top SEA quarter 2% · 1.1 km awayView on My School →
  • Lake Illawarra High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 894 · 10th percentile · LBOTE 10% · 542 students · Top SEA quarter 2% · 1.1 km awayView on My School →
  • Peterborough SchoolSpecial · Government · ICSEA 938 · 21th percentile · LBOTE 15% · 115 students · Top SEA quarter 5% · 1.3 km awayView on My School →
  • Warilla Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 937 · 20th percentile · LBOTE 13% · 279 students · Top SEA quarter 5% · 1.3 km awayView on My School →
  • Oak Flats High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 932 · 19th percentile · LBOTE 9% · 648 students · Top SEA quarter 2% · 1.4 km awayView on My School →
  • Balarang Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 974 · 35th percentile · LBOTE 11% · 268 students · Top SEA quarter 9% · 1.5 km awayView on My School →
  • Lake Illawarra South Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 954 · 26th percentile · LBOTE 17% · 177 students · Top SEA quarter 7% · 1.9 km awayView on My School →

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA

Data sources & freshness

Childcare

1 childcare service from OpenStreetMap

  • Mount Warrigal Public School Preschoolkindergarten

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

Childcare centre count

Data sources & freshness

  • Childcare servicesOpenStreetMap · current · Updated

Public transport

76 public transport stops in this suburb

  • Henricks Pde Opp Wood Av
  • Landy Dr At Gathercole Av
  • Landy Dr At Lake Entrance Rd
  • Landy Dr Before Metcalf Pl
  • Landy Dr Opp Monckton Av

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

83 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

1 cafes · 1 pharmacies · 7 playgrounds · 1 dog parks · 12 swimming pools

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • A car helps for daily errands
  • Great for outdoor family life8 parks mapped in suburb, 7 playgrounds nearby
  • Well connected by public transport76 public transport stops
  • Strong local sport and recreation21 sport and outdoor facilities nearby
Walkability proxy
47/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0.2
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
0.2
Parks per 1,000 residents
1.64
Food & drink(1)
  • Amrak CafeCafe
Shopping(1)

No named venues listed.

Community(2)
  • Mount Warrigal Public School PreschoolKindergarten
  • Mount Warrigal Public SchoolSchool
Health & services(1)
  • chemistPharmacy
Sport & outdoors(29)
  • Alex Hoffman Park Off-leash zoneDog park

    Matthews Drive, Mount Warrigal

  • Andrew ParkPark
  • Avery ParkPark
  • Cox ParkPark
  • Garrad ReservePark
  • Hoffman ParkPark
  • Jones ParkPark
  • Mealing ParkPark
  • Miss Watkins ReservePark
  • Playground (7)
  • Sports field
  • Swimming pool (12)
Transport(29)

29 bus stops

Other(10)
  • Bench (9)
  • Bicycle Parking
  • Garden
  • Boonerah Point ReserveParking
  • Parking
  • Picnic Table (2)
  • Practice Pitch
  • Schoolyard
  • Shelter
  • Yes (3)

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Parks & reserves

8 parks and public open space in this suburb

  • Andrew ParkPark
  • Avery ParkPark
  • Cox ParkPark
  • Garrad ReservePark
  • Hoffman ParkPark
  • Jones ParkPark
  • Mealing ParkPark
  • Miss Watkins ReservePark

Data sources & freshness

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
10
Parks (OSM)
8

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

Health access

Nearest hospital
Shellharbour Hospital (1.1 km)
Nearest hospital type
Public hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
192
Participants per 1,000 residents
40.5

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
25° / 17°
Rainfall
321 mm · ~40 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
22° / 14°
Rainfall
359 mm · ~45 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
17° / 8°
Rainfall
263 mm · ~33 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
21° / 12°
Rainfall
242 mm · ~30 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.

2026· 11 proposals
  • August 2026

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    12 SHIPTON CRESCENT MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Under Assessment
  • June 2026

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    39 MATTHEWS DRIVE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • May 2026

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    124 CUTHBERT DRIVE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    5 BRUCE AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • April 2026

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    37 MATTHEWS DRIVE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Demolition
    46 MORGAN AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • March 2026

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    61 GOOLAGONG CIRCUIT MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Home business; Home occupation; Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia
    12 MACKENZIE AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • February 2026

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation
    11 SHIPTON CRESCENT MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    135 LANDY DRIVE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • January 2026

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    37 MATTHEWS DRIVE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
2025· 18 proposals
  • December 2025

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Garage, carport or carparking space
    2 GATHERCOLE AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Awnings, blinds and canopies
    177 LANDY DRIVE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • November 2025

  • Demolition; Erection of a new structure; Manufactured home; Non-standard Housing; Residential Accommodation
    20 ROYCROFT AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Secondary dwelling; Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    2 CHARLTON STREET MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • September 2025

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    59 CUTHBERT DRIVE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • August 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    28 SHIPTON CRESCENT MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Secondary dwelling; Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    2 CHARLTON STREET MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • July 2025

  • Subdivision
    4 GOOLAGONG CIRCUIT MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • June 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    31 CHARLTON STREET MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    25 COX PARADE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • May 2025

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    17 LAWRENCE AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • April 2025

  • Erection of a new structure; Landscaping structures
    173 LANDY DRIVE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    5 LYONS AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • March 2025

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    367 REDDALL PARADE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool
    46 HENRICKS PARADE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Erection of a new structure; School
    2-14 HOGARTH AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Dual occupancy; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Dual occupancy (detached)
    35 KONRADS ROAD MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Withdrawn
  • February 2025

  • Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation
    12 ROYCROFT AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
2024· 12 proposals
  • November 2024

  • Secondary dwelling; Erection of a new structure
    2 MATTHEWS DRIVE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • October 2024

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    46 HENRICKS PARADE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • September 2024

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Garage, carport or carparking space
    25 KONRADS ROAD MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    3 HEALY PLACE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    61 PORTER AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • August 2024

  • Shed; Erection of a new structure
    61 GOOLAGONG CIRCUIT MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • July 2024

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    367 REDDALL PARADE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    20 KONRADS ROAD MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    27 PORTER AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • June 2024

  • Erection of a new structure; Carport
    1 DEVITT AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • Subdivision
    50 MORGAN AVENUE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined
  • May 2024

  • Demolition; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached)
    247 REDDALL PARADE MOUNT WARRIGAL 2528Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Whitlam
Member of Parliament
Carol BERRY (Australian Labor Party)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
130,093
Turnout (2025)
93.2%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
-2.1 pp toward Coalition

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 43.8%Labor 56.3%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 2.4 km away).

Coalition 33.5%Labor 66.5%

10.2 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: -5.8 pp toward Coalition

Nearest polling places

  • Mount WarrigalLabor 68.1% · Coalition 31.9% TPP (2025)0.4 km away
  • Warilla NorthLabor 67.5% · Coalition 32.5% TPP (2025)0.9 km away
  • Barrack HeightsLabor 63.6% · Coalition 36.4% TPP (2025)1.0 km away
  • Lake IllawarraLabor 62.8% · Coalition 37.2% TPP (2025)1.2 km away
  • Oak Flats EastLabor 62.0% · Coalition 38.0% TPP (2025)1.4 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
2/10
IRSD decile (2021)
2/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

Compare with

Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.

More in Shellharbour Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.