Median house price
$940k
+6.8% change
NSW · Central Coast Council
Warnervale, 2259
Est. population · Jun 2025
722
Growth (1 yr)
+2.9%
Growth (5 yr)
+19.3%
Median age
34
Median income
$1,929/wk
Employment rate
58.3%
Median house price · October to December 2025
$940,000
Languages at home
6.5%non-English
Most common: Punjabi, Hindi, Italian
2021 Census · usual residence
Desirability score
- Excellent transport
- Education hub
- High desirability
Suburb profile
In Central Coast Council, Warnervale is a settled smaller community where everyday shopping leans on neighbouring suburbs. You get space and calm here, while the city and neighbouring suburbs are still close enough for regular outings. Working households and growing families are the backbone of local life, with a strong presence of young families throughout.
Dining is thinner on the ground than in busier metro pockets, so many residents head to neighbouring suburbs for a night out. Green space punches above what many metro suburbs offer, with parks and playgrounds woven through the suburb. Strong connections via buses keep the wider area accessible.
Housing is expensive relative to much of the state. Active development is adding new homes and refreshed pockets throughout the suburb.
The desirability picture is below average, weighed down by softer safety relative to similar metro suburbs. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.
At a glance
Warnervale snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
$680/wk
Houses $700 · Units $500
Population (ERP)
722
+2.9% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
3.9%
Census unoccupied dwellings
Livability profile
Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Desirability
#157
among Metro Sydney · Growth area
Safety
71st
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
93rd
percentile in NSW
Advantage (IRSAD)
5/10
national SEIFA decile
School ICSEA
70th
percentile among schools with ICSEA
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Desirability
Ranks & confidence
- Desirability score
- 33.4/100 — Below average
- National rank
- 4976th in Australia
- State rank
- 1596th in NSW
- Peer rank
- #157 among Metro Sydney · Growth area suburbs
- Cohort rank
- #791 among Metro Sydney suburbs
- Data confidence
- 89%
Data sources & freshness
- Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
Housing
- Flats / units (January to March 2026)
- $500
- Houses (January to March 2026)
- $700
- All types (January to March 2026)
- $680
- Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
- 472
- Median house price (October to December 2025)
- $940,000
- Median price change
- +6.8%
Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.
Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)
Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum
Data sources & freshness
- DCJ rent and sales tables — NSW Department of Communities and Justice · January to March 2026; October to December 2025 · Updated · Quarterly releases
Population
Estimated resident population
722(June 2025)
+2.9% annual · +19.3% over 5 years · 93th percentile in NSW
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +2.9%
- 5-year growth
- +19.3%
- Change in 1 year
- +20
- Change in 5 years
- +117
- Growth rank in NSW
- 93th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~900), extrapolated at +4.3% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 701
- Median age
- 34
- Median household income / week
- $1,929
- Dwelling vacancy
- 3.9%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 9 of 230
- Median monthly mortgage
- $2,167
- Employment rate
- 58.3%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 210 / 9 / 0
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
- 71
- Against the person
- 18
- Against property
- 23
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 98.3
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 39 residents
- State safety percentile
- 71.3th (lower crime is better)
- Increase (daily rate)
- +6.3%
Most common offence types
- Breach Bail Conditions789
- Domestic Violence Related Assault437
- Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment636
- Malicious Damage To Property530
- Transport Regulatory Offences1055
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- BOCSAR postcode crime statistics — NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows
Family & Lifestyle
Schools & preschools
- Schools within 2 km
- 1
- Median school ICSEA
- 1,054
- Median ICSEA percentile
- 70th
School list
- Lakes Grammar - An Anglican SchoolCombined · Independent · ICSEA 1054 · 70th percentile · LBOTE 17% · 796 students · Top SEA quarter 25% · 1.5 km awayView on My School →
Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)
School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA
Data sources & freshness
- ACARA school locations — Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority · 2025 · Updated · Annual release
- School ICSEA scores — Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority · 2025 · Updated · Annual release
Public transport
29 public transport stops in this suburb
- ENT P1
- ENT P2
- LVX Albert Warner
- Warnervale Station
- Warnervale Station, Warnervale Rd
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
- Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0) — Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed
Amenities
12 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km
Local character & venue list
Local character
- A car helps for daily errands
- Well connected by public transport — 29 public transport stops
- Walkability proxy
- 30/100
- Cafés per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Food & drink per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Parks per 1,000 residents
- 1.43
Transport(2)
2 bus stops
Other(7)
- Bench (2)
- Warnervale AirportNo
- Central Coast CouncilParking
- Warnervale Airport Car ParkParking
- Parking Entrance (2)
- Picnic Table (2)
- Public toilets
Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Parks & reserves
1 parks and public open space in this suburb
- Warnervale Station ParkPark
Data sources & freshness
- Parks & reserves — State government + ABS LGA boundaries · current · Updated
Green cover
- Parks & woodland (OSM)
- 22
- Parks (OSM)
- 1
OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.
Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)
Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- OpenStreetMap green cover — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Nearest hospital
- Wyong Hospital (4.7 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Public hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 35
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 48.5
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 27° / 18°
- Rainfall
- 295 mm · ~37 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 23° / 14°
- Rainfall
- 366 mm · ~46 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 18° / 8°
- Rainfall
- 272 mm · ~34 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 23° / 13°
- Rainfall
- 230 mm · ~29 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.
2026· 56 proposals
August 2026
- Dual occupancy; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached); Residential Accommodation17 HEDLEY ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dual occupancy; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached); Residential Accommodation19 HEDLEY ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached); Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support; Residential Accommodation52 SONGLARK AVENUE WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation27 DRAGONFLY STREET WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure11 SWALLOWTAIL STREET WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation17 MAYFLY STREET WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Secondary dwelling; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure13 MAYFLY STREET WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
July 2026
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure77 VIRGINIA ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Subdivision10 DHURALI AVENUE WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure75 VIRGINIA ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Determined
- Dual occupancy; Dwelling house; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached)13 HEDLEY ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure29 DRAGONFLY STREET WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure33 DRAGONFLY STREET WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached); Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support; Residential Accommodation20 GALAH DRIVE WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation17 DRAGONFLY STREET WARNERVALE 2259Determined
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure79 VIRGINIA ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation176 EASTERN ROSELLA DRIVE WARNERVALE 2259Determined
- Dwelling house; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached); Residential Accommodation2 SPOONBILL AVENUE WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation1 BLACKBIRD AVENUE WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dual occupancy; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation16 LAPWING ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
June 2026
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation11 MAYFLY STREET WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation19 DRAGONFLY STREET WARNERVALE 2259Determined
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure13 CELESTIAL DRIVE WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Dual occupancy; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached)14 HEDLEY ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Erection of a new structure; Carport54 ST JOHNS ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
May 2026
- Dwelling house; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached); Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support; Residential Accommodation52 SONGLARK AVENUE WARNERVALE 2259Withdrawn
- Dwelling house; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached); Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support; Residential Accommodation20 GALAH DRIVE WARNERVALE 2259Withdrawn
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Garage, carport or carparking space17 GALAH DRIVE WARNERVALE 2259Determined
- Dwelling house; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached); Residential Accommodation2 SPOONBILL AVENUE WARNERVALE 2259Open
- Dual occupancy; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached)12 DHURALI AVENUE WARNERVALE 2259Determined
- Dual occupancy; Dwelling house; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached)13 HEDLEY ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Rejected
- Dual occupancy; Dwelling house; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (detached)21 HEDLEY ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
April 2026
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure51 FEDERATION BOULEVARD WARNERVALE 2259Determined
- Dwelling house; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation1 BLACKBIRD AVENUE WARNERVALE 2259Withdrawn
- Dual occupancy; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation16 LAPWING ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Withdrawn
- Erection of a new structure; Early Education and Care Facility; Centre-based child care23-35 ALBERT WARNER DRIVE WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (detached); Driveways and hard stand spaces32 HEDLEY ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
- Subdivision15-35 WARNERVALE ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
March 2026
- Subdivision49 RAILWAY ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Determined
- Subdivision14 LEMON SCENTED CIRCUIT WARNERVALE 2259Under Assessment
2025· 5 proposals
December 2025
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure50 SONGLARK AVENUE WARNERVALE 2259Determined
- Subdivision38 HEDLEY ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Determined
- Dual occupancy; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation4 HEDLEY ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Withdrawn
- Secondary dwelling; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation25 CELESTIAL DRIVE WARNERVALE 2259Determined
- Shed; Erection of a new structure50 ST JOHNS ROAD WARNERVALE 2259Determined
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- Online DA development application register — NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure · 2026 · Updated · Daily feed (from Oct 2018)
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- Overlay applies
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Dobell
- Member of Parliament
- Emma McBRIDE (Australian Labor Party)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 122,541
- Turnout (2025)
- 91.5%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- +2.9 pp toward Labor
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 40.6%Labor 59.4%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 4.8 km away).
Coalition 38.8%Labor 61.2%
1.8 percentage points more Labor-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +1.5 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
- Warnervale EastLabor 59.3% · Coalition 40.7% TPP (2025)2.1 km away
- WatanobbiLabor 65.5% · Coalition 34.5% TPP (2025)2.9 km away
- Hamlyn TerraceLabor 63.3% · Coalition 36.7% TPP (2025)3.3 km away
- WyongLabor 55.5% · Coalition 44.5% TPP (2025)3.7 km away
- WadalbaLabor 64.2% · Coalition 35.8% TPP (2025)3.8 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 5/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 4/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
More in Central Coast Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.