NSW · Georges River Council

Kyle Bay, 2221

Est. population · Jun 2025

1,189

Growth (1 yr)

+1.6%

Growth (5 yr)

+6.3%

Median age

45

Median income

$3,069/wk

Employment rate

57.6%

Median house price · October to December 2025

$2,350,000

Languages at home

40.3%non-English

Most common: Greek, Mandarin, Cantonese

2021 Census · usual residence

Desirability score

48.5/100
Average

Top 33% of New South Wales' suburbs

Verified 79% confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Education hub
  • High desirability
  • Excellent transport
What Kyle Bay is known for: Education hub, High desirability, Excellent transport

Suburb profile

Kyle Bay is a practical smaller community in Georges River Council, well placed for families who want metro access without the inner-city squeeze. The area suits established families and long-term locals, with family life visible on every street. A large share of residents were born overseas, and languages other than English are widely spoken at home.

Education outcomes and school provision stand out relative to comparable suburbs. Open space is thinner than in many metro suburbs, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. Day-to-day life is more car-oriented here, with buses covering longer trips across the wider area.

Housing is expensive relative to much of the state. Crime trends have improved of late compared with the previous period.

Against similar metro suburbs, the suburb sits around average overall, mainly because local dining and lifestyle amenities lag behind, despite relative strength in community and employment. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

At a glance

Kyle Bay snapshot

A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk

Median house price

$2.35M

+6.3% change

Median rent

$890/wk

Houses $1,100 · Units $700

Population (ERP)

1,189

+1.6% annual growth

Dwelling vacancy

4.7%

Census unoccupied dwellings

Livability profile

Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)

How it compares

Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles

Desirability

#37

among Metro Sydney · Mature

Safety

5th

percentile in state (higher = safer)

Pop. growth

81st

percentile in NSW

Advantage (IRSAD)

10/10

national SEIFA decile

School ICSEA

85th

percentile among schools with ICSEA

Population growth

Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years

Housing mix

Dwelling types from the 2021 Census

Risks & flags

Quick scan — open a section below for full context

Living here

Desirability

Ranks & confidence
Desirability score
48.5/100 — Average
State standing
Top 33% of New South Wales' suburbs
National rank
2363rd in Australia
State rank
705th in NSW
Peer rank
#37 among Metro Sydney · Mature suburbs
Cohort rank
#498 among Metro Sydney suburbs
Data confidence
79%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated

Housing

Flats / units (January to March 2026)
$700
Houses (January to March 2026)
$1,100
All types (January to March 2026)
$890
Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
75
Median house price (October to December 2025)
$2,350,000
Median price change
+6.3%

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Population

Estimated resident population

1,189(June 2025)

+1.6% annual · +6.3% over 5 years · 81th percentile in NSW

Growth figures & methodology
Annual growth
+1.6%
5-year growth
+6.3%
Change in 1 year
+19
Change in 5 years
+71
Growth rank in NSW
81th percentile

ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.

Methodology

Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.

The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~1,250), extrapolated at +1.0% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.

2021 Census figures

2021 Census

Population
1,039
Median age
45
Median household income / week
$3,069
Dwelling vacancy
4.7%
Unoccupied private dwellings
16 of 342
Median monthly mortgage
$3,500
Employment rate
57.6%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
321 / 8 / 0

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

  • Estimated Resident PopulationAustralian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries

Community & culture

No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Updated

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Crime & safety

Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

Offence counts & rates
Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
29
Against the person
9
Against property
15
Rate per 1,000 residents
24.4
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 115 residents
State safety percentile
5.2th (lower crime is better)
Decrease (daily rate)
-14.5%

Most common offence types

  • Domestic Violence Related Assault58
  • Fraud104
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment44
  • Malicious Damage To Property34
  • Steal From Retail Store33

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows

Family & Lifestyle

Schools & preschools

Schools within 2 km
9
Median school ICSEA (9 schools)
1,103
Median ICSEA percentile
85th
School list
  • Connells Point Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1088 · 81th percentile · LBOTE 68% · 429 students · Top SEA quarter 35% · 0.5 km awayView on My School →
  • Bald Face Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1123 · 90th percentile · LBOTE 78% · 246 students · Top SEA quarter 49% · 1.0 km awayView on My School →
  • Mater Dei Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1103 · 85th percentile · LBOTE 78% · 400 students · Top SEA quarter 38% · 1.1 km awayView on My School →
  • Blakehurst High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 1043 · 66th percentile · LBOTE 81% · 1,013 students · Top SEA quarter 19% · 1.6 km awayView on My School →
  • Blakehurst Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1049 · 68th percentile · LBOTE 61% · 256 students · Top SEA quarter 23% · 1.6 km awayView on My School →
  • St Joseph's Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1131 · 91th percentile · LBOTE 35% · 219 students · Top SEA quarter 49% · 1.8 km awayView on My School →
  • St Raphael's Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1130 · 91th percentile · LBOTE 93% · 210 students · Top SEA quarter 50% · 1.8 km awayView on My School →
  • Hurstville South Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1077 · 78th percentile · LBOTE 92% · 453 students · Top SEA quarter 28% · 1.9 km awayView on My School →
  • Oatley Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1126 · 90th percentile · LBOTE 44% · 365 students · Top SEA quarter 50% · 1.9 km awayView on My School →

Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)

School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA

Data sources & freshness

Public transport

8 public transport stops in this suburb

  • 139 Kyle Pde
  • Kyle Pde After Merriman St
  • Kyle Pde Opp Cross St
  • The Green Reserve, Kyle Pde
  • The Green Reserve, Kyle Pde

