Median house price
$1.26M
+5.2% change
NSW · Lake Macquarie Council
Est. population · Jun 2025
8,391
Growth (1 yr)
+2.4%
Growth (5 yr)
+8.5%
Median age
46
Median income
$1,494/wk
Employment rate
55.7%
Median house price · October to December 2025
$1,263,000
Languages at home
5.6%non-English
Most common: Arabic, Macedonian, Mandarin
2021 Census · usual residence
Desirability score
Suburb profile
In Lake Macquarie Council, Warners Bay is a settled established suburb with a familiar suburban feel and good links to the wider city. Long-term locals and family households define much of the community, with family life visible on every street. Local schools rate highly against similar suburbs.
Local shops and services cover the basics well, with more choice a short trip into neighbouring suburbs. Parks and open space are a real strength relative to many metro suburbs, easy for walks, sport and weekend downtime. Daily life works well on foot, with buses also serving the suburb.
Housing is expensive relative to much of the state. Construction and infill projects are noticeably reshaping parts of the area.
The desirability picture is good, powered mainly by community and employment relative to similar metro suburbs.
At a glance
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median house price
$1.26M
+5.2% change
Median rent
$748/wk
Houses $760 · Units $670
Population (ERP)
8,391
+2.4% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
5.5%
Census unoccupied dwellings
Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Desirability
#5
among Metro Sydney · Mature
Safety
15th
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
91st
percentile in NSW
Advantage (IRSAD)
7/10
national SEIFA decile
School ICSEA
70th
percentile among schools with ICSEA
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Data sources & freshness
Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.
Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)
Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum
Data sources & freshness
Estimated resident population
8,391(June 2025)
+2.4% annual · +8.5% over 5 years · 91th percentile in NSW
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~8,850), extrapolated at +1.1% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Reported offences increased compared with the previous period.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)
School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA
Data sources & freshness
179 public transport stops in this suburb
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
259 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km
1 restaurants · 3 pubs · 1 bars · 2 supermarkets · 2 pharmacies · 9 fast food · 5 places of worship · 5 playgrounds
320 Hillsborough Road, Warners Bay
32 John Street
1 Myles Avenue, Warners Bay
88 Mills Street, Warners Bay
Unit Shop 10 6 King Street
326 Hillsborough Road, Warners Bay
314 Hillsborough Road, Warners Bay
314 Hillsborough Road
70 bus stops
320 Hillsborough Road, Warners Bay
Unit 8 56 Medcalf Street, Warners Bay
Unit 4B 311 Hillsborough Road, Warners Bay
240-260 Hillsborough Road
Unit 2 276 Macquarie Road, Warners Bay
230 Macquarie Road, Warners Bay
320 Hillsborough Road, Warners Bay
19 East Street
308 Hillsborough Road
Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
4 parks and public open space in this suburb
Data sources & freshness
OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.
Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)
Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
5 places of worship within ~1.5 km
19 East Street
From OpenStreetMap within ~1.5 km of the suburb centre.
Data sources & freshness
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.
July 2026
June 2026
May 2026
April 2026
March 2026
February 2026
December 2025
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
1 active roadworks / incidents
Data sources & freshness
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
Two-party preferred (2025)
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 3.0 km away).
1.0 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +6.6 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.