Median house price
$1.27M
+3.9% change
NSW · The Hills Shire Council
Nelson, 2765
Est. population · Jun 2025
1,074
Growth (1 yr)
+17.4%
Growth (5 yr)
+276.8%
Median age
47
Median income
$2,399/wk
Employment rate
62.4%
Median house price · October to December 2025
$1,267,000
Languages at home
13.1%non-English
Most common: Polish, Arabic, Serbian
2021 Census · usual residence
Desirability score
- Excellent transport
- High desirability
Suburb profile
Set among the hills of The Hills Shire Council, Nelson is a smaller community with bushland views and a cooler, leafier feel. Long-term locals and family households define much of the community, with a strong presence of young families throughout. Dining is thinner on the ground than in busier metro pockets, so many residents head to neighbouring suburbs for a night out.
With few amenities on the doorstep, larger errands and a proper grocery run generally mean heading to a neighbouring suburb. Open space is thinner than in many metro suburbs, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. Buses are a genuine asset, linking residents to work, study and nearby neighbourhoods.
Property sits in a premium price band and is harder to enter for many buyers. This is a mature, settled pocket where the existing streetscape still defines the local character.
The overall desirability read is below average, pulled by softer growth momentum compared with similar metro suburbs, though community and employment, plus safety remain brighter spots. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.
At a glance
Nelson snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
$800/wk
Houses $820 · Units $530
Population (ERP)
1,074
+17% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
8.2%
Census unoccupied dwellings
Livability profile
Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Desirability
#119
among Metro Sydney · Mature
Safety
19th
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
100th
percentile in NSW
Advantage (IRSAD)
9/10
national SEIFA decile
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Desirability
Ranks & confidence
- Desirability score
- 31.3/100 — Below average
- National rank
- 5352nd in Australia
- State rank
- 1729th in NSW
- Peer rank
- #119 among Metro Sydney · Mature suburbs
- Cohort rank
- #821 among Metro Sydney suburbs
- Data confidence
- 71%
Data sources & freshness
- Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
Housing
- Flats / units (January to March 2026)
- $530
- Houses (January to March 2026)
- $820
- All types (January to March 2026)
- $800
- Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
- 656
- Median house price (October to December 2025)
- $1,267,000
- Median price change
- +3.9%
Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.
Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)
Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum
Data sources & freshness
- DCJ rent and sales tables — NSW Department of Communities and Justice · January to March 2026; October to December 2025 · Updated · Quarterly releases
Population
Estimated resident population
1,074(June 2025)
+17.4% annual · +276.8% over 5 years · 100th percentile in NSW
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +17.4%
- 5-year growth
- +276.8%
- Change in 1 year
- +159
- Change in 5 years
- +789
- Growth rank in NSW
- 100th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~2,800), extrapolated at +20.9% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 460
- Median age
- 47
- Median household income / week
- $2,399
- Dwelling vacancy
- 8.2%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 13 of 158
- Median monthly mortgage
- $2,762
- Employment rate
- 62.4%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 143 / 0 / 0
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
- 43
- Against the person
- 13
- Against property
- 18
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 40
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 35 residents
- State safety percentile
- 18.7th (lower crime is better)
- Decrease (daily rate)
- -4.2%
Most common offence types
- Breach Bail Conditions398
- Domestic Violence Related Assault278
- Fraud239
- Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment331
- Malicious Damage To Property263
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- BOCSAR postcode crime statistics — NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows
Family & Lifestyle
Public transport
29 public transport stops in this suburb
- Nelson Rd At McHale Way
- Old Pitt Town Rd After Andromeda Pkwy
- Old Pitt Town Rd Before Nelson Rd
- Old Pitt Town Rd Opp Andromeda Pkwy
- Old Pitt Town Rd Opp George St
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
- Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0) — Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed
Amenities
7 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km
Local character & venue list
Local character
- A car helps for daily errands
- Well connected by public transport — 29 public transport stops
- Walkability proxy
- 30/100
- Cafés per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Food & drink per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Parks per 1,000 residents
- 0
Transport(5)
5 bus stops
Other(2)
- Box Hill - Nelson Sub Station Rural Fire BrigadeFire station
47A Nelson Road
- Shelter
Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Nearest hospital
- The Hills Clinic Kellyville (8.4 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 14
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 13.0
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 25° / 17°
- Rainfall
- 321 mm · ~40 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 22° / 14°
- Rainfall
- 359 mm · ~45 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 17° / 8°
- Rainfall
- 263 mm · ~33 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 21° / 12°
- Rainfall
- 242 mm · ~30 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.
2026· 1 proposal
February 2026
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure69 NELSON ROAD NELSON 2765Determined
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- Online DA development application register — NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure · 2026 · Updated · Daily feed (from Oct 2018)
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- No overlay at centroid
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Greenway
- Member of Parliament
- Michelle ROWLAND (Australian Labor Party)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 118,906
- Turnout (2025)
- 92.9%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- +5.8 pp toward Labor
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 36.2%Labor 63.8%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 6.1 km away).
Coalition 38.1%Labor 61.9%
1.9 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +19.8 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
- Box HillLabor 61.4% · Coalition 38.6% TPP (2025)1.9 km away
- Rouse HillLabor 57.1% · Coalition 42.9% TPP (2025)3.9 km away
- Rouse Hill WestLabor 64.6% · Coalition 35.4% TPP (2025)4.3 km away
- Rouse Hill South (Greenway)Labor 62.4% · Coalition 37.6% TPP (2025)4.9 km away
- Maraylya (Greenway)Labor 60.8% · Coalition 39.2% TPP (2025)5.8 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 9/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 8/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
This suburb ranks highly for
Compare with
Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.
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