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed

Amenities

22 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

2 restaurants · 1 playgrounds

Local character & venue list

Local character

  • Limited walkable amenities nearby
  • Decent local green space0 parks in suburb, 1 playgrounds nearby
  • Reasonable bus and transport access8 public transport stops
Walkability proxy
16/100
Cafés per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink per 1,000 residents
1.92
Parks per 1,000 residents
0
Food & drink(2)
  • Jaaks Restaurant and BarRestaurant

    12 Merriman Street, Kyle Bay

  • Peacock TrattoriaRestaurant
Sport & outdoors(1)
  • Playground
Transport(4)

4 bus stops

Other(8)
  • Bench (4)
  • Drinking water (2)
  • The Kyle BayEvents Venue

    12 Merriman Street, Kyle Bay

  • Parking
  • Public toilets
  • Shelter (4)
  • Vacant

    Unit 2 25-33 Kyle Parade, Kyle Bay

  • Waste Basket

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • Local amenity insightsSuburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated

Health access

Nearest hospital
Waratah Private Hospital (2.8 km)
Nearest hospital type
Hospital
Nearest hospital emergency
Emergency department

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Hospitals and GP clinics

Data sources & freshness

NDIS participation

NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
17
Participants per 1,000 residents
14.3

Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.

For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.

Data sources & freshness

Weather

Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.

Summer (Dec–Feb)

Usual max / min
25° / 17°
Rainfall
321 mm · ~40 rainy days

Autumn (Mar–May)

Usual max / min
22° / 14°
Rainfall
359 mm · ~45 rainy days

Winter (Jun–Aug)

Usual max / min
17° / 8°
Rainfall
263 mm · ~33 rainy days

Spring (Sep–Nov)

Usual max / min
21° / 12°
Rainfall
242 mm · ~30 rainy days

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Temperature and humidity comfort

Data sources & freshness

  • Seasonal climate normalsWorldClim 2.1 · Updated

Future & Planning

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.

2026· 3 proposals
  • July 2026

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    75A KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Additional Information Requested
  • May 2026

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    19A WARATAH STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • April 2026

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    85 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
2025· 4 proposals
  • August 2025

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    26B MERRIMAN STREET KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
  • June 2025

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    39 BORONIA STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • April 2025

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    61 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • February 2025

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    3 CROSS STREET KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
2024· 15 proposals
  • November 2024

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    61A KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
  • October 2024

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    20 RIVERVIEW AVENUE KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    105 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • September 2024

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    130 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
  • August 2024

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    3 CROSS STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • July 2024

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    93 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    117 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation
    19A WARATAH STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • June 2024

  • Subdivision; Residential Accommodation
    146 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • May 2024

  • Erection of a new structure; Mooring Pen
    95 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • April 2024

  • Subdivision; Residential Accommodation
    46 WARATAH STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Awnings, blinds and canopies
    2 RIVERVIEW AVENUE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • March 2024

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    75A KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • January 2024

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation
    28 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    103 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
2023· 7 proposals
  • December 2023

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    108 TERRY STREET KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
  • November 2023

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    20 RIVERVIEW AVENUE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • October 2023

  • Erection of a new structure; Mooring Pen
    95 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • Erection of a new structure; Jetty; Water Infrastructure
    18A MERRIMAN STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • August 2023

  • Demolition
    128 TERRY STREET KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
  • Subdivision of land
    70 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • June 2023

  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    3 CROSS STREET KYLE BAY 2221Determined
2022· 12 proposals
  • December 2022

  • Dwelling
    117 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • Subdivision of land
    116 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    98 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • August 2022

  • Dwelling
    14A MERRIMAN STREET KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn
  • April 2022

  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    105 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • Dwelling
    120 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • March 2022

  • Dwelling
    16 RIVERVIEW AVENUE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • February 2022

  • Subdivision of land
    100 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • January 2022

  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    126 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • Dual occupancy; Pools / decks / fencing; Demolition
    146 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    47 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Determined
  • Other
    65 KYLE PARADE KYLE BAY 2221Withdrawn

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · current · Updated

Politics & representation

Federal electorate
Banks
Member of Parliament
Zhi SOON (Australian Labor Party)
Results from
2025 federal election
Electorate enrolment (2025)
119,323
Turnout (2025)
92.1%
Swing since 2022 (2025)
+5.0 pp toward Labor

Two-party preferred (2025)

Coalition 47.6%Labor 52.4%

Estimated suburb voting profile

Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 1.9 km away).

Coalition 53.3%Labor 46.7%

5.7 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate

Estimated swing since 2022: +8.8 pp toward Labor

Nearest polling places

  • Connells PointLabor 45.7% · Coalition 54.3% TPP (2025)0.4 km away
  • Blakehurst SouthLabor 38.5% · Coalition 61.5% TPP (2025)1.1 km away
  • Blakehurst North (Banks)Labor 60.6% · Coalition 39.4% TPP (2025)1.6 km away
  • Carss ParkLabor 43.0% · Coalition 57.0% TPP (2025)1.7 km away
  • Oatley EastLabor 47.5% · Coalition 52.5% TPP (2025)1.7 km away

Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.

Data sources & freshness

Socio-economic

IRSAD decile (2021)
10/10
IRSD decile (2021)
10/10

ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).

What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?

IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.

IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.

A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

Compare with

Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.

More in Georges River Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.