Median house price
$1.29M
+13% change
NSW · Liverpool Council
Carnes Hill, 2171
Est. population · Jun 2025
3,671
Growth (1 yr)
+0.4%
Growth (5 yr)
+6.3%
Median age
32
Median income
$2,630/wk
Employment rate
61.1%
Median house price · October to December 2025
$1,295,000
Languages at home
60.6%non-English
Most common: Arabic, Hindi, Vietnamese
2021 Census · usual residence
Desirability score
- High desirability
- Education hub
- Excellent transport
- Café precinct
Suburb profile
Carnes Hill is a well-connected mid-sized suburb in Liverpool Council with everyday amenities close at hand. The community skews younger, with a strong presence of young families throughout. This is a strongly multicultural suburb: overseas-born and multilingual households make up much of the community.
Families have many nearby school and early-learning options to choose from. Outdoor life is easy here, with generous parks and room for kids, dogs and weekend strolls. Most routine trips are on foot, while buses cover longer journeys across the metro area.
Housing is expensive relative to much of the state. The area is still finding its shape, with new households arriving and the community evolving year by year.
The desirability picture is good, powered mainly by safety, plus local dining and lifestyle amenities relative to similar metro suburbs.
At a glance
Carnes Hill snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
$800/wk
Population (ERP)
3,671
+0.4% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
2.5%
Census unoccupied dwellings
Livability profile
Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Desirability
#40
among Metro Sydney · Growth area
Safety
3rd
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
47th
percentile in NSW
Advantage (IRSAD)
9/10
national SEIFA decile
School ICSEA
58th
percentile among schools with ICSEA
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Desirability
Ranks & confidence
- Desirability score
- 63.6/100 — Good
- State standing
- Top 9% of New South Wales' suburbs
- National rank
- 674th in Australia
- State rank
- 175th in NSW
- Peer rank
- #40 among Metro Sydney · Growth area suburbs
- Cohort rank
- #126 among Metro Sydney suburbs
- Data confidence
- 93%
Data sources & freshness
- Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
Housing
- Houses (January to March 2026)
- $800
- Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
- 119
- Median house price (October to December 2025)
- $1,295,000
- Median price change
- +12.6%
Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.
Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)
Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum
Data sources & freshness
- DCJ rent and sales tables — NSW Department of Communities and Justice · January to March 2026; October to December 2025 · Updated · Quarterly releases
Population
Estimated resident population
3,671(June 2025)
+0.4% annual · +6.3% over 5 years · 47th percentile in NSW
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +0.4%
- 5-year growth
- +6.3%
- Change in 1 year
- +15
- Change in 5 years
- +219
- Growth rank in NSW
- 47th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~4,250), extrapolated at +3.0% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 3,332
- Median age
- 32
- Median household income / week
- $2,630
- Dwelling vacancy
- 2.5%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 22 of 868
- Median monthly mortgage
- $2,700
- Employment rate
- 61.1%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 826 / 6 / 8
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
- 77
- Against the person
- 29
- Against property
- 36
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 21
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 115 residents
- State safety percentile
- 2.5th (lower crime is better)
- Decrease (daily rate)
- -11.3%
Most common offence types
- Domestic Violence Related Assault125
- Fraud116
- Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment151
- Malicious Damage To Property103
- Steal From Motor Vehicle69
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- BOCSAR postcode crime statistics — NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows
Family & Lifestyle
Schools & preschools
