suburb.guide

NSW · Georges River Council

Kyle Bay, 2221

Est. population · Jun 2025

1,189

Growth (1 yr)

+1.6%

Growth (5 yr)

+6.3%

Median age

45

Median income

$3,069/wk

Employment rate

57.6%

University qualified

35.8%

Work from home

40.6%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$2,350,000

Languages at home

40.3%non-English

Most common: Greek, Mandarin, Cantonese

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

52.4/100
Average

Top 26% of New South Wales' suburbs

Verified 95% confidence

How this score is calculated
    What Kyle Bay is known for:

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    Kyle Bay, NSW suburb snapshot — Suburb Guide

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    Kyle Bay, NSW suburb snapshot — Suburb Guide

    Cite this suburb snapshot

    Suburb Guide, “Kyle Bay, NSW Suburb Guide”, updated 1 October 2026, https://suburb.guide/nsw/kyle-bay

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    Suburb profile

    Kyle Bay is a middle-ring metropolitan suburb of Sydney, in Georges River Council. It is close to the Georges River and the Botany Bay.

    Recorded road crashes are a relative strength, with recorded road crashes 67% below the peer median, and household incomes sit well above the peer median, with household incomes 38% above the peer median, and population has been growing faster than in comparable places, well above typical levels for middle-ring metropolitan suburbs. Space is a strength, but car dependence is high. The clearer weaknesses are thinner park access and thinner local amenities, with park access 100% below the peer median.

    Park access is the most material weakness.

    Generated from the official metrics on this page. It can omit nuance or contain errors — check the tables and source notes before relying on it.

    Strengths and weaknesses

    Middle-ring metropolitan suburb · compared with middle-ring metropolitan suburbs in New South Wales (139)

    Strengths

    • Recorded road crashes are a relative strength
    • Household incomes sit well above the peer median
    • Population has been growing faster than in comparable places

    Weaknesses

    • Park access is a relative weakness
    • Everyday shops and services are sparse

    What stands out

    • Overseas-born and multilingual community
    • Georges River
    • Botany Bay
    • River Council
    • Space is a strength, but car dependence is high

    Who it suits

    • Families
    • Professionals
    • Retirees
    • Students
    • Budget buyers

    Housing, growth and risk

    How Kyle Bay compares

    A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

    Median house price

    $2.35M

    +6.3% change

    Median rent

    $890/wk

    Houses $1,100 · Units $700

    Population (ERP)

    1,189

    +1.6% annual growth

    Dwelling vacancy

    4.7%

    Census unoccupied dwellings

    Livability profile

    Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

    How it compares

    Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

    Desirability

    #52

    among Metro Sydney · Mature

    Crime rate

    5th

    percentile in state (higher = more crime)

    Pop. growth

    81st

    percentile in NSW

    Rented dwellings

    5%

    2021 Census tenure

    Advantage (IRSAD)

    10/10

    national SEIFA decile

    School ICSEA

    85th

    percentile among schools with ICSEA

    Population growth

    Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

    Housing mix

    Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

    Risks & flags

    Quick scan — open a section below for full context

    Living here

    Desirability

    Ranks & confidence
    Desirability score
    52.4/100 — Average
    State standing
    Top 26% of New South Wales' suburbs
    National rank
    1550th in Australia
    State rank
    547th in NSW
    Peer rank
    #52 among Metro Sydney · Mature suburbs
    Cohort rank
    #361 among Metro Sydney suburbs
    Data confidence
    95%

    Data sources & freshness

    • Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

    Housing

    Flats / units (January to March 2026)
    $700
    Houses (January to March 2026)
    $1,100
    All types (January to March 2026)
    $890
    Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
    75
    Median house price (October to December 2025)
    $2,350,000
    Median price change
    +6.3%

    Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

    Contributes to desirability score · Housing (10%) · Future Growth (6%)

    Household crowding and healthy vacancy — not cheapness Modest price change as a healthy-growth band

    Data sources & freshness

    Population

    Estimated resident population

    1,189(June 2025)

