Median house price
$2.85M
+1.8% change
NSW · The Hills Shire Council
Middle Dural, 2158
Est. population · Jun 2025
1,030
Growth (1 yr)
+0.2%
Growth (5 yr)
+1.7%
Median age
46
Median income
$3,067/wk
Employment rate
59.8%
Median house price · October to December 2025
$2,850,000
Languages at home
18%non-English
Most common: Arabic, Italian, Mandarin
2021 Census · usual residence
Desirability score
- Excellent transport
- Education hub
- High desirability
Suburb profile
Middle Dural is a practical smaller community in The Hills Shire Council, with a familiar suburban feel rather than a self-contained town centre. Long-term locals and family households define much of the community, with plenty of young families in the mix. Dining is thinner on the ground than in busier metro pockets, so many residents head to neighbouring suburbs for a night out.
Open space is thinner than in many metro suburbs, so residents often travel a little further for a longer park day. Buses make commuting and cross-suburb trips straightforward. Housing is expensive relative to much of the state.
Crime trends have improved of late compared with the previous period. Tree-lined streets and established homes set the tone, with little pressure to reinvent the neighbourhood.
Against similar metro suburbs, the suburb sits below average overall, mainly because schools and education lag behind, despite relative strength in community and employment. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.
At a glance
Middle Dural snapshot
A quick read of housing, growth, livability, and risk
Median rent
$1,010/wk
Population (ERP)
1,030
+0.2% annual growth
Dwelling vacancy
5.7%
Census unoccupied dwellings
Livability profile
Desirability pillars vs the peer median (50th percentile)
How it compares
Relative standing using percentiles, ranks, and national deciles
Desirability
#83
among Metro Sydney · Mature
Safety
10th
percentile in state (higher = safer)
Pop. growth
41st
percentile in NSW
Advantage (IRSAD)
10/10
national SEIFA decile
School ICSEA
50th
percentile among schools with ICSEA
Population growth
Recent ERP change over 1 and 5 years
Housing mix
Dwelling types from the 2021 Census
Risks & flags
Quick scan — open a section below for full context
Living here
Desirability
Ranks & confidence
- Desirability score
- 38.5/100 — Below average
- National rank
- 4037th in Australia
- State rank
- 1246th in NSW
- Peer rank
- #83 among Metro Sydney · Mature suburbs
- Cohort rank
- #712 among Metro Sydney suburbs
- Data confidence
- 79%
Data sources & freshness
- Suburb Guide desirability index — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
Housing
- Houses (January to March 2026)
- $1,100
- Median house price (October to December 2025)
- $2,850,000
- Median price change
- +1.8%
Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.
Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)
Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum
Data sources & freshness
- DCJ rent and sales tables — NSW Department of Communities and Justice · January to March 2026; October to December 2025 · Updated · Quarterly releases
Population
Estimated resident population
1,030(June 2025)
+0.2% annual · +1.7% over 5 years · 41th percentile in NSW
Growth figures & methodology
- Annual growth
- +0.2%
- 5-year growth
- +1.7%
- Change in 1 year
- +2
- Change in 5 years
- +17
- Growth rank in NSW
- 41th percentile
ABS Estimated Resident Population allocated to this suburb from SA2-level data. Not an official ABS suburb count.
Methodology
Figures are allocated from ABS Estimated Resident Population at Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2), using 2021 Census share within overlapping SA2 regions. Where Census data is unavailable, area overlap is used instead.
The dashed chart line is a simple growth-trend estimate to June 2030 (~1,050), extrapolated at +0.6% average annual growth since 2011. It is illustrative only — not an official ABS forecast.
2021 Census figures
2021 Census
- Population
- 1,040
- Median age
- 46
- Median household income / week
- $3,067
- Dwelling vacancy
- 5.7%
- Unoccupied private dwellings
- 18 of 316
- Median monthly mortgage
- $3,588
- Employment rate
- 59.8%
- Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
- 294 / 0 / 0
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
- Estimated Resident Population — Australian Bureau of Statistics · 2025 · Updated · SA2 ERP allocated to suburb boundaries
Community & culture
No 2021 Census cultural diversity data for this suburb yet.
Data sources & freshness
- 2021 Census — General Community Profile — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.
Crime & safety
Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.