- Schools within 2 km
- 8
- Median school ICSEA (8 schools)
- 1,024
- Median ICSEA percentile
- 58th
School list
- Holy Spirit Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1059 · 72th percentile · LBOTE 94% · 669 students · Top SEA quarter 21% · 0.4 km awayView on My School →
- Hoxton Park Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 985 · 40th percentile · LBOTE 73% · 531 students · Top SEA quarter 9% · 0.7 km awayView on My School →
- Greenway Park Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1011 · 52th percentile · LBOTE 76% · 620 students · Top SEA quarter 12% · 1.0 km awayView on My School →
- John Edmondson High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 982 · 39th percentile · LBOTE 77% · 1,084 students · Top SEA quarter 7% · 1.0 km awayView on My School →
- William Carey Christian SchoolCombined · Independent · ICSEA 1105 · 86th percentile · LBOTE 65% · 1,325 students · Top SEA quarter 42% · 1.2 km awayView on My School →
- Clancy Catholic CollegeSecondary · Catholic · ICSEA 1054 · 70th percentile · LBOTE 82% · 1,211 students · Top SEA quarter 20% · 1.3 km awayView on My School →
- Good Shepherd Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1037 · 63th percentile · LBOTE 96% · 469 students · Top SEA quarter 17% · 1.6 km awayView on My School →
- Good Samaritan Catholic CollegeSecondary · Catholic · ICSEA 1006 · 50th percentile · LBOTE 92% · 1,297 students · Top SEA quarter 10% · 1.7 km awayView on My School →
Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)
School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA
Data sources & freshness
- ACARA school locations — Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority · 2025 · Updated · Annual release
- School ICSEA scores — Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority · 2025 · Updated · Annual release
Public transport
9 public transport stops in this suburb
- 139 Cowpasture Rd
- Carnes Hill Marketplace, Kurrajong Rd
- Holy Spirit Primary School, Main St
- Kurrajong Rd Opp Carnes Hill Marketplace
- Main St Opp Holy Spirit Primary School
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
- Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0) — Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed
Amenities
107 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km
2 restaurants · 5 cafes · 2 supermarkets · 2 pharmacies · 8 fast food · 1 bakeries · 1 libraries · 6 playgrounds
Local character & venue list
Local character
- Highly walkable for everyday errands
- Great for outdoor family life — 2 parks mapped in suburb, 6 playgrounds nearby
- Reasonable bus and transport access — 9 public transport stops
- Strong local sport and recreation — 9 sport and outdoor facilities nearby
- Walkability proxy
- 84/100
- Cafés per 1,000 residents
- 1.5
- Food & drink per 1,000 residents
- 4.8
- Parks per 1,000 residents
- 0.6
Food & drink(16)
- Bakers DelightBakery
Unit 6
- Black EikCafe
- Caffe Cherry BeansCafe
Unit 5
- ChatimeCafe
Unit 5
- Gloria Jean'sCafe
Unit B17
- Lab KitchenCafe
Unit 3
- Chicken AvenueFast food
Unit B1
- Domino'sFast food
- Donut KingFast food
Unit 1
- KFCFast food
Unit 8
- McDonald'sFast food
- Sheikh ShackFast food
Unit 11
- Soul OriginFast food
Unit 2
- Sushi JunctionFast food
Unit 4A
- Northern Thai CuisineRestaurant
Unit 7
- Wok 'n' NoodlesRestaurant
Unit B18
Shopping(7)
- Chop ButcheryButcher
- EG AustraliaConvenience store
- Carnes Hill FruitopiaGreengrocer
Unit 4A
- AldiSupermarket
20 Main Street
- WoolworthsSupermarket
Community(2)
- Carnes Hill LibraryLibrary
- Holy Spirit Primary SchoolSchool
Health & services(6)
- Carnes Hill Dental SurgeryDentist
Unit 12
- Allcare Carnes Hill Medical CentreMedical clinic
- Carnes Hill DoctorsMedical clinic
Unit 16
- Carnes Hill X-ray and PhysioMedical clinic
- Allcare PharmacyPharmacy
- Priceline PharmacyPharmacy
Unit B9
Sport & outdoors(11)
- Park
- Schoeffel ParkPark
- Playground (6)
- Michael Clarke Recreation CentreSports centre
- Carnes Hill Skate ParkSports field
- Sports field
Transport(3)
3 bus stops
Other(41)
- Dan Murphy'sAlcohol
245 Cowpasture Road
- ANZBank
Unit B27
- Commonwealth BankBank
Unit B13-B14
- St.GeorgeBank
Unit B23-B24
- Laser SydneyBeauty salon
Unit B12
- Sea Nails & BeautyBeauty salon