    +1.6% annual · +6.3% over 5 years · 81th percentile in NSW

    Growth figures & methodology
    Annual growth
    +1.6%
    5-year growth
    +6.3%
    Change in 1 year
    +19
    Change in 5 years
    +71
    Growth rank in NSW
    81th percentile

    ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

    Methodology

    Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

    The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~1,250), extrapolated at +1.0% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

    2021 Census figures

    2021 Census

    Population
    1,039
    Median age
    45
    Median household income / week
    $3,069
    Dwelling vacancy
    4.7%
    Unoccupied private dwellings
    16 of 342
    Median monthly mortgage
    $3,500
    Median weekly rent (2021 Census)
    $745
    Tenure (owned / mortgaged / rented)
    51.6% / 43% / 5.4%
    Employment rate
    57.6%
    Travel to work (WFH / public transport / car)
    40.6% / 1% / 40.2%
    Walked or cycled to work
    0%
    Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
    321 / 8 / 0

    Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%) · Accessibility (12%) · Future Growth (6%)

    Employment, household income and owned-outright tenure (2021 Census) Work-from-home and public-transport commute shares (2021 Census) Five-year population change as a healthy-growth band, not a boom bonus

    Data sources & freshness

    • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

      The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

    • Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

    Qualifications

    35.8% of adults have a university degree, compared with 27.8% across New South Wales. 8.8% have a trade or vocational qualification.

    • University qualified35.8% · 27.8% NSW
    • Diploma qualified10.3% · 9.3% NSW
    • Trade / vocational8.8% · 15% NSW
    • Year 12 or below45.1% · 47.9% NSW

    Highest qualification field

    Main field of the highest non-school qualification (2021 Census).

    • Management and commerce33.5%
    • Engineering and related technologies13.9%
    • Society and culture11.2%
    • Health8.9%
    • Education7.5%
    • Architecture and building6.4%
    How these groups are defined
    MeasureDefinition
    University qualifiedBachelor degree or higher
    Diploma qualifiedAdvanced Diploma / Diploma
    Trade / vocationalCertificate III + IV
    Year 12Year 12 as highest attainment
    Below Year 12Year 11 / 10 / 9 or below

    People aged 15 years and over, 2021 Census. University, diploma and trade shares match ABS highest educational attainment (HEAP). Year 12 and below Year 12 are combined in the chart because the General Community Profile reports school-only attainment as a residual.

    Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%)

    University qualifications from the 2021 Census

    Data sources & freshness

    • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

      The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

    Tax & income

    Median taxable income (2023–24)
    $62,117

    70th percentile in NSW · +6% vs Australia

    Median salary / wages (2023–24)
    $69,166

    70th percentile in NSW · +6% vs Australia

    Residents with rental investments
    29.0%

    99th percentile in NSW · +110% vs Australia

    Median super balance (2023–24)
    $79,640

    63rd percentile in NSW · +26% vs Australia

    Residents with business income
    11.0%

    55th percentile in NSW · +6% vs Australia

    Australian Taxation Office Taxation Statistics 2023–24, individuals Table 25. Figures describe taxpayers who live in postcode 2221 — not a suburb-level official statistic. Rental investment is the share of local taxpayers reporting rental income or loss, not the share of local properties owned by investors.

    Counts, net rent & state comparison
    Taxpayers in this postcode
    11,163
    Taxpayers reporting net rent
    3,228
    Median net rent
    $446
    Taxpayers reporting business income
    1,198
    Taxable income vs state median
    +11%
    Salary / wages vs state median
    +10%
    Rental investment vs state median
    +107%
    Super vs state median
    +13%
    Business income vs state median
    +10%

    Percentiles rank this postcode among unique postcodes in NSW, so suburbs that share a postcode are not counted twice. Dollar figures are compared with Australia-wide ATO medians from the same release. Median net rent is among taxpayers who reported the rent label and can be negative.

    Data sources & freshness

    • Taxation Statistics 2023–24 — individuals by postcode (Table 25) — Australian Taxation Office · Updated · Annual release; taxpayer residential postcode, not suburb boundary

    Community & culture

    40.3% speak a language other than English at home; 28.3% born overseas

    Language at home
    608 English only · 410 other
    Non-English at home
    40.3%
    Born overseas
    287 (28.3%)
    Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander
    4 (0.4%)
    Australian citizens
    967
    Languages spoken at home (other than English)
    9

    Top languages other than English

    Share of residents who speak a language other than English at home (2021 Census).