Offence counts & rates
- Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
- 32
- Against the person
- 9
- Against property
- 18
- Rate per 1,000 residents
- 31.1
- Person-crime prevalence
- About 1 in 116 residents
- State safety percentile
- 9.7th (lower crime is better)
- Decrease (daily rate)
- -19.8%
Most common offence types
- Arson14
- Domestic Violence Related Assault17
- Fraud59
- Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment35
- Malicious Damage To Property20
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Crime rate and year-on-year trend
Data sources & freshness
- BOCSAR postcode crime statistics — NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated · Rolling 12-month windows
Family & Lifestyle
Schools & preschools
- Schools within 2 km
- 1
- Median school ICSEA
- 1,007
- Median ICSEA percentile
- 50th
School list
- Middle Dural Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1007 · 50th percentile · LBOTE 47% · 31 students · Top SEA quarter 9% · 1.2 km awayView on My School →
Contributes to desirability score · Education (15%)
School and preschool counts, median school ICSEA
Data sources & freshness
- ACARA school locations — Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority · 2025 · Updated · Annual release
- School ICSEA scores — Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority · 2025 · Updated · Annual release
Public transport
34 public transport stops in this suburb
- Bangor Rd At Vaughan Pl (Hail And Ride)
- Cranstons Rd At Garemyn Rd (Hail And Ride)
- Cranstons Rd Opp Garemyn Rd (Hail And Ride)
- Old Northern Rd After Garemyn Rd
- Old Northern Rd Opp Middle Dural Public School
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Public transport stop coverage
Data sources & freshness
- Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0) — Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · current · Updated · Nightly GTFS feed
Amenities
15 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km
1 swimming pools
Local character & venue list
Local character
- A car helps for daily errands
- Well connected by public transport — 34 public transport stops
- Walkability proxy
- 30/100
- Cafés per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Food & drink per 1,000 residents
- 0
- Parks per 1,000 residents
- 0
Community(1)
- Middle Dural Public SchoolSchool
Middle Dural
Sport & outdoors(2)
- Sports field
- Swimming pool
Transport(9)
9 bus stops
Other(3)
- Mid Dural Rural Fire BrigadeFire station
- Nati RosesFlorist
790 Old Northern Road
- Parking
Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe). Transport stops are summarised by type rather than listed individually.
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)
Data sources & freshness
- Local amenity insights — Suburb Guide (derived) · current · Updated
- OpenStreetMap amenities — OpenStreetMap contributors · current · Updated
Health access
- Nearest hospital
- Mount Wilga Private Hospital (9.5 km)
- Nearest hospital type
- Hospital
- Nearest hospital emergency
- Emergency department
Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)
Hospitals and GP clinics
Data sources & freshness
- Hospitals & clinics — OpenStreetMap + state health datasets · current · Updated
NDIS participation
- NDIS participants (31 March 2026)
- 21
- Participants per 1,000 residents
- 20.4
Active NDIS participants allocated from NDIA Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2, ASGS 2016) counts to this suburb boundary. Not an official suburb-level NDIS figure · as at 31 March 2026.
For NDIS spend and service-demand exploration by SA2 or postcode, see the Care Sector Demand Map.
Data sources & freshness
- NDIS participants by SA2 — National Disability Insurance Agency · 2026-Q1 · Updated · Quarterly SA2 counts allocated to suburb boundaries
Weather
Typical conditions by season for suburbs in the same ~44 km climate area. Rainfall totals are summed from monthly WorldClim layers; rainy-day counts are approximate.
Summer (Dec–Feb)
- Usual max / min
- 25° / 17°
- Rainfall
- 321 mm · ~40 rainy days
Autumn (Mar–May)
- Usual max / min
- 22° / 14°
- Rainfall
- 359 mm · ~45 rainy days
Winter (Jun–Aug)
- Usual max / min
- 17° / 8°
- Rainfall
- 263 mm · ~33 rainy days
Spring (Sep–Nov)
- Usual max / min
- 21° / 12°
- Rainfall
- 242 mm · ~30 rainy days
Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)
Temperature and humidity comfort
Data sources & freshness
- Seasonal climate normals — WorldClim 2.1 · Updated
Future & Planning
Planning & development
Development applications from NSW Planning Portal.