Unit 18
- Sydney Brow BarBeauty salon
Unit 6
- Venus NailsBeauty salon
- Bench (10)
- Bicycle Parking
- V8 Hand Car WashCar wash
- Dressense BoutiqueClothes
Unit B16
- Big WDepartment Store
245 Cowpasture Road, Carnes Hill
- Turbo Turtle DrycleanersDry Cleaning
Unit B21
- Hair NationHairdresser
Unit B28
- Just CutsHairdresser
Unit B8
- Moe & Co.Hairdresser
Unit B2A
- Diamond Hill JewellersJewelry
Unit 13
- ProudsJewelry
Unit B7
- Loading Dock (2)
- Carnes Hill MarketplaceMall
- Prime MassageMassage
Unit B5
- OptusMobile Phone
Unit B4
- TelstraMobile Phone
Unit B3
- VodafoneMobile Phone
Unit Shop B11
- Carnes Hill NewsagentNewsagent
Unit 3
- SpecsaversOptician
Unit B10
- Eyesense OptometristsOptometrist
Unit B29
- Outdoor Seating (3)
- Parking (9)
- Parking Space
- Pasticceria Dolce VitaPastry
Unit 9
- EG AustraliaPetrol station
- Australia PostPost Box
- Public toilets
- Return & EarnRecycling
245 Cowpasture Road
- Shelter
- Spendless ShoesShoes
Unit B6
- CTCTobacco
Unit 10
- Australia PostVending machine
- Waste Basket (4)
Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Parks & reserves
1 parks and public open space in this suburb
- Schoeffel ParkPark
Data sources & freshness
- Parks & reserves — State government + ABS LGA boundaries · current · Updated
Green cover
- Parks & woodland (OSM)
- 3
- Parks (OSM)
- 2
OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.
Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)
Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- OpenStreetMap green cover — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Hospitals & GP clinics in suburb
- 7
- Nearest hospital
- Sydney Southwest Private Hospital (7.7 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
- Emergency department in suburb
- Not in suburb
- Allcare Carnes Hill Medical CentreDoctor
- Allcare PharmacyPharmacy
- Carnes Hill Dental SurgeryDentist
- Carnes Hill DoctorsDoctor
- Carnes Hill X-ray and PhysioDoctor
- Eyesense OptometristsOptometrist
- Priceline PharmacyPharmacy
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 83
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 22.6
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 25° / 17°
- Rainfall
- 321 mm · ~40 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 22° / 14°
- Rainfall
- 359 mm · ~45 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 17° / 8°
- Rainfall
- 263 mm · ~33 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 21° / 12°
- Rainfall
- 242 mm · ~30 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.
2026· 1 proposal
July 2026
- Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Swimming pool3 SAVERY ROAD CARNES HILL 2171Additional Information Requested
2025· 8 proposals
November 2025
- Subdivision; Advertising and signage; Erection of a new structure; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support; Garage, carport or carparking space; Pathways and paving; Building identification sign; Recreation facility (indoor)600 KURRAJONG ROAD CARNES HILL 2171Under Assessment
- Subdivision129 MACKSVILLE STREET CARNES HILL 2171Determined
July 2025
- Demolition; Advertising and signage; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Vehicle repair station; Centre-based child care; Retail Premise; Food and drink premise; Hours of operation and tradingCOWPASTURE ROAD CARNES HILL 2171Determined
June 2025
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure146 ROSEDALE CIRCUIT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
May 2025
- Demolition; Advertising and signage; Business identification sign; Service station; Vehicle repair station; Centre-based child care; Retail Premise; Food and drink premise; Supporting DevelopmentCOWPASTURE ROAD CARNES HILL 2171Withdrawn
April 2025
- Subdivision129 MACKSVILLE STREET CARNES HILL 2171Determined
- Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation112 ROSEDALE CIRCUIT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
January 2025
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool167 ROSEDALE CIRCUIT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
2024· 2 proposals
June 2024
- Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool52 MACKSVILLE STREET CARNES HILL 2171Determined
March 2024
- Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Group home (permanent)18 PIONEER DRIVE CARNES HILL 2171Determined
2023· 5 proposals
September 2023
- Retail premisesCOWPASTURE ROAD CARNES HILL 2171Determined
- Demolition; Alterations and additions to commercial development; Signage; Centre based childcare; Food and drink premises; Retail premises; OtherCOWPASTURE ROAD CARNES HILL 2171Determined
July 2023
- Dwelling106 ROSEDALE CIRCUIT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
April 2023
- Home business52 ROSEDALE CIRCUIT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
February 2023
- Subdivision of land139 COWPASTURE ROAD CARNES HILL 2171Determined
2022· 14 proposals
September 2022
- Subdivision of land139 COWPASTURE ROAD CARNES HILL 2171Withdrawn
July 2022
- Demolition139 COWPASTURE ROAD CARNES HILL 2171Determined
- Dwelling; Pools / decks / fencing108A ROSEDALE CIRCUIT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
June 2022
- Pools / decks / fencing122 ROSEDALE CIRCUIT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
May 2022
- Dwelling108B ROSEDALE CIRCUIT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
April 2022
- Subdivision of land169 COWPASTURE ROAD CARNES HILL 2171Determined
March 2022
- Dwelling25 GREYSTANES WAY CARNES HILL 2171Determined
February 2022
- Dwelling; Pools / decks / fencingLot 3928/DP1225536 Rosedale Circuit, Carnes HillDetermined
- Dwelling; Pools / decks / fencingLot 3929/DP1225536 Rosedale Circuit, Carnes HillDetermined
- Dwelling25 GREYSTANES WAY CARNES HILL 2171Rejected
January 2022
- Multi-dwelling housing; Subdivision of land129 MACKSVILLE STREET CARNES HILL 2171Rejected
- Dwelling92 ROSEDALE CIRCUIT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
- Dwelling; Secondary dwelling1 SQUIRE COURT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
- Dwelling9 PARISH WAY CARNES HILL 2171Determined
2021· 11 proposals
December 2021
- Dwelling; Pools / decks / fencingLot 3929/DP1225536 Rosedale Circuit, Carnes HillWithdrawn
- DwellingLot 3928/DP1225536 Rosedale Circuit, Carnes HillWithdrawn
November 2021
- Dwelling103 ROSEDALE CIRCUIT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
- Retail premisesCOWPASTURE ROAD CARNES HILL 2171Determined
October 2021
- Dwelling99 ROSEDALE CIRCUIT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
- Dwelling2 BAYHORSE AVENUE CARNES HILL 2171Determined
- Dwelling21 BAYHORSE AVENUE CARNES HILL 2171Determined
September 2021
- Alterations and additions to commercial development245 Cowpasture Road, Carnes Hill NSW 2171Determined
- Dual occupancy105 ROSEDALE CIRCUIT CARNES HILL 2171Determined
- Group homes; Change of use18 PIONEER DRIVE CARNES HILL 2171Determined
August 2021
- Dwelling25 BAYHORSE AVENUE CARNES HILL 2171Determined
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- Online DA development application register — NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure · 2026 · Updated · Daily feed (from Oct 2018)
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- No overlay at centroid
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Werriwa
- Member of Parliament
- Anne Maree STANLEY (Australian Labor Party)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 117,790
- Turnout (2025)
- 89.9%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- +1.4 pp toward Labor
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 43.2%Labor 56.8%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 2.4 km away).
Coalition 46.9%Labor 53.1%
3.6 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +3.4 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
- Carnes HillLabor 49.7% · Coalition 50.3% TPP (2025)0.4 km away
- Hoxton ParkLabor 59.4% · Coalition 40.6% TPP (2025)0.6 km away
- West Hoxton SouthLabor 54.1% · Coalition 45.9% TPP (2025)1.0 km away
- Horningsea ParkLabor 59.0% · Coalition 41.0% TPP (2025)1.1 km away
- West HoxtonLabor 46.7% · Coalition 53.3% TPP (2025)1.1 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 9/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 6/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
Compare with
Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.
More in Liverpool Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.