    • Greek46 · 25.1%
    • Mandarin40 · 21.9%
    • Cantonese37 · 20.2%
    • Arabic19 · 10.4%
    • Macedonian19 · 10.4%
    • Croatian11 · 6%
    • Serbian4 · 2.2%
    • Spanish4 · 2.2%

    Religion

    63.6%Most common religion · Christianity

    Christianity is the most common response at 63.6%, while 23.2% reported no religion.

    MeasureSuburbState
    No religion23.2%32.8%
    Christianity63.6%47.6%
    Islam4.9%4.3%
    Buddhism2.8%2.8%
    Other / not stated5.5%12.5%
    Christian denominations
    DenominationSuburbState
    Catholic24.8%22.4%
    Eastern Orthodox22.2%2.5%
    Anglican8.2%11.9%
    Christian (not further defined)3%2.4%
    Oriental Orthodox2%0.4%

    2021 Census — languages spoken at home, birthplace, Indigenous status, and religious affiliation (usual residence). Religion is optional on the Census form.

    Data sources & freshness

    • 2021 Census — General Community Profile (including method of travel to work and educational attainment) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

      The 2026 Census was conducted in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

    Crime & safety

    Offence counts are estimated for this suburb from postcode 2221, which is shared with other suburbs.

    Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

    Offence counts & rates
    Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
    29
    Against the person
    9
    Against property
    15
    Rate per 1,000 residents
    24.4
    Person-crime prevalence
    About 1 in 115 residents
    State crime-rate percentile
    5.2th (higher = more crime)
    Decrease (daily rate)
    -14.5%
    Recorded road crashes (in suburb)
    3
    Crash rate per 1,000 residents (state rank)
    2.52

    Most common offence types

    • Domestic Violence Related Assault3
    • Fraud6
    • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment3
    • Malicious Damage To Property2
    • Steal From Retail Store2

    Contributes to desirability score · Safety (22%)

    Crime rate, offences against the person, year-on-year trend and recorded road crash rates

    Data sources & freshness

    Family & Lifestyle

    Schools & preschools

    Schools within 2 km
    9
    Median school ICSEA (9 schools)
    1,103
    Median ICSEA percentile
    85th
    Primary catchments overlapping suburb
    2
    Secondary catchments overlapping suburb
    1
    School list
    • Connells Point Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1088 · 81th percentile · LBOTE 68% · 429 students · Top SEA quarter 35% · 0.5 km awayView on My School →
    • Bald Face Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1123 · 90th percentile · LBOTE 78% · 246 students · Top SEA quarter 49% · 1.0 km awayView on My School →
    • Mater Dei Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1103 · 85th percentile · LBOTE 78% · 400 students · Top SEA quarter 38% · 1.1 km awayView on My School →
    • Blakehurst High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 1043 · 66th percentile · LBOTE 81% · 1,013 students · Top SEA quarter 19% · 1.6 km awayView on My School →
    • Blakehurst Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1049 · 68th percentile · LBOTE 61% · 256 students · Top SEA quarter 23% · 1.6 km awayView on My School →
    • St Joseph's Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1131 · 91th percentile · LBOTE 35% · 219 students · Top SEA quarter 49% · 1.8 km awayView on My School →
    • St Raphael's Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1130 · 91th percentile · LBOTE 93% · 210 students · Top SEA quarter 50% · 1.8 km awayView on My School →
    • Hurstville South Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1077 · 78th percentile · LBOTE 92% · 453 students · Top SEA quarter 28% · 1.9 km awayView on My School →
    • Oatley Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1126 · 90th percentile · LBOTE 44% · 365 students · Top SEA quarter 50% · 1.9 km awayView on My School →
    School catchments
    • Bald Face PSGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundaryprimary_catchment
    • Blakehurst HSGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundarysecondary_catchment
    • Connells Pt PSGovernment school catchment overlapping this suburb boundaryprimary_catchment

    Government school intake zones that overlap this suburb boundary. Living in a catchment does not guarantee enrolment; check the education authority.