2026· 1 proposal
June 2026
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure5 ALINDA CLOSE MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
2025· 16 proposals
December 2025
- Secondary dwelling; Erection of a new structure; Cabanas, cubby houses, ferneries, garden sheds, gazebos and greenhouses; Tennis courts; Swimming pool2 GLENROY PLACE MIDDLE DURAL 2158Additional Information Requested
- Shed; Erection of a new structure846 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
November 2025
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure17 Cranstons Road Middle Dural 2158Additional Information Requested
October 2025
- Demolition; Erection of a new structure; Cemetery788 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Under Assessment
September 2025
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure1 GLENROY PLACE MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Demolition60A CRANSTONS ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Erection of a new structure; Carport45 MID DURAL ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
July 2025
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure1 GLENROY PLACE MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Signage; Advertising and signage1251 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
June 2025
- Secondary dwelling; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Driveways and hard stand spaces; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support; Tennis courts; Swimming pool844A OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
April 2025
- Shed; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached)840 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Shed; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support39 MID DURAL ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation3 EDWARDS ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
March 2025
- Shed; Erection of a new structure32 CRANSTONS ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
January 2025
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure3A MCLEOD ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation6 SUNNYVALE ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
2024· 20 proposals
December 2024
- Food and drink premise; Hours of operation and trading828 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation6 ALINDA CLOSE MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
November 2024
- Shed; Erection of a new structure35 CRANSTONS ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Shed; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure; Dual occupancy (attached)840 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
September 2024
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation32 CRANSTONS ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
August 2024
- Erection of a new structure; Horticulture1289-1295 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
July 2024
- Food and drink premise; Hours of operation and trading828 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure36 CRANSTONS ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure12 GAREMYN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
June 2024
- Demolition; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure1229 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
April 2024
- Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Residential Accommodation2 BANGOR ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Secondary dwelling; Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia2 BANGOR ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation4 MCLEOD ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
March 2024
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure10 O'HARAS CREEK ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Demolition; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure5 ALINDA CLOSE MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Restaurant or cafe; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Change of use of land or a building or the classification of a building under the Building Code of Australia; Hours of operation and trading778 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
February 2024
- Secondary dwelling; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure1 GLENROY PLACE MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
January 2024
- Erection of a new structure; Carport45 MID DURAL ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Withdrawn
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Residential Accommodation10 ALINDA CLOSE MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
- Erection of a new structure; Agriculture808 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
2023· 3 proposals
December 2023
- Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure11 MCLEOD ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
November 2023
- Shed; Erection of a new structure1359-1371 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
September 2023
- Restaurant or cafe1237 OLD NORTHERN ROAD MIDDLE DURAL 2158Determined
Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)
Development and planning activity
Data sources & freshness
- Online DA development application register — NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure · 2026 · Updated · Daily feed (from Oct 2018)
Hazards
- Bushfire planning zone
- Overlay applies
Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.
Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)
Bushfire hazard overlays
Data sources & freshness
- Hazard planning overlays — State government hazard layers · current · Updated
Politics & representation
- Federal electorate
- Berowra
- Member of Parliament
- Julian LEESER (Liberal)
- Results from
- 2025 federal election
- Electorate enrolment (2025)
- 130,869
- Turnout (2025)
- 94.3%
- Swing since 2022 (2025)
- +5.9 pp toward Labor
Two-party preferred (2025)
Coalition 51.6%Labor 48.4%
Estimated suburb voting profile
Estimated from 8 nearby ordinary polling places (up to 6.9 km away).
Coalition 69.5%Labor 30.6%
17.8 percentage points more Coalition-leaning than the electorate
Estimated swing since 2022: +5.1 pp toward Labor
Nearest polling places
- Middle DuralLabor 30.4% · Coalition 69.7% TPP (2025)0.8 km away
- GalstonLabor 35.4% · Coalition 64.6% TPP (2025)2.8 km away
- KenthurstLabor 27.7% · Coalition 72.3% TPP (2025)3.3 km away
- ArcadiaLabor 33.2% · Coalition 66.8% TPP (2025)3.6 km away
- GlenorieLabor 28.3% · Coalition 71.7% TPP (2025)4.4 km away
Federal electorate from AEC federal division boundaries (2025 redistribution). Division-level results are official AEC figures from the latest general election, with by-election updates where applicable. The estimated suburb profile blends up to eight nearest ordinary polling booths in the same electorate using inverse-distance weighting from the suburb centroid — an approximation, not official AEC data. Nearest polling places are shown for reference.
Data sources & freshness
- Federal election results — Australian Electoral Commission · Updated · 2025 election with by-election overlays
Socio-economic
- IRSAD decile (2021)
- 10/10
- IRSD decile (2021)
- 10/10
ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), 2021 release — the latest available, derived from the 2021 Census. Deciles rank suburbs nationally from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).
What do IRSAD and IRSD measure?
IRSAD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage. Combines indicators of advantage (e.g. high income, skilled occupations) and disadvantage. Higher decile = more advantaged relative to other Australian areas.
IRSD — Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Focuses on disadvantage only (e.g. low income, unemployment, limited education). Higher decile = less disadvantage nationally.
A new SEIFA edition typically follows each census; the ABS has not announced a release date beyond 2021.
Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)
Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)
Data sources & freshness
- SEIFA 2021 (IRSAD / IRSD) — Australian Bureau of Statistics · Updated
Compare with
Similar suburbs to weigh up side by side — scores, safety, schools, and lifestyle.
More in The Hills Shire Council
Other suburbs in the same local government area.
Comparable suburbs
Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.