    Contributes to desirability score · Education (14%)

    Median school ICSEA first, then school and catchment counts

    Data sources & freshness

    Public transport

    8 public transport stops in this suburb

    • 139 Kyle Pde
    • Kyle Pde After Merriman St
    • Kyle Pde Opp Cross St
    • The Green Reserve, Kyle Pde
    • The Green Reserve, Kyle Pde

    Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (12%)

    Public transport stops per 1,000 residents and walkability

    Data sources & freshness

    • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0) — Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

    Amenities

    24 mapped amenities

    2 restaurants · 1 playgrounds

    Local character & venue list

    Local character

    • Limited walkable amenities nearby
    • Decent local green space — 0 parks in suburb, 1 playgrounds nearby
    • Reasonable bus and transport access — 8 public transport stops
    Walkability proxy
    16/100
    Cafés per 1,000 residents
    0
    Food & drink per 1,000 residents
    1.92
    Parks per 1,000 residents
    0
    Food & drink(2)
    • Jaaks Restaurant and BarRestaurant

      12 Merriman Street, Kyle Bay

    • Peacock TrattoriaRestaurant
    Sport & outdoors(6)
    • Cooks to OatleyCycling route
    • Oatley - Beverley ParkCycling route
    • Drinking water (2)
    • Playground
    • Public toilets
    Transport(4)

    4 bus stops

    Other(6)
    • Bench (4)
    • The Kyle BayEvents Venue

      12 Merriman Street, Kyle Bay

    • Parking
    • Shelter (4)
    • Vacant

      Unit 2 25-33 Kyle Parade, Kyle Bay

    • Waste Basket

    Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually. Campgrounds, beaches, wineries and local trails are included when they sit inside the suburb boundary.

    Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (12%)

    Food, shopping, recreation and sport per 1,000 residents (OpenStreetMap)

    Data sources & freshness

    • Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
    • OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

    Green cover

    Green cover of suburb area
    2.5%
    Woodland / forest cover
    0%
    Parks & woodland features (OSM)
    0
    Parks (OSM)
    0
    Typical summer maximum
    25°C

    Green cover is the share of this suburb's boundary overlapping OpenStreetMap parks, woodland and forest polygons — not a satellite tree-canopy product. Summer maximum is the WorldClim / Open-Meteo seasonal normal already collected for Weather.

    Contributes to desirability score · Environment (12%)

    Tree canopy first, then green-cover area and parks per 1,000

    Data sources & freshness

    • OpenStreetMap green cover and tree canopy — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated · Park/woodland polygons intersected with suburb boundaries

    Health access

    Nearest hospital
    Waratah Private Hospital (2.8 km)
    Nearest hospital type
    Hospital
    Nearest hospital emergency
    Emergency department
    GP clinics in suburb
    0

    GP clinic counts from OpenStreetMap. Bulk-billing figures only include clinics tagged in OSM (sparse and unofficial — not a Medicare list).

    Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (12%)

    Hospitals, GPs and aged care

    Data sources & freshness

    NDIS participation

    NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
    17
    Participants per 1,000 residents
    14.3

    Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

    For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

    Data sources & freshness

    Weather

    Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

    Summer (Dec–Feb)

    Usual max / min
    25° / 17°
    Rainfall
    321 mm · ~40 rainy days

    Autumn (Mar–May)

    Usual max / min
    22° / 14°
    Rainfall
    359 mm · ~45 rainy days

    Winter (Jun–Aug)

    Usual max / min
    17° / 8°
    Rainfall
    263 mm · ~33 rainy days

    Spring (Sep–Nov)

    Usual max / min
    21° / 12°
    Rainfall
    242 mm · ~30 rainy days

    Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (12%)

    Temperature and humidity comfort

    Data sources & freshness

    • Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated

    Future & Planning

    Planning & development

    Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.

    2026· 3 proposals

    • July 2026

    • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
      75A KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • May 2026

    • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
      19A WARATAH STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • April 2026

    • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
      85 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    2025· 4 proposals

    • August 2025

    • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
      26B MERRIMAN STREET KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn

    • June 2025

    • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
      39 BORONIA STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • April 2025

    • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
      61 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • February 2025

    • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
      3 CROSS STREET KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
    2024· 15 proposals

    • November 2024

    • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
      61A KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn

    • October 2024

    • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
      20 RIVERVIEW AVENUE KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
    • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
      105 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • September 2024

    • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
      130 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn

    • August 2024

    • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
      3 CROSS STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • July 2024

    • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
      93 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
      117 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
    • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation
      19A WARATAH STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • June 2024

    • Subdivision; Residential Accommodation
      146 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • May 2024

    • Erection of a new structure; Mooring Pen
      95 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • April 2024

    • Subdivision; Residential Accommodation
      46 WARATAH STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Awnings, blinds and canopies
      2 RIVERVIEW AVENUE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • March 2024

    • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
      75A KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • January 2024

    • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
      28 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
      103 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    2023· 7 proposals

    • December 2023

    • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
      108 TERRY STREET KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn

    • November 2023

    • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
      20 RIVERVIEW AVENUE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • October 2023

    • Erection of a new structure; Mooring Pen
      95 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    • Erection of a new structure; Jetty; Water Infrastructure
      18A MERRIMAN STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • August 2023

    • Demolition
      128 TERRY STREET KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
    • Subdivision of land
      70 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • June 2023

    • Alterations and additions to residential development
      3 CROSS STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    2022· 12 proposals

    • December 2022

    • Dwelling
      117 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    • Subdivision of land
      116 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    • Alterations and additions to residential development
      98 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • August 2022

    • Dwelling
      14A MERRIMAN STREET KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn

    • April 2022

    • Alterations and additions to residential development
      105 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    • Dwelling
      120 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • March 2022

    • Dwelling
      16 RIVERVIEW AVENUE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • February 2022

    • Subdivision of land
      100 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined

    • January 2022

    • Alterations and additions to residential development
      126 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    • Dual occupancy; Pools / decks / fencing; Demolition
      146 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    • Alterations and additions to residential development
      47 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
    • Other
      65 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn

    Data sources & freshness

    Hazards

    Bushfire planning zone
    No overlay at centroid
    Flood / inundation overlay
    No mapped inundation on suburb boundary

    Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping. Flood cover uses NSW flood planning polygons against the suburb boundary.

    Contributes to desirability score · Safety (22%)

    Bushfire and flood hazard overlays

    Data sources & freshness

    • Bushfire and flood planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated

    Politics & representation

    Federal electorate
    Banks
    Member of Parliament
    Zhi SOON (Australian Labor Party)
    Results from
    2025 federal election
    Electorate enrolment (2025)
    119,323
    Turnout (2025)
    92.1%
    Swing since 2022 (2025)
    +5.0 pp toward Labor

    Two-party preferred (2025)

    Coalition 47.6%Labor 52.4%

    Estimated suburb voting profile

    Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 1.9 km away).

    Coalition 53.3%Labor 46.7%

    5.7 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

    Estimated swing since 2022: +8.8 pp toward Labor

    Nearest polling places

    • Connells PointLabor 45.7% · Coalition 54.3% TPP (2025)0.4 km away
    • Blakehurst SouthLabor 38.5% · Coalition 61.5% TPP (2025)1.1 km away
    • Blakehurst North (Banks)Labor 60.6% · Coalition 39.4% TPP (2025)1.6 km away
    • Carss ParkLabor 43.0% · Coalition 57.0% TPP (2025)1.7 km away
    • Oatley EastLabor 47.5% · Coalition 52.5% TPP (2025)1.7 km away

    Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

    Data sources & freshness

    Socio-economic

    IRSAD decile (2021)
    10/10
    IRSD decile (2021)
    10/10

    ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

    What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

    IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

    IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

    A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

    Contributes to desirability score · Community (12%)

    Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD and IRSD deciles)

    Data sources & freshness

    Compare with

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